Liverpool vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
England - FA Cup
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in FA Cup Predictions
It'll be nothing short of blockbuster action when Liverpool plays Brighton in Round 4 of the FA Cup. With even a spot in Europe slipping out of The Reds' hands, the FA Cup might be Arne Slot's chance to salvage what's been an underwhelming season. The problem is that the Seagulls, who now face a real and existential relegation threat, are just as desperate for the silverware. Let's get into this match prediction!
Liverpool bounced back from home defeat to Man City with a tight win over Sunderland. That victory has now seen the Reds win three of their last four games and go unbeaten in 16 of their last 18 games. But the next challenge is one they'll find rather tricky. The Reds did beat Brighton 2-0 earlier this season, but Liverpool won't forget their 2023 exit in this very tournament at the hands of The Seagulls.
But most don't fancy Brighton's chances of winning this game, and for very good reasons. The Seagulls remain winless in five straight games. And just to give a general summary of their season, Brighton is now down to 14th in the league, with just three points clear of the relegation zone.
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Liverpool v Brighton Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.5 | 4.7 | 5.6 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.52 | 5.1 |
|
|
1.49 | 4.78 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.42 | 4.75 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.6 | 5.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Liverpool and Brighton?
Our prediction for the Liverpool vs Brighton match is: Liverpool wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/02/2026 between Liverpool and Brighton in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.86% for a win of Liverpool against Brighton with odds of 1.63 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Liverpool vs Brighton is 27.27% with odds of 4.78 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 16.88% chance ⭐ for a win of Brighton vs Liverpool with odds of 6.25 at Bet365.
Liverpool - Brighton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Liverpool Brighton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins | 55.86% | 1.63 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.61% | |
| Both Team To Score | 72.5% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Liverpool/Liverpool | 28.99% | 2.15 at LSbet |
Liverpool vs Brighton Form
Liverpool and Brighton Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
12 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
8 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
19 Jan 2026 - Premier League
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
19 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
7 Dec 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
Liverpool vs Brighton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
19 May 2025 - Premier League
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
31 Mar 2024 - Premier League
8 Oct 2023 - Premier League
Liverpool - Brighton: Form Analysis
The difference in form couldn't be more stark between these two. Even with Liverpool underperforming in their title defence season, they are still miles ahead of Brighton.
With the win over Sunderland, Liverpool has now won three of its last four games, also beating Newcastle and Qarabag.
That victory also stretched The Reds' unbeaten run to 16 of its last 18 games in all tournaments.
Interestingly, among those 18 games was a 2-0 victory over Brighton. Meanwhile, Brighton has played 11 games since that Anfield defeat and has only won two.
One of those victories was against relegation-bound Burnley, and the other was against Man United in the last round of this tournament. Since then, Brighton has failed to win in five games, even going goalless in the last two.
Still, the Seagulls may fancy their chances against Liverpool, considering they've not lost in five of their last nine meetings, while winning three.
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Liverpool against Brighton Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
G. Mamardashvili
DefenderC. Ramsay
A. Robertson
J. Gomez
R. Gravenberch
K. Morrison
T. Nyoni
H. Ekitike
R. Ngumoha
B. Verbruggen
DefenderM. Wieffer
M. De Cuyper
O. Boscagli
J. Milner
K. Mitoma
G. Rutter
Y. Minteh
D. Welbeck
Missing players
C. Bradley
S. Bajcetic
G. Leoni
ForwardA. Isak
Y. Ayari
ForwardS. Tzimas
Liverpool & Brighton Squad Analysis
Personnel-wise, Liverpool not only has the stronger roster, but also enters this game with several players in superior form than Brighton’s men. And we're taking all areas of the field, from goalkeeper to striker.
The defensive pairing of Virgil van Dijk and Ibrahima Konate in front of Alisson between the posts is directly responsible for Liverpool's 16-game unbeaten run in their last 18 games. However, it's The Reds' forwards Brighton may need to be most worried about.
Ekitike is in fiery form, with 12 G/A in his last 14 games in all competitions.
What's more, it was the Frenchman who scored both goals in Liverpool's 2-0 win over Brighton earlier this season.
It should also go without saying that Brighton must find a way to keep Mohammed Salah quiet, especially after recording a goal or assist in four of his last five games.
As for Brighton, they'll be relying on Danny Welbeck for the goal, as he has eight while the rest of the squad has three or fewer.
However, Welbeck has failed to record a goal contribution in his last five games, but did score a second goal that knocked Man United out in the last round.
Liverpool - Brighton Key Points
- Brighton has lost three of its last four games.
- Liverpool has won three of its last four games.
- In the league, Liverpool has scored the fifth-most goals (41).
- Liverpool has won four of its last five meetings against Brighton.
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Our Liverpool vs Brighton Prediction
The Seagulls are formidable opponents and showed exactly that with their victory over Man United in the last round. However, they performed against an underperforming United side. In truth, Brighton has been abysmal all season and has failed to win ever since the Man Utd victory.
Brighton has now lost three of its last four, which is in sharp contrast to Liverpool's form of three victories in the last four. Hence, our Liverpool vs Brighton prediction is that Liverpool wins.
Liverpool vs Brighton Alternative Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Liverpool Brighton
| Liverpool vs Brighton | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins | 1.66 | 1.63 | -1.8% |
| Draw | 3.55 | 4.78 | +34.6% |
| Brighton wins | 5.4 | 6.25 | +15.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Liverpool is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 60.2% and is now 61.3% (1.1%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Liverpool vs. Brighton game
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
