Luton Town vs Stevenage Prediction & Betting Tips - League One
England - League One
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by Ian John | in League One Predictions
Saturday lunchtime sees an important League One match as the focus of our next prediction. Luton Town host Stevenage with both the Hatters and Boro very much involved in a battle for the automatic promotion spots and the playoffs in League One. As such, three points here for either team would be a significant boost to their promotion aims this season.
The current table emphasises just how important this game is for both teams. Currently, Luton Town are outside the playoffs by four points, with 35 points from their 24 league games so far. Stevenage are two places and two points better off than their opponents with 37 points, but they have played just 22 league games.
Following three draws in a row, Luton went down to a 3-2 defeat at Reading but followed that with two excellent home wins, 4-0 against Wycombe Wanderers and then 3-0 against Leyton Orient. Their most recent game was a 1-0 defeat away to Exeter as their game with Doncaster Rovers was postponed last week due to the weather.
Stevenage have found wins difficult to come by of late, with none in their last four games. They were held 2-2 at home by Burton Albion and followed that with a 0-0 draw away at AFC Wimbledon. They travelled to leaders Cardiff next and were beaten 2-1, before they then earned a 1-1 draw at home to Plymouth.
Their game with Leyton Orient was also postponed last weekend.
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The Best Betting Odds for Luton Town v Stevenage Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.86 | 3.1 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.2 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.91 | 3 | 4 |
|
|
1.81 | 3.35 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.88 | 3.1 | 4.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Luton Town and Stevenage?
Our prediction for the Luton Town vs Stevenage match is: Luton wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/01/2026 between Luton Town and Stevenage in League One :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.19% for a win of Luton Town against Stevenage with odds of 1.96 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Luton Town vs Stevenage is 31.02% with odds of 3.35 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.79% chance ⭐ for a win of Stevenage vs Luton Town with odds of 4.5 at Betfred.
Luton Town - Stevenage Prediction and Best Odds:
| Luton Town Stevenage Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Luton Town wins | 41.19% | 1.96 at Melbet |
| Under 2.5 | 52.83% | 1.98 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 39.58% | 2.2 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Luton Town | 18.93% | 4.6 at Ladbrokes |
Luton Town vs Stevenage Form
Luton Town and Stevenage's standings in the League One
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
38 | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 5 |
|
8
|
37 | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
Luton Town and Stevenage Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2026 - League One
29 Dec 2025 - League One
26 Dec 2025 - League One
18 Dec 2025 - League One
13 Dec 2025 - League One
9 Dec 2025 - League One
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - League One
26 Dec 2025 - League One
13 Dec 2025 - League One
2 Dec 2025 - EFL Trophy
29 Nov 2025 - League One
25 Nov 2025 - League One
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2026 - League One
18 Dec 2025 - League One
9 Dec 2025 - League One
6 Dec 2025 - FA Cup
22 Nov 2025 - League One
8 Nov 2025 - League One
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2026 - League One
29 Dec 2025 - League One
26 Dec 2025 - League One
20 Dec 2025 - League One
13 Dec 2025 - League One
9 Dec 2025 - League One
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2026 - League One
20 Dec 2025 - League One
9 Dec 2025 - League One
2 Dec 2025 - EFL Trophy
22 Nov 2025 - League One
1 Nov 2025 - FA Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - League One
26 Dec 2025 - League One
13 Dec 2025 - League One
29 Nov 2025 - League One
25 Nov 2025 - League One
6 Nov 2025 - League One
Luton Town vs Stevenage Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
4 Oct 2025 - League One
Players list
J. Keeley
DefenderN. Lonwijk
C. Makosso
J. Johnson
M. Andersen
MidfielderL. Walsh
J. Clark
M. Fanne Dabo
ForwardE. Lawrence
N. Wells
G. Kodua
F. Marshall
DefenderC. Goode
L. Freestone
C. Piergianni
MidfielderD. Kemp
J. Roberts
L. Wildin
H. White
D. Phillips
ForwardJ. Reid
P. Patterson
Substitutes
J. Shea
DefenderC. Bramall
R. Walters
MidfielderZ. Nelson
G. Saville
ForwardJ. Yates
S. Morris
T. Ashby-Hammond
DefenderC. Campbell
J. Houghton
MidfielderL. Thompson
D. Sweeney
J. Pattenden
ForwardJ. Malcolm
Most goals and assists
Luton Town
Stevenage
G. Kodua
(8 Goals)
J. Reid
(8 Goals)
Luton Town - Stevenage Key Points
- Luton are unbeaten in their last six home league games (W3, D3)
- Stevenage have won just one of their last eight in all competitions (L3, D4).
- Luton's last two home games have saw them win both, scoring seven goals, conceding none.
- Stevenage have lost three of their last seven away games (D2, L2).
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Our Luton Town vs Stevenage Prediction
Our prediction for the Luton Town vs. Stevenage League One match is: Luton wins.
In terms of points and position in League One, there's not a lot to choose between these two teams, in fact Stevenage are in much the better position with two more points from two fewer games. However, Boro's recent form is not particularly good and while Luton have struggled away from home, they have been excellent at Kenilworth Road, which is why we've backed them to win a close encounter here.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Luton Town Stevenage
| Luton Town vs Stevenage | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luton Town wins | 1.71 | 1.86 | +8.8% |
| Draw | 3.05 | 3.1 | +1.6% |
| Stevenage wins | 5 | 4.33 | -13.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Luton Town is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 8.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 58.5% and is now 53.8% (-4.7%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
