Liverpool vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips - Clubs Friendlies

Friendlies - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
02/08/2026 16:00
Leeds

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Football Predictions

After beating Sunderland and Wrexham in earlier friendly matches, Liverpool are set to take on Leeds United. This will be the third friendly game for both sides, and given the fixture's history with goals, this prediction backs over 2.5.

The Reds, pitching preseason camp in the US, have been on the rise under new manager Andoni Iraola. The former Premier League champions are getting stronger as preseason progresses, and Iraola can now call on Alexander Isak, Ryan Gravenberch, and Florian Wirtz.

Liverpool have already seen off Sunderland (4-2) and Wrexham (1-0), and there are signs they can get back to their best after a feeble campaign.

Towards the close of last season, they failed to win any of their four matches, losing twice, as they finished fifth. After this friendly, they will have three more before kicking off the season.

Leeds United secured their place in the topflight late in the season, and manager Daniel Farke hopes for a better campaign. They wrapped it eight points above the relegation zone, having earned two of their points from home and away draws against Liverpool.

Here, Leeds will be looking to improve on the 0-0 and 3-3 draws they posted against the Reds. They’ve had a mixed run so far in preseason, starting off with a 3-2 defeat to Wrexham before beating Sunderland 1-0.

After this match, Leeds will have three more warm-up games before starting off their season against Nottingham.  

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Liverpool v Leeds Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.11 3.9 2.9
1xbet
2.11 3.88 2.98
Melbet
1.94 4.15 3.18
Betwinner
1.56 4.45 4.96
22bet
1.94 4.15 3.18
Check all Liverpool vs Leeds odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Liverpool and Leeds?

Our prediction for the Liverpool vs Leeds match is: more than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/08/2026 between Liverpool and Leeds in Clubs Friendlies :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.71% for a win of Liverpool against Leeds with odds of 2.11 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Liverpool vs Leeds is 33.4% with odds of 4.45 at Betwinner.
  • Our prediction model gives a 22.88% chance ⭐ for a win of Leeds vs Liverpool with odds of 4.96 at Betwinner.

Liverpool - Leeds Prediction and Best Odds:

Liverpool Leeds Prediction Probability Odds
Liverpool wins 43.71% 2.11 at Stake
Over 2.5 goals 57.94% 1.44 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 65.83%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Liverpool 24.65% 6.5 at 1xbet

Liverpool vs Leeds Form

Liverpool and Leeds Last Matches

Liverpool
Liverpool Last matches
L D L D W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
1 :  0
Wrexham

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
4 :  2
Sunderland

24 May 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Brentford

15 May 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  2
Liverpool

9 May 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Chelsea

3 May 2026 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  2
Liverpool
L W D D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
1 :  0
Wrexham

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
4 :  2
Sunderland

24 May 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Brentford

9 May 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Chelsea

25 Apr 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
3 :  1
Crystal Palace

14 Apr 2026 - Champions League

Liverpool
0 :  2
PSG
L L L W L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

15 May 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  2
Liverpool

3 May 2026 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  2
Liverpool

19 Apr 2026 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  2
Liverpool

8 Apr 2026 - Champions League

PSG
2 :  0
Liverpool

4 Apr 2026 - FA Cup

Manchester City
4 :  0
Liverpool

21 Mar 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Liverpool
Leeds
Leeds Last matches
W D W L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

30 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
1 :  0
Sunderland

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
2 :  3
Wrexham

24 May 2026 - Premier League

West Ham
3 :  0
Leeds

17 May 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  0
Brighton

11 May 2026 - Premier League

Tottenham
1 :  1
Leeds

1 May 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  1
Burnley
D W W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

30 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
1 :  0
Sunderland

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
2 :  3
Wrexham

17 May 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  0
Brighton

1 May 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  1
Burnley

18 Apr 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  0
Wolves

21 Mar 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  0
Brentford
D W D L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

24 May 2026 - Premier League

West Ham
3 :  0
Leeds

11 May 2026 - Premier League

Tottenham
1 :  1
Leeds

26 Apr 2026 - FA Cup

Chelsea
1 :  0
Leeds

22 Apr 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  2
Leeds

13 Apr 2026 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  2
Leeds

5 Apr 2026 - FA Cup

West Ham
2 :  2
Leeds

Liverpool vs Leeds Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Liverpool

50 %

Draw

33 %

Leeds

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.17
Total goals
50%
BTTS
3.17
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
83.33%
Over 2.5
16.67%
Under 2.5

1 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
0 :  0
Leeds

6 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  3
Liverpool

17 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  6
Liverpool

29 Oct 2022 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  2
Leeds

23 Feb 2022 - Premier League

Liverpool
6 :  0
Leeds

12 Sept 2021 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  3
Liverpool
Liverpool vs Leeds Prediction

Liverpool against Leeds Lineups: Starting 11

Liverpool

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

25
G. Mamardashvili
30
J. Frimpong
83
I. Ndukwe
44
L. Chambers
6
M. Kerkez
42
T. Nyoni
8
D. Szoboszlai
68
K. Morrison
7
F. Wirtz
73
R. Ngumoha
9
A. Isak
18
A. Stach
14
L. Nmecha
7
D. James
3
G. Gudmundsson
22
A. Tanaka
4
E. Ampadu
24
J. Justin
5
T. Muharemovic
6
J. Rodon
2
J. Bogle
21
A. Cairns

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

Leeds

Substitutes

Liverpool
Liverpool
Goalkeeper

H. Davies

F. Woodman

Defender

C. Scanlon

C. Ramsay

E. Mor Talla Ndiaye

K. Tsimikas

Midfielder

J. McConnell

H. Elliott

L. Koumas

R. Gravenberch

F. Chiesa

C. Jones

Forward

W. Wright

J. Abe

J. Sonni-Lambie

Leeds
Leeds
Goalkeeper

R. Mahady

D. Ombang

Defender

F. Lane

J. Lienou

S. Bornauw

Midfielder

C. Mills

C. Crewe

A. Cresswell

R. Chadwick

S. Longstaff

O. Pickles

Forward

G. Wilfried

B. Aaronson

J. Piroe

D. Calvert-Lewin

H. Wilson

Liverpool - Leeds Key Points

  1. Liverpool’s last five matches saw 17 goals scored.
  2. Liverpool have scored five times so far in preseason.
  3. Leeds United’s two preseason matches have had six goals.
  4. Leeds conceded 3+ in three of their last five games against Liverpool.
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Our Liverpool vs Leeds Prediction

Whenever Leeds have been in the Premier League, there has always been the likelihood of this being a high-scoring game. None of the last four times did a season end without six goals coming off these teams’ two meetings. As they are now meeting in a friendly game, we expect that outcome even more.

Seven goals have been scored in Liverpool’s two friendly games while six have been netted in Leeds’. Recent matches have also shown these two aren’t the best defensively either. With such stats, our prediction for Liverpool v Leeds United is for more than 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Liverpool Leeds

Liverpool vs Leeds Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Liverpool wins 1.72 2.11 +22.7%
Draw 4.1 4.45 +8.5%
Leeds wins 3.9 4.96 +27.2%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Liverpool is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 22.7% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 58.1% and is now 47.4% (-10.7%)

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Try your luck on this year's Clubs Friendlies! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.