ATP - ATP Chengdu Open


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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Alejandro Tabilo has proven to be a tricky opponent, and his prowess showed as he progressed to the Chengdu Open final. The qualifier sets up a second meeting with top seed Lorenzo Musetti in the title match. We have a prediction below.
World number nine Musetti is playing in his second straight Chengdu Open final. He’s ever lost just two matches in the 10 he’s played here. After falling in last season’s title match, the Italian stormed into the 2025 final with the easiest win of his 10 matches in Chengdu.
He beat Alexander Shevchenko 2-0 by only losing four games while spending one hour and five minutes. The 23-year-old enters this game sitting ninth in the live rank.
Tabilo, the man on the other side of the court, arrives here with great momentum after starting from the qualifying rounds. The Chilean battled through the semis, overcoming fourth seed Brandon Nakashima 2-0 after needing a tiebreaker for the second set.
That was the third of his six matches here that he lost at least 10 games. Surprisingly, one of the matches he lost the least games was when he played his strongest opponent—Luciano Darderi, the second seed here.
Beating two seeded players on his way will pump up the Chilean, whose record for the season improves to 20-17 and live ranking by eight places to 82nd. Before arriving in Chengdu, Tabilo had failed to reach a quarter-final this season.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lorenzo Musetti v Alejandro Tabilo Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.3 | 3.5 |
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1.36 | 3.1 |
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1.33 | 3.3 |
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1.3 | 3.25 |
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1.35 | 3.25 |
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Who will win the Lorenzo Musetti vs Alejandro Tabilo Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Lorenzo Musetti vs Alejandro Tabilo match is: Musetti to win in three sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Lorenzo Musetti vs Alejandro Tabilo game on 23/09/2025 of the current ATP Chengdu Open season:
- Lorenzo Musetti has a 56.09% chance to win against Alejandro Tabilo according to William Hill ⭐ with the odds of 1.36.
- Alejandro Tabilo has a 43.91% probability of winning facing Lorenzo Musetti ⭐ with odds of 3.5 at Bet365.
Lorenzo Musetti vs Alejandro Tabilo Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Lorenzo Musetti has a 56.09 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
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Lorenzo Musetti | 56.09 % |
Alejandro Tabilo | 43.91 % |
Lorenzo Musetti vs Alejandro Tabilo Form
Lorenzo Musetti and Alejandro Tabilo Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
22 Sep 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open
21 Sep 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open
20 Sep 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open
4 Sep 2025 - ATP US Open
1 Sep 2025 - ATP US Open
30 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
22 Sep 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open
21 Sep 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open
19 Sep 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open
18 Sep 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open
17 Sep 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open
16 Sep 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open
Lorenzo Musetti - Alejandro Tabilo Key Points
- Musetti dropped at least a set in five of his last 10 matches.
- Tabilo failed to win a set completely in only one of his last 10 matches.
- Tabilo dropped sets in four of his last nine matches.
- Musetti won the only previous meeting with Tabilo.
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Our Lorenzo Musetti vs Alejandro Tabilo Prediction
Musetti is the first player to reach consecutive Chengdu Open finals; the Italian holds a 10-2 record at this event and, like his opponent, is playing for a third ATP tour title. Meanwhile, Tabilo is set to return into the top 100 and will want to mark it in style.
Whichever style he chooses, a player who has dropped just one set in the last four matches will not be an easy opponent. This will be a long battle, and our prediction for Lorenzo Musetti v Alejandro Tabilo is for Musetti to win in three sets.
Get up to £30 to bet on the Lorenzo Musetti vs. Alejandro Tabilo game
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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