Livingston vs Kilmarnock Prediction & Betting Tips - Scottish Premiership

Scotland - Scottish Premiership

Livingston
17/05/2026 09:00
Kilmarnock

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Scottish Premiership Predictions

Livingston are bottom of the Scottish Premiership relegation group and will be in the Championship next season. Their final league game sees them host tenth placed Kilmarnock. Livi have drawn 15 league games and our match prediction here is another draw.The home side are 12 points adrift at the bottom of the table after a miserable league season. Just two of their 38 games have been won, one in their first league game of the season. 15 fixtures have been drawn and 20 lost.

Their most recent game saw the Lions draw 0-0 at Dundee United. They have gone three games since a win at St Mirren in April. Each of their last four home games has been drawn and their last home match against Kilmarncok ended level at 1-1.

All four recent draws saw both teams score and a side bet on that happening here could win.

Kilmarnock are four points above the relegation play-off and safe from the drop. Killie beat Dundee 3-1 at home in midweek and that was their third straight victory. Only one of their last six games has been lost but before this run, they had gone 14 without a win.

Ten of their league games this season have ended in a draw.

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Livingston v Kilmarnock Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.9 3.55 2.4
Melbet
2.84 3.45 2.35
Betwinner
2.84 3.45 2.35
Bet365
2.7 3.6 2.3
Roobet
2.78 3.45 2.34
Check all Livingston vs Kilmarnock odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Livingston and Kilmarnock?

Our prediction for the Livingston vs Kilmarnock match is: draw.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/05/2026 between Livingston and Kilmarnock in Scottish Premiership :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.35% for a win of Livingston against Kilmarnock with odds of 2.9 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Livingston vs Kilmarnock is 37.61% with odds of 3.6 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 34.04% chance ⭐ for a win of Kilmarnock vs Livingston with odds of 2.43 at Tonybet.

Livingston - Kilmarnock Prediction and Best Odds:

Livingston Kilmarnock Prediction Probability Odds
Draw 37.61% 3.6 at Bet365
Over 2.5 goals 59.63% 1.83 at Stake
Both Team To Score 59.17% 1.62 at LSbet
Half-time: Livingston / Full-time: Draw 15.99% 14 at LSbet

Livingston vs Kilmarnock Form

Livingston and Kilmarnock's standings in the Scottish Premiership

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4 Kilmarnock
40 38 10 10 18 -18
6 Livingston
21 38 2 15 21 -35

Livingston and Kilmarnock Last Matches

Livingston
Livingston Last matches
D L W D L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

12 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee United
0 :  0
Livingston

9 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee FC
3 :  0
Livingston

1 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Livingston
2 :  2
Aberdeen

25 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
0 :  2
Livingston

11 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee United
3 :  2
Livingston

5 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Livingston
2 :  2
Heart Of Midlothian FC
L L D D D D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

1 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Livingston
2 :  2
Aberdeen

5 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Livingston
2 :  2
Heart Of Midlothian FC

28 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Livingston
1 :  1
St Mirren

22 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Livingston
2 :  2
Rangers

4 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Livingston
1 :  2
Falkirk

31 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Livingston
0 :  2
Motherwell
D L L W L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

12 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee United
0 :  0
Livingston

9 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee FC
3 :  0
Livingston

25 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
0 :  2
Livingston

11 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee United
3 :  2
Livingston

21 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
2 :  0
Livingston

14 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Hibernian
0 :  0
Livingston
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock Last matches
L D L W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

12 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
3 :  1
Dundee FC

9 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
0 :  3
Kilmarnock

2 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
3 :  0
Dundee United

25 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
1 :  0
Kilmarnock

11 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
2 :  2
Dundee FC

4 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Hibernian
3 :  0
Kilmarnock
L W W D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

12 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
3 :  1
Dundee FC

2 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
3 :  0
Dundee United

11 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
2 :  2
Dundee FC

21 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
2 :  0
Livingston

14 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
1 :  0
Heart Of Midlothian FC

15 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
2 :  3
Celtic
L D L L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
0 :  3
Kilmarnock

25 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
1 :  0
Kilmarnock

4 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Hibernian
3 :  0
Kilmarnock

28 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Falkirk
5 :  1
Kilmarnock

21 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee United
1 :  1
Kilmarnock

4 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Rangers
5 :  1
Kilmarnock

Livingston vs Kilmarnock Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Livingston

0 %

Draw

40 %

Kilmarnock

60 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
40%
BTTS
0.6
Goals scored
1.4
Goals conceded
20%
Over 2.5
80%
Under 2.5

21 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
2 :  0
Livingston

10 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Livingston
1 :  1
Kilmarnock

2 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
2 :  2
Livingston

16 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup

Kilmarnock
1 :  0
Livingston

7 Feb 2024 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
1 :  0
Livingston

Players list

Livingston
Livingston
Goalkeeper

J. Prior

Defender

B. Kabongolo

D. Wilson

C. Kerr

Midfielder

L. Smith

E. Danso

M. Tait

C. Montano

Forward

B. McKay

S. May

R. Muirhead

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Goalkeeper

M. Stryjek

Defender

G. Stanger

M. Schjonning-Larsen

D. Thompson

R. Deas

Midfielder

T. Lowery

G. Kiltie

A. Tshibola

Forward

N. Clescenco

D. Watson 66'

F. Curtis

J. Hugill

Substitutes

Livingston
Livingston
Goalkeeper

J. Hamilton

Defender

B. Fati

M. Tait 85'

Midfielder

S. Arfield

A. Denholm

E. Danso 56'

A. Shinnie

Forward

J. Zimmerman

B. McKay 56'

A. Tamm

S. Culbert

L. Smith 66'

J. Nouble

R. Muirhead 56'

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Goalkeeper

K. Wright

Defender

E. Brown

G. Stanger 62'

E. Bowie

D. Thompson 84'

Midfielder

D. Watson

R. McKenzie

K. Magennis

J. Thomson

A. Tshibola 62'

B. Lyons

M. Schjonning-Larsen 46'

Forward

B. Anderson

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Livingston
CD Huachipato Kilmarnock
Top Goalscorer
Scotland L. Smith (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England T. John-Jules (8 Goals) England J. Hugill (8 Goals)

Livingston - Kilmarnock Key Points

  1. Livingston have drawn 15 league games this season, eight at home.
  2. On the road, Kilmarnock have drawn six league fixtures.
  3. The last Livingston home game against Kilmarnock ended in a 1-1 draw.
  4. Livingston have drawn each of their last four home matches.
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Our Livingston vs Kilmarnock Prediction

Livingston prepare to bid farewell for now to the Scottish Premiership. They have already been relegated after a campaign that has produced just a couple of league victories. They have drawn 15 league games this season, including each of the last four.

Kilmarnock's recent good form has been enough to see them guarantee their Scottish Premiership future for next season. They beat Livingston at home in March but could only draw here in January. Our Livingston v Kilmarnock prediction is a draw.

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Livingston Kilmarnock

Livingston vs Kilmarnock Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Livingston wins 2.7 2.9 +7.4%
Draw 3.6 3.6 0%
Kilmarnock wins 2.55 2.43 -4.7%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • A draw is the most likely outcome
  • The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
  • The probability of this result was 27.8% and is now 27.8% (0.0%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Livingston vs Kilmarnock Prediction