Liverpool vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips - Women's Super League
England - Women's Super League
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by Ian John | in Women's Super League Predictions
Arguably the key game of the final weekend of WSL action sees Liverpool Women host Arsenal Women, with the Gunners seeking the three points that will assure them of Champions League Group Stage qualification directly. A point may be enough for Arsenal given their advantage in goal difference over Chelsea, but the Reds will not be in any mood to end their season with a home defeat. Neither side has been amongst the goals of late, hence our flexible Under 2.5 Goals selection for this game.
The WSL table shows Arsenal lying second behind Champions Manchester City, but the Gunners are two points clear of Chelsea heading into this game. A defeat for Arsenal and Chelsea win would see Arsenal drop to third. Liverpool lie 11th in the table with 17 points and a win could move them as high as eighth in the table depending on other results.
The Reds come into this game in a poor run of form. After beating Charlton 1-0 away in the FA Cup Quarterfinals, they then lost 1-0 at home to West Ham, followed by another 1-0 defeat, away to Man City. Then they led 2-0 before going down to a 3-2 defeat at home to Brighton in the FA Cup semi-final at the weekend.
Arsenal will be shattered heading into this final game of the season, their fifth in 15 days. That run started with a 3-1 loss at Lyon in the Champions League, followed by a 1-1 draw at brighton, a 3-0 win at Aston Villa followed and in midweek, they beat Everton 1-0 at home in midweek.
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Liverpool v Arsenal Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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9.4 | 5.2 | 1.25 |
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10.7 | 5.35 | 1.22 |
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11.2 | 5.45 | 1.21 |
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9 | 5.5 | 1.25 |
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9.4 | 5.2 | 1.26 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Liverpool and Arsenal?
Our prediction for the Liverpool vs Arsenal match is: Under 2.5 Goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/05/2026 between Liverpool and Arsenal in Women's Super League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.07% for a win of Liverpool against Arsenal with odds of 11.2 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Liverpool vs Arsenal is 8.23% with odds of 6 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 54.7% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Liverpool with odds of 1.28 at Shangrila.
Liverpool - Arsenal Prediction and Best Odds:
| Liverpool Arsenal Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 54.7% | 1.28 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.03% | 1.81 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score: No | 62.08% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Arsenal/Arsenal | 21.07% | 1.8 at Bet365 |
Liverpool vs Arsenal Form
Liverpool and Arsenal's standings in the Women's Super League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
51 | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | +39 |
|
11
|
17 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -13 |
Liverpool and Arsenal Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Women's FA Cup
3 May 2026 - Women's Super League
26 Apr 2026 - Women's Super League
5 Apr 2026 - Women's FA Cup
28 Mar 2026 - Women's Super League
22 Mar 2026 - Women's Super League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Women's FA Cup
26 Apr 2026 - Women's Super League
15 Mar 2026 - Women's Super League
22 Feb 2026 - Women's FA Cup
8 Feb 2026 - Women's Super League
25 Jan 2026 - Women's Super League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Women's Super League
5 Apr 2026 - Women's FA Cup
28 Mar 2026 - Women's Super League
22 Mar 2026 - Women's Super League
15 Feb 2026 - Women's Super League
1 Feb 2026 - Women's Super League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 May 2026 - Women's Super League
9 May 2026 - Women's Super League
6 May 2026 - Women's Super League
2 May 2026 - Women's Champions League
29 Apr 2026 - Women's Super League
26 Apr 2026 - Women's Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 May 2026 - Women's Super League
29 Apr 2026 - Women's Super League
26 Apr 2026 - Women's Champions League
5 Apr 2026 - Women's FA Cup
28 Mar 2026 - Women's Super League
24 Mar 2026 - Women's Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 May 2026 - Women's Super League
6 May 2026 - Women's Super League
2 May 2026 - Women's Champions League
1 Apr 2026 - Women's Champions League
15 Mar 2026 - Women's Super League
11 Feb 2026 - Women's Champions League
Liverpool vs Arsenal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Dec 2025 - Women's Super League
22 Mar 2025 - Women's Super League
9 Mar 2025 - Women's FA Cup
15 Dec 2024 - Women's Super League
28 Jan 2024 - Women's Super League
13 Feb 2020 - Women's Super League
Players list
J. Falk
DefenderA. Bernabe De Santiago
J. Clark
MidfielderK. MacLean
D. O'Sullivan
G. Fisk
F. Nagano
ForwardA. Josendal
B. Olsson
M. Enderby
A. Bergstrom
D. Van Domselaar
DefenderE. Fox
L. Codina
L. Wubben-Moy
MidfielderV. Pelova
ForwardM. Caldentey
C. Foord
K. McCabe
B. Mead
S. Blackstenius
A. Russo
Substitutes
F. Kirby
DefenderG. Bonner
C. Holland
R. Shimizu
G. Evans
MidfielderZ. Shaw
A. Csillag
M. Trueman
ForwardC. Kapocs
A. Borbe
DefenderS. Holmberg
L. Williamson
S. Catley
T. Hinds
MidfielderK. Little
F. Maanum
ForwardO. Smith
C. Kelly
Most goals and assists
Liverpool - Arsenal Key Points
- Five of Liverpool's last seven games have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
- Four of Arsenal's last seven games have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
- Six of the last eight games between these two teams have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
- Seven of Liverpool's ten home league games have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
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Our Liverpool vs Arsenal Prediction
Our prediction for the Liverpool Women vs. Arsenal Women WSL match is: Under 2.5 Goals.
Arsenal know they need a win to ensure that they finish second in the table, although given their goal difference advantage over Chelsea, a draw is likely to be enough too. Liverpool's form has been much improved in the second half of the campaign so they will provide a stiff test for the Gunners. With this being Arsenal's fifth game in 15 days, the Gunners will be tired, and both teams are solid defensively, hence the Under 2.5 option is the bet to back.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Liverpool Arsenal
| Liverpool vs Arsenal | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins | 10.9 | 11.2 | +2.8% |
| Draw | 5.3 | 6 | +13.2% |
| Arsenal wins | 1.22 | 1.28 | +4.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Arsenal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 4.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 82.0% and is now 78.1% (-3.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.