Liverpool vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Premier League Predictions
Liverpool and Newcastle United will resume their Premier League duties after a night out in the Champions League on Wednesday. For this match, hosted by Liverpool, just like last in their midweek assignments, both teams will be eyeing three crucial points. Setbacks in the last round of league matches left these two sides outside the European football slots, and this will be another chance to push for that. Read on for our match prediction.
Liverpool suffered a late heartbreak last time out, leaving not just their title defence in shambles but also their chase for Champions League football. They enter this round placed sixth.
Newcastle United’s Premier League campaign has also been poor, and it didn’t get any better with their eighth defeat of the season last time out. Coming into this round, the Magpies are sitting ninth, and a loss here could see them drop to as low as 12th.
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Liverpool v Newcastle Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.69 | 4.4 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.6 | 4.36 | 5 |
|
|
1.76 | 4.06 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.62 | 4.33 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.74 | 4 | 4.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Liverpool and Newcastle?
Our prediction for the Liverpool vs Newcastle match is: Liverpool wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/01/2026 between Liverpool and Newcastle in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.91% for a win of Liverpool against Newcastle with odds of 1.82 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Liverpool vs Newcastle is 33.34% with odds of 4.4 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 14.75% chance ⭐ for a win of Newcastle vs Liverpool with odds of 5 at Melbet.
Liverpool - Newcastle Prediction and Best Odds:
| Liverpool Newcastle Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins | 51.91% | 1.82 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.75% | 1.55 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score: No | 50.42% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Liverpool/Liverpool | 26.36% | 2.5 at Bet365 |
Liverpool vs Newcastle Form
Liverpool and Newcastle's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
60 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | +10 |
|
12
|
49 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -2 |
Liverpool and Newcastle Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
12 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
8 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
12 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
8 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
18 Jan 2026 - Premier League
13 Jan 2026 - Carabao Cup
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
13 Jan 2026 - Carabao Cup
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
18 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
26 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
Liverpool vs Newcastle Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Aug 2025 - Premier League
16 Mar 2025 - Carabao Cup
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
1 Jan 2024 - Premier League
27 Aug 2023 - Premier League
Liverpool - Newcastle: Form Analysis
Liverpool gave a befitting response to their late collapse over the weekend, thrashing Qarabag 6-0 at home in the Champions League. That confirmed their spot in the top eight. They will want to carry the same spirit back to the league, where their title defence has really been feeble.
The loss to Bournemouth last week was their seventh of the season. That’s already three more than last term, when the last two came after their title had been confirmed. Arne Slot’s men aren’t doing any better in defence either, having conceded 32 times in their 23 league games and being left with a +3 goal difference. That’s the lowest across the top six teams.
Liverpool are unbeaten against Newcastle in 18 league games.
Newcastle United also had their night out in the Champions League, facing the European champions PSG away in Paris. They survived an early penalty miss from their hosts but in the end needed a Joe Willock strike to steal a 1-1 draw.
That wasn’t enough to secure them a top eight finish, but it is a concern for another time. At the moment the focus is to avoid dropping out of the Premier League top 10. Eddie Howe’s men aren’t doing so great in that area, as they’ve failed to win any of their last two league games. The latest one was a 2-0 fall at home to Aston Villa, marking their eighth defeat of the campaign.
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Liverpool against Newcastle Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
G. Mamardashvili
DefenderC. Ramsay
A. Nallo
A. Robertson
MidfielderF. Chiesa
W. Endo
T. Nyoni
C. Jones
R. Ngumoha
A. Ramsdale
DefenderA. Murphy
S. Botman
L. Shahar
MidfielderL. Miley
J. Murphy
W. Osula
N. Woltemade
Y. Wissa
Missing players
J. Gomez
C. Bradley
S. Bajcetic
G. Leoni
F. Schar
ForwardJoelinton
Liverpool & Newcastle Squad Analysis
Liverpool are expected to cope just fine even though they will miss a number of players in this match. Ibrahima Konate is out on compassionate leave, jeopardizing their targets for a first clean sheet in four league games. The Reds will, however, be happy to see Mohamed Salah back on the scoring sheet.
The Egyptian netted in the 6-0 rout of Qarabag, ending a nine-match wait for a goal at club level. He had earlier provided an assist in the Bournemouth loss, and such involvement in attack could be a pointer he is getting back to his best. In Liverpool’s last two home matches against Newcastle, Salah had four goal contributions.
Former Newcastle man Alexander Isak will miss this game as he recovers from a broken leg.
Newcastle United will also have a few key men ruled out here. Among them will be Brazilian midfielder Joelinton. The 29-year-old suffered a thigh injury in the loss to Aston Villa last weekend and had to miss the midweek match.
His return is set for mid-February, so this match comes too soon. The big miss for Newcastle, however, will be Fabian Schar. The defender is nursing an ankle injury and has so far missed five matches, with his return set for April. Newcastle have found it tough keeping clean sheets, and this will be another outing where they wish their defensive stalwart was available.
Most goals and assists
Liverpool
Newcastle
H. Ekitike
(11 Goals)
B. Guimaraes
(9 Goals)
M. Salah
(7 Assists)
, 
D. Szoboszlai
(7 Assists)
B. Guimaraes
(5 Assists)
Liverpool - Newcastle Key Points
- Liverpool have won half of their last 10 matches.
- Half of Newcastle’s last 10 away games ended in defeat.
- Newcastle lost in each of their last four league visits to Liverpool.
- In 19 meetings between these two sides, Liverpool only lost once.
- All season, Newcastle have managed two away wins in the league.
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Our Liverpool vs Newcastle Prediction
Liverpool have done league doubles on Newcastle United in five of the last seven seasons. They won’t be faulted for feeling they can do the same this season too. The first meeting went in the Reds’ favor, and they come into this game as slight favorites.
Playing at home will surely boost them, seeing that Newcastle have struggled a lot in their away games. Also, the Magpies have lost at Anfield in each of the last four EPL visits. Our prediction for Liverpool v Newcastle United is that Liverpool wins.
Liverpool vs Newcastle Alternative Predictions
Mohamed Salah to score or assist
Mohamed Salah is rediscovering his form after a slow start to the season, coupled with a public spat with his manager. The Egyptian returned from AFCON refreshed and has started in all their matches.
In the last two he had goal contributions and also had a good run against Newcastle the last two times Liverpool hosted this match. Salah has four goal involvements in Liverpool’s last two home games against Newcastle. As such, we are backing him to score or assist.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Liverpool Newcastle
| Liverpool vs Newcastle | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins | 1.91 | 1.82 | -4.7% |
| Draw | 3.92 | 4.4 | +12.2% |
| Newcastle wins | 4.23 | 5 | +18.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Liverpool is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.4% and is now 54.9% (2.6%)
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Liverpool vs Newcastle - FAQs
The Liverpool v Newcastle United match will be played on Saturday, 31st January.
The Liverpool v Newcastle United match will be played at Anfield, in Liverpool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
