Burnley vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
Premier League table-toppers Arsenal take their title charge to Turf Moor this weekend to face a tireless Burnley outfit seeking a statement showing in their fight for top-flight safety. The Gunners lead the league standings after nine games, while the Clarets are in 16th place. Check out our match prediction below!
Of all 10 matches on the card this weekend, Arsenal have the highest chance of success with a win probability of just shy of 65%. Mikel Arteta’s men have come out on top in 23 of their last 24 matches against newly promoted teams, including each of their last 13 such encounters. They are also unbeaten in their last five against this opponent.
Despite the odds, Burnley will certainly have belief here, as they are entering this match off the back of consecutive wins, while the only team to leave Turf Moor with three points in the top flight this season was Liverpool. It’s a Turf Moor tussle - let’s get into the key stats!
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Burnley v Arsenal Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12 | 5.8 | 1.27 |
|
|
11.2 | 5.41 | 1.35 |
|
|
13 | 5.6 | 1.25 |
|
|
13 | 6.35 | 1.22 |
|
|
13 | 6.25 | 1.22 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Burnley and Arsenal?
Our prediction for the Burnley vs Arsenal match is: Arsenal wins & BTTS (NO).
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/11/2025 between Burnley and Arsenal in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 23.05% for a win of Burnley against Arsenal with odds of 16 at BC Game.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Burnley vs Arsenal is 12.24% with odds of 6.35 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 64.71% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Burnley with odds of 1.35 at 1xbet.
Burnley - Arsenal Prediction and Best Odds:
| Burnley Arsenal Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 64.71% | 1.35 at 1xbet |
| Under 2.5 | 63.4% | 2.12 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 63.75% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Arsenal | 34.11% | 3.75 at Bet365 |
Burnley vs Arsenal Form
Burnley and Arsenal's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
85 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | +44 |
|
19
|
22 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | -37 |
Burnley and Arsenal Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Oct 2025 - U21 Premier League Cup
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
24 Oct 2025 - U21 Premier League Cup
21 Oct 2025 - National League Cup
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
17 Oct 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Oct 2025 - U21 Premier League Cup
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
17 Oct 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup
5 Oct 2025 - U21 Premier League Cup
26 Sept 2025 - U21 Premier League Cup
23 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
24 Oct 2025 - U21 Premier League Cup
21 Oct 2025 - National League Cup
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
23 Sept 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
21 Sept 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
28 Sept 2025 - Premier League
24 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
16 Sept 2025 - Champions League
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
17 Aug 2025 - Premier League
Burnley vs Arsenal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 Feb 2024 - Premier League
11 Nov 2023 - Premier League
23 Jan 2022 - Premier League
18 Sept 2021 - Premier League
6 Mar 2021 - Premier League
13 Dec 2020 - Premier League
Burnley - Arsenal: Form Analysis
One of the big talking points this season has been the strength of the newly promoted teams. On Matchday 9, all three newcomers secured wins, including Burnley, who pulled off a dramatic 3-2 victory over Wolves.
That result saw the Clarets move to 10 points (W3 D1 L5), five points clear of the drop zone, and they are now hoping to win three top-flight matches on the bounce for the first time since April 2022.
Notably, of the three newly-promoted sides, Scott Parker’s men are the highest scoring with 12 goals in nine games, but they have also conceded the most (17) - twice as many as Sunderland (7).
Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 11 matches across all competitions (W10 D1)!
Meanwhile, Arsenal have been the most impressive team in the Premier League this season, now on 22 points after nine games (W7 D1 L1), and currently leading the chasing pack by four points.
The Gunners edged Crystal Palace 1-0 at home in the league last weekend and defeated Brighton 2-0 in the EFL Cup in midweek to extend their win streak to eight matches across all competitions.
The cornerstone of Mikel Arteta’s side’s success this term has been their water-tight defence, which has now gone over 550 minutes without conceding a single goal across all competitions.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Burnley against Arsenal Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
M. Weiss
DefenderL. Pires
H. Ekdal
MidfielderH. Mejbri
A. Barnes
A. Broja
L. Tchaouna
M. Edwards
J. Bruun Larsen
K. Arrizabalaga
DefenderB. White
P. Hincapie
C. Mosquera
MidfielderM. Dowman
M. Lewis-Skelly
M. Merino
C. Norgaard
E. Nwaneri
Missing players
C. Roberts
J. Beyer
ForwardZ. Amdouni
G. Jesus
G. Martinelli
Burnley & Arsenal Squad Analysis
In just his second league start, Zian Flemming bagged a brace last week, and Parker will have a big call to make in attack this weekend, given that Lyle Foster came on to score the winner in the last match.
Left-back Quilindschy Hartman set up both goals for Flemming at Molineux and is now the joint-highest for assists in the Prem this season (4), alongside Jack Grealish and Mohammed Kudus.
Lesley Ugochukwu picked up a knock against Wolves, but reports suggest he is in contention this week. However, Jordan Beyer, Zeki Amdouni and Connor Roberts are sidelined for the hosts.
Will we see a new centre-back pairing for Arsenal this weekend?
Arteta withdrew William Saliba at half-time against Palace due to an unspecified injury, and the France international was ruled out of the match against Brighton, where Piero Hincapie partnered Cristhian Mosquera in central defence.
Declan Rice, Riccardo Calafiori and Gabriel Martinelli also picked up knocks against the Eagles, but only the latter is expected to sit out this match, which should see Leandro Trossard get a start.
Martinelli will now join fellow injury absentees Martin Odegaard, Noni Madueke, Kai Havertz and Gabriel Jesus in the treatment room for the forseeable future.
Most goals and assists
Burnley
Arsenal
Z. Flemming
(11 Goals)
V. Gyokeres
(14 Goals)
Q. Hartman
(5 Assists)
L. Trossard
(6 Assists)
, 
M. Odegaard
(6 Assists)
Burnley - Arsenal Key Points
- Burnley have lost five of their nine games this season.
- Burnley have the lowest xG per 90 in the league this season (0.76).
- Arsenal are on an eight-match win streak across all competitions.
- Arsenal have kept clean sheets in their last six matches across all competitions.
- Arsenal have only conceded once in their last four matches against this opponent.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Burnley vs Arsenal Prediction
With Liverpool faltering and Manchester City struggling for consistency, Arsenal are now the out-and-out favourites to win the Premier League this season, and few can argue that given their form of late.
The Gunners’ defence looks impenetrable right now, and they are the first English top-flight team in history to keep six clean sheets in the space of a month. We fancy them to extend that record in this match. Our Burnley vs Arsenal prediction is Arsenal wins & BTTS (NO).
Burnley vs Arsenal Alternative Predictions
Under 2.5
Each of Burnley’s four home league games this season have ended with under 2.5 goals, and the Clarets have not conceded two or more goals at Turf Moor in the Prem this term. Additionally, fewer than three goals were scored in four of Arsenal’s last five league matches.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Burnley Arsenal
| Burnley vs Arsenal | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley wins | 9.4 | 16 | +70.2% |
| Draw | 5.4 | 6.35 | +17.6% |
| Arsenal wins | 1.3 | 1.35 | +3.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Arsenal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 76.9% and is now 74.1% (-2.8%)
Burnley vs Arsenal - FAQs
The Premier League match between Burnley and Arsenal will take place on November 1 at 16:00 BST.
The Premier League match between Burnley and Arsenal will be played at Turf Moor in Lancashire.
The Premier League match between Burnley and Arsenal will not be broadcast live on TV in the UK.
However, you can keep up with all the action using our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
