Liverpool vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips - Women's Super League

England - Women's Super League

Liverpool
16/05/2026 08:00
Arsenal

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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 by Ian John | in Women's Super League Predictions

Arguably the key game of the final weekend of WSL action sees Liverpool Women host Arsenal Women, with the Gunners seeking the three points that will assure them of Champions League Group Stage qualification directly. A point may be enough for Arsenal given their advantage in goal difference over Chelsea, but the Reds will not be in any mood to end their season with a home defeat. Neither side has been amongst the goals of late, hence our flexible Under 2.5 Goals selection for this game.

The WSL table shows Arsenal lying second behind Champions Manchester City, but the Gunners are two points clear of Chelsea heading into this game. A defeat for Arsenal and Chelsea win would see Arsenal drop to third. Liverpool lie 11th in the table with 17 points and a win could move them as high as eighth in the table depending on other results.

The Reds come into this game in a poor run of form. After beating Charlton 1-0 away in the FA Cup Quarterfinals, they then lost 1-0 at home to West Ham, followed by another 1-0 defeat, away to Man City. Then they led 2-0 before going down to a 3-2 defeat at home to Brighton in the FA Cup semi-final at the weekend.

Arsenal will be shattered heading into this final game of the season, their fifth in 15 days. That run started with a 3-1 loss at Lyon in the Champions League, followed by a 1-1 draw at brighton, a 3-0 win at Aston Villa followed and in midweek, they beat Everton 1-0 at home in midweek. 

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Liverpool v Arsenal Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
9.4 5.2 1.25
Melbet
10.7 5.35 1.22
Betwinner
11.2 5.45 1.21
Bet365
9 5.5 1.25
BC Game
9.4 5.2 1.26
Check all Liverpool vs Arsenal odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Liverpool and Arsenal?

Our prediction for the Liverpool vs Arsenal match is: Under 2.5 Goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/05/2026 between Liverpool and Arsenal in Women's Super League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.07% for a win of Liverpool against Arsenal with odds of 11.2 at Betwinner.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Liverpool vs Arsenal is 8.23% with odds of 6 at Betway.
  • Our prediction model gives a 54.7% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Liverpool with odds of 1.28 at Shangrila.

Liverpool - Arsenal Prediction and Best Odds:

Liverpool Arsenal Prediction Probability Odds
Arsenal wins 54.7% 1.28 at Shangrila
Over 2.5 goals 50.03% 1.81 at Stake
Both Team To Score: No 62.08%
Half-time / Full-time: Arsenal/Arsenal 21.07% 1.8 at Bet365

Liverpool vs Arsenal Form

Liverpool and Arsenal's standings in the Women's Super League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Arsenal
51 22 15 6 1 +39
11 Liverpool
17 22 4 5 13 -13

Liverpool and Arsenal Last Matches

Liverpool
Liverpool Last matches
D W W L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

10 May 2026 - Women's FA Cup

Liverpool
2 :  3
Brighton And Hove Albion WFC

3 May 2026 - Women's Super League

Manchester City
1 :  0
Liverpool

26 Apr 2026 - Women's Super League

Liverpool
0 :  1
West Ham United FC

5 Apr 2026 - Women's FA Cup

Charlton Athletic
0 :  1
Liverpool

28 Mar 2026 - Women's Super League

Everton
2 :  3
Liverpool

22 Mar 2026 - Women's Super League

Brighton And Hove Albion WFC
0 :  0
Liverpool
W W W W L L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 May 2026 - Women's FA Cup

Liverpool
2 :  3
Brighton And Hove Albion WFC

26 Apr 2026 - Women's Super League

Liverpool
0 :  1
West Ham United FC

15 Mar 2026 - Women's Super League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Leicester City WFC

22 Feb 2026 - Women's FA Cup

Liverpool
2 :  1
Everton

8 Feb 2026 - Women's Super League

Liverpool
4 :  1
Aston Villa WFC

25 Jan 2026 - Women's Super League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Tottenham Hotspur FC
L L D W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

3 May 2026 - Women's Super League

Manchester City
1 :  0
Liverpool

5 Apr 2026 - Women's FA Cup

Charlton Athletic
0 :  1
Liverpool

28 Mar 2026 - Women's Super League

Everton
2 :  3
Liverpool

22 Mar 2026 - Women's Super League

Brighton And Hove Albion WFC
0 :  0
Liverpool

15 Feb 2026 - Women's Super League

Chelsea
2 :  0
Liverpool

1 Feb 2026 - Women's Super League

Manchester United WFC
3 :  1
Liverpool
Arsenal
Arsenal Last matches
W W L D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 May 2026 - Women's Super League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Everton

