Lyon vs PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
Europe - Europa League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Europa League Predictions
A place in the last 16 of the Europa League has already been secured by Lyon. They are top of the league phase and on Thursday are home to 12th-placed PAOK who need a win in France to have any chance of automatic qualification. Read our match prediction below.
The Kidz have won six of their seven games, only being beaten away at Real Betis in Matchday 4. Since then, the Ligue 1 club have beaten Maccabi Tel Aviv, Go Ahead Eagles and Young Boys. They lead the table on goal difference from Aston Villa.
All three of their home games in the league phase have been won with only one goal conceded.
Lyon are fourth in Ligue 1 and have won their last eight matches.
PAOK are in the seeded play-off positions but two points adrift of the automatic qualification places. The Double-Headed Eagles are guaranteed a play-off place but are only a point ahead of the unseeded positions
They made a slow start to the league phase. A loss at Real Betis in Matchday 2 left them with just one point. Since then, the White-Blacks have earned 11 points from five games. Four points have come from their three away games.
We tip Lyon to win this match.
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Lyon v PAOK Thessaloniki Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.5 | 3.5 | 2.85 |
|
|
2.49 | 3.36 | 2.82 |
|
|
2.47 | 3.36 | 2.85 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.3 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.35 | 2.82 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Lyon and PAOK Thessaloniki?
Our prediction for the Lyon vs PAOK Thessaloniki match is: Lyon wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/01/2026 between Lyon and PAOK Thessaloniki in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.67% for a win of Lyon against PAOK Thessaloniki with odds of 2.6 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lyon vs PAOK Thessaloniki is 19.46% with odds of 3.6 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.87% chance ⭐ for a win of PAOK Thessaloniki vs Lyon with odds of 3.05 at BC Game.
Lyon - PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lyon PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lyon wins | 49.67% | 2.6 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.24% | 1.95 at Betsson |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lyon | 23.23% | 6.25 at LSbet |
Lyon vs PAOK Thessaloniki Form
Lyon and PAOK Thessaloniki's standings in the Europa League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
21 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +13 |
|
17
|
12 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +3 |
Lyon and PAOK Thessaloniki Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - Superleague
14 Jan 2026 - Greece Cup
10 Jan 2026 - Superleague
6 Jan 2026 - Greece Cup
21 Dec 2025 - Superleague
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - Superleague
6 Jan 2026 - Greece Cup
21 Dec 2025 - Superleague
17 Dec 2025 - Greece Cup
7 Dec 2025 - Superleague
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2026 - Greece Cup
10 Jan 2026 - Superleague
14 Dec 2025 - Superleague
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
3 Dec 2025 - Greece Cup
30 Nov 2025 - Superleague
Lyon against PAOK Thessaloniki Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
L. Diarra
D. Greif
DefenderP. Mbatshi Mukuba
Abner
T. Tessmann
T. Goncalves
A. Hamdani
A. Gomes Rodriguez
E. Honore Molebe
J. Pavlenka
DefenderJ. Sastre
G. Taylor
A. Vogliacco
D. Lovren
MidfielderM. Camara
A. Bianco
D. Pelkas
ForwardF. Chalov
D. Chatsidis
A. Mythou
K. Despodov
Missing players
N. Tagliafico
MidfielderN. Nartey
ForwardE. Nuamah
M. Fofana
Most goals and assists
Lyon
PAOK Thessaloniki
C. Tolisso
(4 Goals)
G. Giakoumakis
(4 Goals)
A. Karabec
(4 Assists)
A. Zivkovic
(4 Assists)
Lyon - PAOK Thessaloniki Key Points
- Lyon are top of the league phase, six points clear of PAOK.
- Lyon have won their last eight league and cup games.
- Lyon have maximum points from their three home games in the league phase
- Lyon have only conceded one home goal so far.
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Our Lyon vs PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction
Lyon are enjoying their best run of form in 20 years. They won 5-2 at Metz at the weekend and are top of this league phase and already qualified for the last 16. Just one goal has been conceded in their three home victories.
PAOK will be in the play-offs but only a win in France will take them straight into the last 16. Only one of their three away games have been won with nine goals conceded. Our Lyon v PAOK prediction is Lyon wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lyon PAOK Thessaloniki
| Lyon vs PAOK Thessaloniki | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon wins | 1.5 | 2.6 | +73.3% |
| Draw | 4 | 3.6 | -10.0% |
| PAOK Thessaloniki wins | 5.25 | 3.05 | -41.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lyon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 73.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 66.7% and is now 38.5% (-28.2%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
