France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
The late-night fixture in Ligue 1 will pit two of France’s top clubs, Lyon and PSG, on Sunday. This cracker, which wraps up the week before the international break, has four points separating the two sides. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
Lyon have had a number of chances to leap ahead of PSG in recent weeks but spurned them all. Now they get here trailing the champions by four points.
Much of that is occasioned by the fact that Lyon has managed just one win in the last five league games. In one of their weakest showings in recent times, they lost a 3-0 lead to draw 3-3 with Paris FC.
A 2-0 loss to Betis in the Europa League means they come here winless in three outings.
PSG are also coming from a losing outing in Europe. Their Champions League title defence got a reality check as they lost 2-1 at home to 10-man Bayern Munich.
This season in Ligue 1, they haven't had their way like in past years. Only two points separate PSG from the two sides behind them. Were it not for those teams' wastefulness, PSG would be battling in fifth or lower positions.
The champions have already dropped nine points this season. They come into this one having failed to win in three of their last five league matches. However, they've beaten Lyon in five straight meetings.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lyon v PSG Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.75 | 4.1 | 1.57 |
|
|
6 | 4 | 1.57 |
|
|
4.8 | 3.75 | 1.67 |
|
|
5.5 | 4.2 | 1.57 |
|
|
5.4 | 4.1 | 1.56 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Lyon and PSG?
Our prediction for the Lyon vs PSG match is: PSG wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/11/2025 between Lyon and PSG in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.95% for a win of Lyon against PSG with odds of 6 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lyon vs PSG is 19.81% with odds of 4.2 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 44.24% chance ⭐ for a win of PSG vs Lyon with odds of 1.67 at William Hill.
Lyon - PSG Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lyon PSG Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 44.24% | 1.67 at William Hill |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.24% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 56.25% | 1.8 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: PSG | 19.12% | 4.8 at Unibet |
Lyon vs PSG Form
Lyon and PSG's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
27 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 13 |
|
7
|
20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Lyon and PSG Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
18 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
19 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
18 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Sept 2025 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
17 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Sept 2025 - Champions League
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
22 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
Lyon vs PSG Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
25 May 2024 - French Cup
21 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
3 Sept 2023 - Ligue 1
2 Apr 2023 - Ligue 1
Lyon against PSG Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3
Missing players
A. Vinicius
H. Hateboer
MidfielderE. Nuamah
O. Mangala
ForwardM. Fofana
A. Gomes Rodriguez
N. Mendes
A. Hakimi
ForwardD. Doue
O. Dembele
Most goals and assists
Lyon
PSG
C. Tolisso
(4 Goals)
, 
P. Sulc
(4 Goals)
J. Neves
(5 Goals)
A. Karabec
(3 Assists)
Vitinha
(7 Assists)
Lyon - PSG Key Points
- PSG has five straight wins against Lyon.
- Lyon are winless in their last three matches.
- In their last five away matches, PSG are unbeaten.
- Lyon only managed one win in their last 10 meetings with PSG.
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Our Lyon vs PSG Prediction
PSG are unbeaten in their last five matches against Lyon, winning all. Hosting this match, and having won six of their seven home games this season, Lyon will hope to make this count. They are also looking to prop up their own Ligue 1 title challenge, and this makes a good opportunity.
However, their run against PSG is so poor. They only managed one win in the last 10 meetings, losing eight. Even in PSG’s struggles, they are likely to prevail here. Our prediction for Lyon v PSG is: PSG wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lyon PSG
| Lyon vs PSG | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon wins | 4.5 | 5.75 | +27.8% |
| Draw | 4.2 | 4.1 | -2.4% |
| PSG wins | 1.67 | 1.57 | -6.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PSG is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.9% and is now 63.7% (3.8%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Lyon vs. PSG game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Lyon and PSG when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Ligue 1!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
