Macarthur FC vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League
Australia - A-League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions
The final week of the 2025-26 A-League season kicks off with Macarthur taking on Wellington Phoenix at Campbelltown Stadium on Friday. The Bulls are ninth in the league standings, while the Nix are in seventh place. Let’s get into the match prediction.
With 31 points and trailing the top six in the league standings by six heading into the final matchday, Macarthur are set to miss out on the Finals series for a second season in succession.
The Bulls have lost their last two games 3-1 to Perth Glory and Adelaide United, respectively. They have now conceded two or more goals in six of their last seven league matches.
The hosts have only won four of their 12 home league matches this season (D4 L4) and have lost each of their last four against this opponent at this venue.
Similarly, Wellington Phoenix will not be a part of the Finals series for a second successive season as they trail the top six by four points ahead of their final game of the campaign.
However, the Nix have been in a nice run of form during the run-in, winning four of their last five matches, following their 2-1 victory over Western Sydney Wanderers last weekend.
The visitors have only lost one of their last five away games and have earned 16 points from their 12 league matches on the road this term (W4 D4 L4).
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Macarthur FC v Wellington Phoenix Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.13 | 4 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.48 | 3.82 | 2.58 |
|
|
2.14 | 4.06 | 2.94 |
|
|
2.4 | 4 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.24 | 3.8 | 2.74 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Macarthur FC and Wellington Phoenix?
Our prediction for the Macarthur FC vs Wellington Phoenix match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/04/2026 between Macarthur FC and Wellington Phoenix in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.06% for a win of Macarthur FC against Wellington Phoenix with odds of 2.52 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Macarthur FC vs Wellington Phoenix is 25.11% with odds of 4.06 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.83% chance ⭐ for a win of Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur FC with odds of 3.25 at LSbet.
Macarthur FC - Wellington Phoenix Prediction and Best Odds:
| Macarthur FC Wellington Phoenix Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Wellington Phoenix wins | 38.83% | 3.25 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72.51% | |
| Both Team To Score | 72.08% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Wellington Phoenix/Wellington Phoenix | 13.36% | 4.75 at LSbet |
Macarthur FC vs Wellington Phoenix Form
Macarthur FC and Wellington Phoenix's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
34 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | -7 |
|
8
|
33 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -12 |
Macarthur FC and Wellington Phoenix Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - A-League
12 Apr 2026 - A-League
2 Apr 2026 - A-League
20 Mar 2026 - A-League
15 Mar 2026 - A-League
4 Mar 2026 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Apr 2026 - A-League
4 Mar 2026 - A-League
28 Feb 2026 - A-League
19 Feb 2026 - AFC Cup, Group A
6 Feb 2026 - A-League
24 Jan 2026 - A-League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - A-League
12 Apr 2026 - A-League
20 Mar 2026 - A-League
15 Mar 2026 - A-League
22 Feb 2026 - A-League
12 Feb 2026 - AFC Cup, Group A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - A-League
12 Apr 2026 - A-League
5 Apr 2026 - A-League
21 Mar 2026 - A-League
13 Mar 2026 - A-League
6 Mar 2026 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - A-League
13 Mar 2026 - A-League
28 Feb 2026 - A-League
20 Feb 2026 - A-League
6 Feb 2026 - A-League
30 Jan 2026 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - A-League
5 Apr 2026 - A-League
21 Mar 2026 - A-League
6 Mar 2026 - A-League
13 Feb 2026 - A-League
23 Jan 2026 - A-League
Macarthur FC vs Wellington Phoenix Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
40 %
0 %
60 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Nov 2025 - A-League
20 Jan 2025 - A-League
13 Dec 2024 - A-League
27 Apr 2024 - A-League
18 Feb 2024 - A-League
Macarthur FC against Wellington Phoenix Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
F. Kurto
DefenderH. Politidis
T. Uskok
L. Rose
B. Oliveira
H. Oliveira
H. Sawyer
A. Kelly-Heald
DefenderM. Sheridan
D. Edwards
S. Singh
L. Brooke-Smith
R. Najjarine
C. Armiento
Most goals and assists
Macarthur FC
Wellington Phoenix
H. Sawyer
(6 Goals)
E. Ifeanyi
(10 Goals)
C. Talbot
(6 Assists)
K. Nagasawa
(4 Assists)
, 
C. Piper
(4 Assists)
,
T. Payne
(4 Assists)
Macarthur FC - Wellington Phoenix Key Points
- Each of Macarthur’s last six league games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Macarthur have conceded two or more goals in each of their last six home matches.
- Wellington Phoenix have only kept two clean sheets in their last 10 league games.
- Four of Wellington Phoenix’s last six away games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Both teams scored in three of the last five matches between these sides.
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Our Macarthur FC vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction
Macarthur have experienced a major dip in form after an impressive run of form either side of the New Year, and are now set to play out the final match of the season as a mere formality.
Wellington Phoenix are ending the campaign impressively, but it’s too little too late, as they will not be a part of the Finals series either. With nothing on the line, both these sides are likely to make several changes here, and we feel there will be a few goals in this one. Our Macarthur FC vs Wellington Phoenix prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Macarthur FC Wellington Phoenix
| Macarthur FC vs Wellington Phoenix | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Macarthur FC wins | 1.98 | 2.52 | +27.3% |
| Draw | 4 | 4.06 | +1.5% |
| Wellington Phoenix wins | 3.4 | 3.25 | -4.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Wellington Phoenix is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 29.4% and is now 30.8% (1.4%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Macarthur FC vs. Wellington Phoenix game
You can get yourself up to €100 in matched bets for the battle between Macarthur FC and Wellington Phoenix when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on A-League!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
