Livingston vs Motherwell Prediction & Betting Tips - Scottish Premiership

Scotland - Scottish Premiership

Livingston
31/01/2026 10:00
Motherwell

Prediction :

 

Motherwell wins

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Scottish Premiership Predictions

​Motherwell looks to continue pressuring the top-3 teams with a win over last-placed Livingston in Round 24 of the Scottish Premiership. Can The Well make it 3-in-3 against Livingston? Or will we see The Lions roar back to life with a rate victory over Motherwell? Let's get into this match prediction.

Abysmal can't even begin to describe the season Livingston is having. Since they beat Kilmarnock in August, Livi has failed to win a single game, essentially going winless since the first months of the 2025-26 campaign. That's a staggering 21 games without a victory.

Now, The Lions are tasked with beating Motherwell, who are responsible for 14 of their defeats in that 21-game span. And that order couldn't have come at a worse time, considering that Motherwell is in impeccable form at the moment. The Well just beat Kilmarnock 4-0, making it four victories in its last six games (all with clean sheets).

In fact, Motherwell have only lost one of their last 15 games, and that was to the now second-placed Rangers. In truth, the odds are stacked against the home side. But a silver lining for Livi is Motherwell’s underwhelming away form, which has seen them fail to win in nine of their 11 road games all season.

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Livingston v Motherwell Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
4.2 3.85 1.85
Melbet
3.95 3.64 1.85
Betwinner
3.95 3.64 1.85
Bet365
4.1 3.6 1.81
Roobet
4.1 3.65 1.8
Check all Livingston vs Motherwell odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Livingston and Motherwell?

Our prediction for the Livingston vs Motherwell match is: Motherwell wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/01/2026 between Livingston and Motherwell in Scottish Premiership :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 9.54% for a win of Livingston against Motherwell with odds of 4.2 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Livingston vs Motherwell is 45.11% with odds of 3.85 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 45.35% chance ⭐ for a win of Motherwell vs Livingston with odds of 1.85 at Stake.

Livingston - Motherwell Prediction and Best Odds:

Livingston Motherwell Prediction Probability Odds
Motherwell wins 45.35% 1.85 at Stake
Under 2.5 54.7% 2 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 68.33%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Motherwell 21.1% 5 at Bet365

Livingston vs Motherwell Form

Livingston and Motherwell's standings in the Scottish Premiership

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4 Motherwell
54 33 14 12 7 +23
12 Livingston
16 33 1 13 19 -31

Livingston and Motherwell Last Matches

Livingston
Livingston Last matches
L L D D D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

24 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
6 :  2
Livingston

20 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Livingston
1 :  1
St Mirren

17 Jan 2026 - Scottish Cup

Livingston
1 :  1
St Mirren

10 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Livingston
1 :  1
Kilmarnock

3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
1 :  0
Livingston

30 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Livingston
1 :  3
Dundee United
D L L D D D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

20 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Livingston
1 :  1
St Mirren

17 Jan 2026 - Scottish Cup

Livingston
1 :  1
St Mirren

10 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Livingston
1 :  1
Kilmarnock

30 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Livingston
1 :  3
Dundee United

27 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Livingston
2 :  4
Celtic

13 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Livingston
2 :  2
Dundee FC
D L L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
6 :  2
Livingston

3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
1 :  0
Livingston

20 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
1 :  0
Livingston

6 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
3 :  0
Livingston

22 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Rangers
2 :  1
Livingston

8 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Falkirk
1 :  1
Livingston
Motherwell
Motherwell Last matches
L W W D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

24 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
4 :  0
Kilmarnock

17 Jan 2026 - Scottish Cup

Motherwell
1 :  0
Ross County

10 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Hibernian
1 :  1
Motherwell

3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
2 :  0
St Mirren

30 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
2 :  0
Celtic

27 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Rangers
1 :  0
Motherwell
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
0% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

24 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
4 :  0
Kilmarnock

17 Jan 2026 - Scottish Cup

Motherwell
1 :  0
Ross County

3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
2 :  0
St Mirren

30 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
2 :  0
Celtic

20 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
1 :  0
Dundee FC

6 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
3 :  0
Livingston
D W D D L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

10 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Hibernian
1 :  1
Motherwell

27 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Rangers
1 :  0
Motherwell

13 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee United
0 :  0
Motherwell

3 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Falkirk
0 :  0
Motherwell

22 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
1 :  3
Motherwell

9 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
1 :  1
Motherwell

Livingston vs Motherwell Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Livingston

0 %

Draw

0 %

Motherwell

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
83.33%
BTTS
0.83
Goals scored
2.67
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

6 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
3 :  0
Livingston

25 Oct 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Livingston
1 :  2
Motherwell

6 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Motherwell
2 :  1
Livingston

4 May 2024 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
4 :  1
Livingston

28 Feb 2024 - Scottish Premiership

Livingston
1 :  3
Motherwell

26 Dec 2021 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
2 :  1
Livingston

Players list

Livingston
Livingston
Goalkeeper

J. Prior

Defender

B. Fati

D. Finlayson

J. Brenet

Midfielder

E. Danso

M. Tait

S. Pittman

Forward

R. McGowan

R. Muirhead

S. May

C. McLennan

Motherwell
Motherwell
Goalkeeper

C. Ward

Defender

P. McGinn

S. O'Donnell

J. Koutroumbis

Midfielder

T. Sparrow

L. Fadinger

E. Just

O. Priestman

C. Slattery

Forward

T. Maswanhise

I. Said

Substitutes

Livingston
Livingston
Goalkeeper

J. Smith

Defender

B. Kabongolo

D. Wilson

C. Kerr

Midfielder

S. Lawal

B. Fati 77'

L. Smith

C. McLennan 77'

M. Sylla

E. Danso 67'

Forward

J. Zimmerman

S. May 68'

A. Tamm

R. Muirhead 77'

Motherwell
Motherwell
Goalkeeper

M. Connelly

Defender

E. Longelo

T. Maswanhise 77'

J. McGhee

L. Gordon

J. Koutroumbis 86'

Midfielder

Z. McAllister

Forward

E. Bjrgolfsson

E. Just 65'

L. Ross

S. Nicholson

I. Said 65'

A. Stamatelopoulos

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Livingston
CD Huachipato Motherwell
Top Goalscorer
Scotland L. Smith (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Zimbabwe T. Maswanhise (17 Goals)

Livingston - Motherwell Key Points

  1. Livingston has lost the most games this season (14).
  2. Livingston has conceded the most goals at home (21).
  3. Livingston has conceded the most goals this season (48).
  4. Motherwell has conceded the joint-fewest goals (17).
  5. Motherwell has kept the most clean sheets in the league (12).
  6. Motherwell beat Livingston in both meetings this season.
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Our Livingston vs Motherwell Prediction

All facts considered, Motherwell to win at 1.79 odds seems like a steal. Not only are they going against the outright worst defence in the league, but The Well boasts the best defence, with the most clean sheets and fewest goals conceded.

Not to mention form, which Livi is currently lacking while Motherwell is flying high. Livingston has been losing games left and right, with eight defeats in its last 11 games. Hence, our Livingston vs Motherwell prediction is that Motherwell wins.

Prediction :

 

Motherwell wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Livingston Motherwell

Livingston vs Motherwell Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Livingston wins 3.95 4.2 +6.3%
Draw 3.55 3.85 +8.5%
Motherwell wins 1.97 1.85 -6.1%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Motherwell is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.1% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 50.8% and is now 54.1% (3.3%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Livingston vs Motherwell Prediction