Europe - Europa League
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by Ian John | in Europa League Predictions
Bruno Genesio's Lille will host Razvan Lucescu's PAOK Salonika at the Decathlon Stadium in Thursday evening's Europa League clash between the teams. Can The Mastiffs continue their excellent run of recent form or will the visiting White-Blacks get the vote in this match prediction?
Domestically, Lille lie sixth in Ligue One with 14 points from their eight league games. PAOK are yet to be beaten domestically, winning five and drawing two of their seven games to sit atop the Greek League at present.
In Europe, Lille began their Europa League campaign with a superb 1-0 away win over AS Roma. It was a less auspicious night for PAOK who went down to a 3-1 defeat away to Spanish side Celta Vigo in their first league stage game. Lille lie 6th in the table, PAOK are 28th.
Recent form for the French side is hugely impressive. After beating Roma 1-0 in Rome, they then held Paris St. Germain to a 1-1 draw at home and then at the weekend were comfortable 2-0 winners away to Nantes. The home side have lost just two games in ten games in all competitions this season, winning six.
That slip up against Celta Vigo apart, PAOK are also in good form. In two games following that Europa League defeat in Spain, PAOK defeated Olympiacos 2-1 at home and then followed that with another impressive win, this time 2-0 away to AEK Athens.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lille v PAOK Thessaloniki Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.53 | 4.33 | 6 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.2 | 6 |
|
|
1.4 | 4 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.2 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.2 | 6.1 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Lille and PAOK Thessaloniki?
Our prediction for the Lille vs PAOK Thessaloniki match is: Lille wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/10/2025 between Lille and PAOK Thessaloniki in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.5% for a win of Lille against PAOK Thessaloniki with odds of 1.61 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lille vs PAOK Thessaloniki is 19.68% with odds of 4.6 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.82% chance ⭐ for a win of PAOK Thessaloniki vs Lille with odds of 6.4 at Stake.
Lille - PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lille PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lille wins | 56.5% | 1.61 at 22bet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.1% | 1.88 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 52.38% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lille | 22.78% | 4.5 at Betfair |
Lille vs PAOK Thessaloniki Form
Lille and PAOK Thessaloniki's standings in the Europa League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
|
17
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Lille and PAOK Thessaloniki Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Sept 2025 - Europa League
20 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Sept 2025 - Europa League
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
20 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2025 - Superleague
5 Oct 2025 - Superleague
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
28 Sept 2025 - Superleague
24 Sept 2025 - Europa League
20 Sept 2025 - Superleague
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - Superleague
24 Sept 2025 - Europa League
20 Sept 2025 - Superleague
31 Aug 2025 - Superleague
28 Aug 2025 - Europa League
24 Aug 2025 - Superleague
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2025 - Superleague
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
28 Sept 2025 - Superleague
17 Sept 2025 - Greece Cup
14 Sept 2025 - Superleague
21 Aug 2025 - Europa League
Lille against PAOK Thessaloniki Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
M. Caillard
DefenderO. Toure
Alexsandro
MidfielderE. Mbappe
Most goals and assists
Lille
PAOK Thessaloniki
H. Igamane
(9 Goals)
G. Giakoumakis
(7 Goals)
F. Correia
(5 Assists)
A. Zivkovic
(8 Assists)
Lille - PAOK Thessaloniki Key Points
- Lille are unbeaten in their last three games in all competitions (W2, D1).
- PAOK have not won any of their three away games in Europe this season (D1, L2).
- Lille have won three of five home games this season, drawing with PSG and losing to Lyon.
- PAOK have won just one of their last five games in Europe.
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Our Lille vs PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction
Our prediction for the Lille vs. PAOK Salonika Europa League match is: Lille wins the match.
Domestically, both these teams have had good starts to their new seasons. However, the contrast in form in European competition between the two is marked. Lille are 100% in Europe this season, while PAOK have struggled to pick up wins both at home and away. As such, with a tricky trip to France here, our prediction is for Lille to end up comfortable winners of this game.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lille PAOK Thessaloniki
| Lille vs PAOK Thessaloniki | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille wins | 1.65 | 1.53 | -7.3% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 4.33 | +11.0% |
| PAOK Thessaloniki wins | 5 | 6 | +20.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lille is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 60.6% and is now 65.4% (4.8%)
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Try your luck on this year's Europa League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
