Liverpool vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
Few fixtures fire the fooballing imagination quite like this one, as formidable foes Liverpool and Manchester City prepare to face off at Anfield in the Premier League Matchday 25 finale on Sunday evening. The Reds are sixth in the league standings, while the Citizens are second after 24 games. Check out our match prediction below!
After doing the league double over the Sky Blues last season, Arne Slot finds the tables turned this term, with his side chasing redemption following a 3-0 defeat in November’s reverse meeting. Retaining the title now looks a distant prospect for the Scousers, and another setback here would only intensify scrutiny over their hopes of securing Champions League qualification.
City, meanwhile, are still the favourites to challenge Arsenal for the title this season, but recent weeks have been marked by frustrating inconsistency - something laid bare against Spurs last weekend. Now six points behind the Gunners, Pep Guardiola will be acutely aware that this result could shape the trajectory of this season’s title race. Let’s get into the key stats!
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Liverpool v Manchester City Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.2 | 3.95 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.18 | 3.94 | 2.94 |
|
|
2.22 | 3.94 | 2.87 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.9 | 3 |
|
|
2.18 | 3.75 | 2.96 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Liverpool and Manchester City?
Our prediction for the Liverpool vs Manchester City match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/02/2026 between Liverpool and Manchester City in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.13% for a win of Liverpool against Manchester City with odds of 2.3 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Liverpool vs Manchester City is 30.7% with odds of 4 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.17% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester City vs Liverpool with odds of 3.1 at Stake.
Liverpool - Manchester City Prediction and Best Odds:
| Liverpool Manchester City Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins | 44.13% | 2.3 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.75% | |
| Both Team To Score | 52.92% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Liverpool/Liverpool | 18.86% | 3.4 at Bet365 |
Liverpool vs Manchester City Form
Liverpool and Manchester City's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
78 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | +42 |
|
5
|
60 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | +10 |
Liverpool and Manchester City Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
12 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
12 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
8 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Feb 2026 - Carabao Cup
1 Feb 2026 - Premier League
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Feb 2026 - Carabao Cup
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2026 - Premier League
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
13 Jan 2026 - Carabao Cup
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
Liverpool vs Manchester City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
23 Feb 2025 - Premier League
1 Dec 2024 - Premier League
10 Mar 2024 - Premier League
25 Nov 2023 - Premier League
1 Apr 2023 - Premier League
Liverpool - Manchester City: Form Analysis
After that whirlwind 3-2 loss to Bournemouth on MD23, Liverpool secured a resounding and much-needed 4-1 victory over Newcastle last weekend to remain within two points of the top four.
That result brought an end to the Reds' five-match winless league run (D4 L1), which included very disappointing stalemates against newly promoted sides Leeds United (0-0) and Burnley (1-1).
However, the hosts have been good at home lately, now unbeaten in their last eight matches across all competitions (W5 D3), while having scored 15 goals in their last four matches here at Anfield.
Liverpool are unbeaten in their last four EPL home games against Man City (W2 D2)!
Meanwhile, Manchester City looked to be cruising to victory against Spurs last weekend, but they squandered a 2-0 first-half lead and were forced to settle for a 2-2 draw. That saw them fall six points behind Arsenal at the summit.
However, the Citizens bounced back impressively in midweek, beating Newcastle 3-1 in the second leg of their Carabao Cup semi-final tie. With that result, they have now scored two or more goals in each of their last four games.
On the road, though, the Sky Blues are winless in their last three, including a shocking 3-1 loss to Bodo/ Glimt in the UCL, and they have only won one of their last five away games in all competitions.
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Liverpool against Manchester City Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
G. Mamardashvili
F. Woodman
DefenderC. Ramsay
A. Robertson
MidfielderW. Endo
C. Jones
T. Nyoni
F. Chiesa
R. Ngumoha
J. Trafford
DefenderR. Lewis
M. Alleyne
R. Dias
N. Ake
P. Foden
T. Reijnders
N. Gonzalez
R. Cherki
Missing players
J. Gomez
C. Bradley
S. Bajcetic
G. Leoni
J. Gvardiol
MidfielderM. Kovacic
Liverpool & Manchester City Squad Analysis
Florian Wirtz is starting to show why Liverpool splashed out a staggering £100m to bring him to Anfield in the summer. The German has notched up six goal contributions in his last eight league games, including a goal and an assist against the Magpies last weekend.
Hugo Ekitike bagged a brace last weekend and is now averaging a goal involvement every 112 minutes in the Prem this season. He is now also the youngest Red to reach 10 goals in an EPL season since Michael Owen.
With Conor Bradley, Jeremie Frimpong and Joe Gomez sidelined, Dominik Szoboszlai will likely start at right-back for this match. Alexander Isak and Giovanni Leoni are ruled out for the foreseeable future.
Erling Haaland has never scored a Premier League goal at Anfield!
The Norwegian international has been some way off his best lately, having only scored twice in his last 12 appearances, which saw him dropped to the bench against Newcastle in midweek.
One player that has been thriving since arriving at the Etihad is Antoine Semenyo, who now has four goals in six City appearances, and also scored twice in a six-goal thriller at Anfield for Bournemouth on the opening day of this season.
John Stones and Ruben Dias returned to training this week but are unlikely to start this match. Bernardo Silva missed the midweek fixture with a muscle issue and will join Jeremy Doku, Savinho, Josko Gvardiol and Mateo Kovacic on the sidelines if he does not pass a late fitness test.
Most goals and assists
Liverpool
Manchester City
H. Ekitike
(11 Goals)
E. Haaland
(27 Goals)
M. Salah
(7 Assists)
, 
D. Szoboszlai
(7 Assists)
R. Cherki
(12 Assists)
Liverpool - Manchester City Key Points
- Four of Liverpool’s last five league games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Liverpool have scored two or more goals in five of their last seven home matches.
- Man City and Liverpool are averaging 1.82 and 1.61 xG per 90 this season, respectively.
- Man City have scored two or more goals in each of their last four games in all competitions.
- Man City have conceded two or more goals in each of their last three away matches in all competitions.
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Our Liverpool vs Manchester City Prediction
While Liverpool have an impressive record at home against this opponent, their defence has been far from its best this season, having already shipped 33 goals - the second-most of the top eight teams in the league standings.
For Man City, this is a match they have to win to maintain pressure on Arsenal at the top of the league table. However, they have not kept a clean sheet in their last six EPL visits to Anfield, and we feel they will struggle to change that in this one. Our Liverpool vs Manchester City prediction is BTTS.
Liverpool vs Manchester City Alternative Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
Liverpool have scored two or more goals in five of their last seven home matches, while Man City have netted two or more goals in each of their last four games in all competitions
Antoine Semenyo to score or assist
Antoine Semenyo has four goals in six appearances since joining Man City, and he scored a brace for Bournemouth at this venue on the opening day of this season.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Liverpool Manchester City
| Liverpool vs Manchester City | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins | 2.9 | 2.3 | -20.7% |
| Draw | 3.81 | 4 | +5.0% |
| Manchester City wins | 2.45 | 3.1 | +26.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Liverpool is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 20.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 34.5% and is now 43.5% (9.0%)
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Liverpool vs Manchester City - FAQs
The Premier League match between Liverpool and Manchester City will take place on February 8 at 16:30 GMT.
The Premier League match between Liverpool and Manchester City will be played at Anfield in Liverpool.
The Premier League match between Liverpool and Manchester City will be broadcast on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
