Luton Town vs Lincoln City Prediction & Betting Tips - League One
England - League One
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by Ian John | in League One Predictions
Our next match prediction features a League One match with clear implications on both the promotion and playoff spots. Luton Town host Lincoln City as the Hatters and Imps seek three points to improve their chances of earning promotion, either directly or via the playoffs. How does the data for this game shape up?
In terms of the league table, things look well-matched. Luton Town have improved under Jack Wilshere and now lie seventh in the table, with 38 points from 25 games played, just one point outside the play-off positions. Lincoln City are even better placed in second, with 48 points from their 25 games, four behind leaders Cardiff City.
The form for both teams of late has also been good. Luton have won three of their last four league games, all at home. That includes a 4-0 win over Wycombe, a 3-0 win over Leyton Orient and a 2-1 win over Stevenage most recently. Their only defeat was on New Year's Day, a 1-0 loss away to Exeter.
Lincoln's form is even more impressive, with no defeats in their last eight, six of those ending in wins. They finished 2025 with a 2-0 away win over Barnsley before earning a 1-1 draw at home to Huddersfield Town on New Year's Day. They then beat Peterborough United 5-2 in their most recent fixtures.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Luton Town v Lincoln City Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.45 | 3.15 | 3 |
|
|
2.49 | 3.02 | 2.98 |
|
|
2.51 | 3.06 | 2.92 |
|
|
2.25 | 2.85 | 3 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.05 | 2.9 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Luton Town and Lincoln City?
Our prediction for the Luton Town vs Lincoln City match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/01/2026 between Luton Town and Lincoln City in League One :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.01% for a win of Luton Town against Lincoln City with odds of 2.51 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Luton Town vs Lincoln City is 19.37% with odds of 3.15 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 42.61% chance ⭐ for a win of Lincoln City vs Luton Town with odds of 3.05 at Tonybet.
Luton Town - Lincoln City Prediction and Best Odds:
| Luton Town Lincoln City Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lincoln City wins | 42.61% | 3.05 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74.38% | 2.33 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 60.42% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Lincoln City/Lincoln City | 16.99% | 5 at Bet365 |
Luton Town vs Lincoln City Form
Luton Town and Lincoln City's standings in the League One
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
103 | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | +48 |
|
7
|
74 | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | +12 |
Luton Town and Lincoln City Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Jan 2026 - EFL Trophy
10 Jan 2026 - League One
1 Jan 2026 - League One
29 Dec 2025 - League One
26 Dec 2025 - League One
18 Dec 2025 - League One
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Jan 2026 - EFL Trophy
10 Jan 2026 - League One
29 Dec 2025 - League One
26 Dec 2025 - League One
13 Dec 2025 - League One
2 Dec 2025 - EFL Trophy
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2026 - League One
18 Dec 2025 - League One
9 Dec 2025 - League One
6 Dec 2025 - FA Cup
22 Nov 2025 - League One
8 Nov 2025 - League One
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - League One
1 Jan 2026 - League One
29 Dec 2025 - League One
26 Dec 2025 - League One
20 Dec 2025 - League One
13 Dec 2025 - League One
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - League One
1 Jan 2026 - League One
20 Dec 2025 - League One
9 Dec 2025 - League One
2 Dec 2025 - EFL Trophy
29 Nov 2025 - League One
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - League One
26 Dec 2025 - League One
13 Dec 2025 - League One
22 Nov 2025 - League One
11 Nov 2025 - EFL Trophy
8 Nov 2025 - League One
Luton Town vs Lincoln City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Sept 2025 - League One
Players list
J. Keeley
DefenderJ. Johnson
M. Andersen
C. Bramall
N. Lonwijk
MidfielderJ. Clark
L. Walsh
ForwardE. Lawrence
N. Wells
K. Naismith
G. Kodua
G. Wickens
DefenderT. Darikwa
S. Bradley
T. Hamer
MidfielderV. Oleksandrovych
J. Moylan
A. Reach
C. McGrandles
ForwardR. Street
F. Draper
R. Hackett-Fairchild
Substitutes
J. Shea
DefenderR. Walters
C. Makosso
MidfielderJ. Richards
G. Saville
ForwardS. Morris
J. Yates
Z. Jeacock
J. Pardington
DefenderL. Montsma
MidfielderR. Towler
G. Okewoye
D. Jefferies
E. Ring
Most goals and assists
Luton Town
Lincoln City
J. Clark
(12 Goals)
J. Moylan
(11 Goals)
Luton Town - Lincoln City Key Points
- Luton Town have won all their last three home games in League One, scoring nine goals, conceding just one.
- Lincoln City are unbeaten in their last eight, winning six drawing two.
- Luton have scored in all their last six home league games.
- Lincoln have scored eight goals in their last four away games.
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Our Luton Town vs Lincoln City Prediction
Our prediction for the Luton Town vs. Lincoln City League One match is: BTTS.
This was one of a select group of fixtures which, while picking a results-based option is tricky, there is another standout bet to back. In this case it is both teams to score in the game. Both teams have been amongst the goals of late, Luton especially at home, while Lincoln have been scoring plenty in recent weeks too. As such, backing both these in-form teams to score makes logical sense.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Luton Town Lincoln City
| Luton Town vs Lincoln City | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luton Town wins | 2.11 | 2.51 | +19.0% |
| Draw | 3.22 | 3.15 | -2.2% |
| Lincoln City wins | 3.54 | 3.05 | -13.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lincoln City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 13.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 28.2% and is now 32.8% (4.5%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
