Macarthur FC vs Melbourne City Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League
Australia - A-League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions
Macarthur and Melbourne City will meet at Campbelltown Stadium in the A-League on Saturday. The Bulls are sixth in the league standings, while the City Boys are fifth after 14 games. Let’s get into the match prediction!
Macarthur dropped three places in the league standings to sixth last weekend when they were held to a disappointing 1-1 draw on the road by second-bottom Central Coast Mariners.
The Bulls have now failed to win any of their last three league games (D2 L1), which is a notable dip after recording four wins in five matches either side of the New Year (D1).
The hosts earned nine points from seven home matches to date (W2 D3 L2), but they have only scored six goals, which is the second-fewest home goals scored in the division this term.
Meanwhile, Melbourne City were one of the three teams that surpassed Macarthur in the league standings last week, thanks to their 2-1 victory over league leaders Auckland FC at home.
Max Caputo scored City’s opening goal in that match, taking his tally to six for the season - the joint-most in the league. Hearts have conceded 12 goals to date, which is the second-fewest in the division.
However, the visitors’ away form has been mixed this season (W2 D3 L1), and they were beaten on their last two league visits to this venue.
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Macarthur FC v Melbourne City Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3 | 3.3 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.36 | 3.24 | 2.23 |
|
|
3.36 | 3.24 | 2.23 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.25 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.05 | 3.25 | 2.26 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Macarthur FC and Melbourne City?
Our prediction for the Macarthur FC vs Melbourne City match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/01/2026 between Macarthur FC and Melbourne City in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.79% for a win of Macarthur FC against Melbourne City with odds of 3.36 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Macarthur FC vs Melbourne City is 31.47% with odds of 3.45 at Shangrila.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.74% chance ⭐ for a win of Melbourne City vs Macarthur FC with odds of 2.3 at 888Starz.
Macarthur FC - Melbourne City Prediction and Best Odds:
| Macarthur FC Melbourne City Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Melbourne City wins | 38.74% | 2.3 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 61.77% | 1.9 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score: No | 51.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Melbourne City | 16.63% | 5.75 at LSbet |
Macarthur FC vs Melbourne City Form
Macarthur FC and Melbourne City's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
38 | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
|
7
|
34 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | -7 |
Macarthur FC and Melbourne City Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - A-League
10 Jan 2026 - A-League
5 Jan 2026 - A-League
1 Jan 2026 - A-League
26 Dec 2025 - A-League
23 Dec 2025 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - A-League
5 Jan 2026 - A-League
19 Dec 2025 - A-League
5 Dec 2025 - A-League
30 Nov 2025 - A-League
27 Nov 2025 - AFC Cup, Group A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - A-League
1 Jan 2026 - A-League
26 Dec 2025 - A-League
23 Dec 2025 - A-League
11 Dec 2025 - AFC Cup, Group A
21 Nov 2025 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jan 2026 - A-League
11 Jan 2026 - A-League
6 Jan 2026 - A-League
3 Jan 2026 - A-League
28 Dec 2025 - A-League
23 Dec 2025 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jan 2026 - A-League
11 Jan 2026 - A-League
6 Jan 2026 - A-League
3 Jan 2026 - A-League
28 Dec 2025 - A-League
23 Dec 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Dec 2025 - AFC Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - A-League
29 Nov 2025 - A-League
21 Nov 2025 - A-League
8 Nov 2025 - A-League
4 Nov 2025 - AFC Champions League
Macarthur FC vs Melbourne City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Dec 2025 - A-League
7 Mar 2025 - A-League
25 Jan 2025 - A-League
1 Mar 2024 - A-League
19 Mar 2023 - A-League
4 Feb 2023 - A-League
Macarthur FC against Melbourne City Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
A. Robinson
DefenderW. McKay
M. Jurman
MidfielderO. Randazzo
C. Ikonomidis
H. Sawyer
D. Bosnjak
J. Nieuwenhuizen
DefenderS. Souprayen
H. Shillington
B. Kutleshi
M. Younis
L. Wong
T. Kanamori
Most goals and assists
Macarthur FC
Melbourne City
H. Sawyer
(6 Goals)
M. Caputo
(8 Goals)
C. Talbot
(6 Assists)
A. Kuen
(4 Assists)
Macarthur FC - Melbourne City Key Points
- Four of Macarthur’s last six league games have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Macarthur have failed to score in three of their last five home matches.
- Eight of Melbourne City’s last 10 games have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Melbourne City have the second-best defensive record in the league this season.
- Fewer than three goals were scored in each of the last four games between these sides.
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Our Macarthur FC vs Melbourne City Prediction
After climbing into the top three thanks to a strong end to 2025, Macarthur have now slipped to sixth place following three games without victory. They have also failed to score in three of their last five at home.
Melbourne City will be brimming with confidence after beating league leaders Auckland last week, and another win here could see them end this weekend in the top three. City’s greatest strength this season has been their defence, and we feel they will prioritise keeping a clean sheet in this one. Our Macarthur vs Melbourne City prediction is less than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Macarthur FC Melbourne City
| Macarthur FC vs Melbourne City | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Macarthur FC wins | 3.26 | 3.36 | +3.1% |
| Draw | 3.46 | 3.45 | -0.3% |
| Melbourne City wins | 2.18 | 2.3 | +5.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Melbourne City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 45.9% and is now 43.5% (-2.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
