France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
The battle for places in Europe in Ligue 1 will take a new shape this weekend when Lens and Lyon face off on Sunday. Lyon will play host in this matchday 32 action, going in placed fifth and Lens eighth. Read on for our prediction of this match.
Lyon’s shock at exiting the Europa League was followed by a Ligue 1 defeat at Saint-Etienne. They, however, recovered in their most recent outing to beat Rennes 4-1 at home.
Home matches have largely been fruitful for Lyon, and they will rely on this as they seek to end their recent winless run against Lens. Les Gones are on four straight wins at home in Ligue 1.
For Lens, it has been an underwhelming season, but being unbeaten in three against Lyon offers some hope. At 45 points, they trail Lyon by nine points, with only nine left to play for.
They will miss out on Europe, and Les Sang et Or are coming from a 4-0 loss at home to Auxerre. This was their third defeat in the last five matches, and they failed to score in each of those defeats.
While they managed a 3-1 win against Brest in their last away game, Lens haven't been on a great run on the road either. They lost three times in their last five away Ligue 1 matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lyon v Lens Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.42 | 5 | 6 |
|
|
1.44 | 5 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.6 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.44 | 5 | 6 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.2 | 5.25 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lyon and Lens?
Our prediction for the Lyon vs Lens match is: Lyon to win and both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/05/2025 between Lyon and Lens in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 59.18% for a win of Lyon against Lens with odds of 1.65 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lyon vs Lens is 11.25% with odds of 5.4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.58% chance ⭐ for a win of Lens vs Lyon with odds of 6.8 at Betsson.
Lyon - Lens Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lyon Lens Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lyon wins | 59.18% | 1.65 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.02% | 1.47 at 888Starz |
| Both Team To Score | 55% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lyon | 22.66% | 4.6 at Unibet |
Lyon vs Lens Form
Lyon and Lens's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
57 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 19 |
|
8
|
52 | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 3 |
Lyon and Lens Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
20 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Apr 2025 - Europa League
13 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
10 Apr 2025 - Europa League
5 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
10 Apr 2025 - Europa League
5 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
2 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Apr 2025 - Europa League
13 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
20 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
Lyon vs Lens Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
3 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
2 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
12 Feb 2023 - Ligue 1
2 Oct 2022 - Ligue 1
19 Feb 2022 - Ligue 1
Lyon against Lens Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Missing players
E. Nuamah
ForwardA. Lacazette
E. Honore Molebe
D. Petric
DefenderJ. Chavez
R. Aguilar
ForwardR. Lascary
F. Sotoca
Most goals and assists
Lyon
Lens
A. Lacazette
(19 Goals)
N. El Aynaoui
(8 Goals)
R. Cherki
(18 Assists)
A. Thomasson
(7 Assists)
Lyon - Lens Key Points
- Lyon are on four straight wins at home in Ligue 1.
- Lens suffered six losses in the last 10 Ligue 1 matches.
- In Lyon’s last five home league games, both teams scored.
- Lens managed only one clean sheet in the last five away matches.
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Our Lyon vs Lens Prediction
Lens are set to miss out on a chance to play in Europe next season. They aren’t on a very good run coming into this game, though they’ve avoided defeat in recent meetings with Lyon. One area that Lyon will be troubled with is in defence.
They haven't kept a clean sheet in their last five home matches but scored at least two in each of them. In this shape, we can’t rule out goals on either side. Our prediction for Lyon v Lens is for Lyon to win and both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lyon Lens
| Lyon vs Lens | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon wins | 1.9 | 1.42 | -25.3% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 5 | +31.6% |
| Lens wins | 3.6 | 6 | +66.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lyon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 25.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.6% and is now 70.4% (17.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Lyon vs. Lens game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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