9 May 2026 - Women's Super League

Aston Villa WFC
0 :  3
Arsenal

6 May 2026 - Women's Super League

Brighton And Hove Albion WFC
1 :  1
Arsenal

2 May 2026 - Women's Champions League

Olympique Lyon
3 :  1
Arsenal

29 Apr 2026 - Women's Super League

Arsenal
7 :  0
Leicester City WFC

26 Apr 2026 - Women's Champions League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Olympique Lyon
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
50% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 May 2026 - Women's Super League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Everton

29 Apr 2026 - Women's Super League

Arsenal
7 :  0
Leicester City WFC

26 Apr 2026 - Women's Champions League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Olympique Lyon

5 Apr 2026 - Women's FA Cup

Arsenal
0 :  2
Brighton And Hove Albion WFC

28 Mar 2026 - Women's Super League

Arsenal
5 :  2
Tottenham Hotspur FC

24 Mar 2026 - Women's Champions League

Arsenal
3 :  1
Chelsea
W W L L D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 May 2026 - Women's Super League

Aston Villa WFC
0 :  3
Arsenal

6 May 2026 - Women's Super League

Brighton And Hove Albion WFC
1 :  1
Arsenal

2 May 2026 - Women's Champions League

Olympique Lyon
3 :  1
Arsenal

1 Apr 2026 - Women's Champions League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Arsenal

15 Mar 2026 - Women's Super League

London City Lionesses
0 :  2
Arsenal

11 Feb 2026 - Women's Champions League

Oud-Heverlee Leuven
0 :  4
Arsenal

Liverpool vs Arsenal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Liverpool

17 %

Draw

0 %

Arsenal

83 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

6 Dec 2025 - Women's Super League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Liverpool

22 Mar 2025 - Women's Super League

Arsenal
4 :  0
Liverpool

9 Mar 2025 - Women's FA Cup

Arsenal
0 :  1
Liverpool

15 Dec 2024 - Women's Super League

Liverpool
0 :  1
Arsenal

28 Jan 2024 - Women's Super League

Liverpool
0 :  2
Arsenal

13 Feb 2020 - Women's Super League

Liverpool
2 :  3
Arsenal
Liverpool vs Arsenal Prediction

Players list

Liverpool
Liverpool
Goalkeeper

J. Falk

Defender

A. Bernabe De Santiago

J. Clark

Midfielder

K. MacLean

D. O'Sullivan

G. Fisk

F. Nagano

Forward

A. Josendal

B. Olsson

M. Enderby

A. Bergstrom

Arsenal
Arsenal
Goalkeeper

D. Van Domselaar

Defender

E. Fox

L. Codina

L. Wubben-Moy

Midfielder

V. Pelova

Forward

M. Caldentey

C. Foord

K. McCabe

B. Mead

S. Blackstenius

A. Russo

Substitutes

Liverpool
Liverpool
Goalkeeper

F. Kirby

Defender

G. Bonner

C. Holland

R. Shimizu

G. Evans

Midfielder

Z. Shaw

A. Csillag

M. Trueman

Forward

C. Kapocs

Arsenal
Arsenal
Goalkeeper

A. Borbe

Defender

S. Holmberg

L. Williamson

S. Catley

T. Hinds

Midfielder

K. Little

F. Maanum

Forward

O. Smith

C. Kelly

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Liverpool
CD Huachipato Arsenal
Top Goalscorer
Sweden B. Olsson (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England A. Russo (11 Goals)

Liverpool - Arsenal Key Points

  1. Five of Liverpool's last seven games have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
  2. Four of Arsenal's last seven games have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
  3. Six of the last eight games between these two teams have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
  4. Seven of Liverpool's ten home league games have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
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Our Liverpool vs Arsenal Prediction

Our prediction for the Liverpool Women vs. Arsenal Women WSL match is: Under 2.5 Goals.

Arsenal know they need a win to ensure that they finish second in the table, although given their goal difference advantage over Chelsea, a draw is likely to be enough too. Liverpool's form has been much improved in the second half of the campaign so they will provide a stiff test for the Gunners. With this being Arsenal's fifth game in 15 days, the Gunners will be tired, and both teams are solid defensively, hence the Under 2.5 option is the bet to back.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Liverpool Arsenal

Liverpool vs Arsenal Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Liverpool wins 10.9 11.2 +2.8%
Draw 5.3 6 +13.2%
Arsenal wins 1.22 1.28 +4.9%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Arsenal is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 4.9% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 82.0% and is now 78.1% (-3.8%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.