Luciano Darderi vs Shintaro Mochizuki Prediction & Betting Tips - Almaty Open

ATP - Almaty Open

ATP 17 Italy
Luciano Darderi
16/10/2025 03:15
ATP 130 Japan
Shintaro Mochizuki

Prediction :

 

Luciano Darderi wins

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Tennis Predictions

We're in for a tense first meeting between Luciano Darderi and Shintaro Mochizuki as they battle for a quarterfinal place in the Almaty Open. See the sharp pick in our Luciano Darderi vs Shintaro Mochizuki match prediction below.

First meetings can be tricky to predict, especially when both players are this skillful. However, we think this game will swing Darderi’s way after looking at the stats. On paper, Luciano Darderi is a much better player than Shintaro Mochizuki, and that might just be enough to decide this game.

For one, Darderi at 26th place boasts of a significantly higher ATP rank than Mochizuki at 102nd place. And looking at their recent form, Darderi has earned his spot and should earn a victory over his Japanese opponent.

Of Darderi’s last 13 games, he's won 9 singles, and that includes a five-game winning streak that saw him win the Genoa Challenger, beating Andrea Pellegrino 2-0 in the final. On the other hand, Shintaro Mochizuki has lost five of his last nine singles. But Mochizuki has since picked up form, winning four of his last five and defeating Arthur Cazaux in the RO32.

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Luciano Darderi v Shintaro Mochizuki Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
1xbet
1.65 2.25
Melbet
1.65 2.25
Betwinner
1.58 2.38
Bet365
1.67 2.2
BC Game
1.59 2.24
Check all Luciano Darderi vs Shintaro Mochizuki odds

Who will win the Luciano Darderi vs Shintaro Mochizuki Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Luciano Darderi vs Shintaro Mochizuki match is: Darderi to win.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Luciano Darderi vs Shintaro Mochizuki game on 16/10/2025 of the current Almaty Open season:

  • Luciano Darderi has a 59.41% chance to win against Shintaro Mochizuki according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.67.
  • Shintaro Mochizuki has a 40.59% probability of winning facing Luciano Darderi ⭐ with odds of 2.38 at Betwinner.

Luciano Darderi vs Shintaro Mochizuki Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Luciano Darderi has a 59.41 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Luciano Darderi59.41 %
Shintaro Mochizuki40.59 %

Luciano Darderi vs Shintaro Mochizuki Form

Luciano Darderi and Shintaro Mochizuki Last Matches

Luciano Darderi Last matches
L L W L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

6 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Luciano Darderi
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

4 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Luciano Darderi
2 :  0
Yunchaokete Bu

26 Sept 2025 - ATP Japan Open

Jenson Brooksby
2 :  0
Luciano Darderi

24 Sept 2025 - ATP Japan Open

Yoshihito Nishioka
0 :  2
Luciano Darderi

19 Sept 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open

Alejandro Tabilo
2 :  0
Luciano Darderi

29 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Luciano Darderi
0 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz
Shintaro Mochizuki Last matches
W L L L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

15 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open

Arthur Cazaux
0 :  2
Shintaro Mochizuki

29 Sept 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Shintaro Mochizuki
0 :  2
Yannick Hanfmann

25 Sept 2025 - ATP Japan Open

Casper Ruud
2 :  1
Shintaro Mochizuki

12 Sept 2025 - Davis Cup

Shintaro Mochizuki
0 :  2
Yannick Hanfmann

28 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Shintaro Mochizuki
0 :  3
Alex De Minaur

26 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Hugo Gaston
0 :  3
Shintaro Mochizuki

Luciano Darderi - Shintaro Mochizuki Key Points

  1. Darderi has won nine of his last 13 singles.
  2. Mochizuki has lost five of his last nine singles.
  3. Darderi ranks 26th, significantly higher than Mochizuki at 102nd place.
  4. Darderi just recently won the Genoa Challenger last month.
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Our Luciano Darderi vs Shintaro Mochizuki Prediction

With no prior H2H history, we're backing the player with all the momentum, expecting Luciano Darderi to beat Shintaro Mochizuki in their first meeting. Not only does Darderi boast of a significantly higher ATP rank than Mochizuki, but he's been markedly better in recent games.

Darderi has won nine of his last 13 singles, winning the Genoa Challenger final in the process. Meanwhile, Mochizuki has lost five of his last nine singles. Therefore, our Luciano Darderi vs Shintaro Mochizuki prediction is Darderi to win.

Prediction :

 

Luciano Darderi wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Luciano Darderi vs Shintaro Mochizuki Prediction