France - Ligue 1
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Lille have the opportunity to possibly rise to second when they host Marseille in their next Ligue 1 match. Going into the 32nd round, Lille are fourth, on 56 points and trailing Marseille by two points and two places. Read on for our prediction of this match.
Lille have their groove back and will once again come here as favorites. In their last five meetings with Marseille, Lille are unbeaten, and this will be their third meeting this season.
Lille are coming from three straight wins, the latest a 2-0 victory at Angers, a game they had to finish with 10 men. In their last four home matches, Les Dogues posted straight wins.
Marseille have also turned on the style as they look to hold on to automatic Champions League qualification. They thrashed Brest 4-1 last time out, netting three or more goals in three of their last four matches now.
Nine points from a possible 12 in those four matches have Marseille with an edge in a very competitive race. The one failing Marseille have had for the better part of the season is in their away matches.
Les Phoceens are coming here off the back of four straight defeats on the road. They didn’t just lose, but also conceded heavily – three goals in each.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for Lille v Marseille Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.35 | 3.2 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.4 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.4 | 3 |
|
|
2.27 | 3.4 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.42 | 3.48 | 3.17 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
What is the prediction for the football match between Lille and Marseille?
Our prediction for the Lille vs Marseille match is: Lille to win and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/05/2025 between Lille and Marseille in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 60.19% for a win of Lille against Marseille with odds of 2.42 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lille vs Marseille is 11.76% with odds of 3.5 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.05% chance ⭐ for a win of Marseille vs Lille with odds of 3.17 at 1xbet.
Lille vs Marseille Form
Lille and Marseille's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
58 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 23 |
|
6
|
56 | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 17 |
Lille and Marseille Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
20 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
8 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
Lille vs Marseille Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Jan 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
4 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1
20 May 2023 - Ligue 1
10 Sep 2022 - Ligue 1
Lille vs Marseille last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
S. Umtiti
T. Santos
ForwardE. Zhegrova
Most goals and assists
Lille
Marseille
J. David
(23 Goals)
M. Greenwood
(18 Goals)
J. David
(6 Assists)
A. Gouiri
(5 Assists)
, 
Luis Henrique
(5 Assists)
Lille and Marseille Stats in Ligue 1
Lille - Marseille Key Points
- Marseille lost each of their last four away matches.
- Lille have three straight wins ahead of this game.
- Lille have four straight wins at home.
- Each of Marseille’s last six matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Marseille conceded three times in each of their last three away games.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our Lille vs Marseille Prediction
Marseille have failed to find a way through in matches played away from home, and this looks like another one they will have to dig deep in. Twice in the last three games on the road, Marseille lost to top sides, and they conceded three times in each of their last four away matches.
Lille has the potential to hit them for three as well. They are on four straight wins at home and Les Dogues will be charged up for this. Our prediction for Lille v Marseille is for Lille to win and over 2.5 goals.
bet365 - Bet Boost
Available to all bet365 customers, you will find bet boosts when you click on the promotions tab on the site. The events that have bet boosts on them are easily identifiable with a green arrow next to them. To take the boosted price, just click on it to add it to your betslip.
They are found on most sports, with horse racing a firm favourite for bet boosts. The horse racing boosts can be found from 10 am up until 15 minutes before a race is scheduled to start but they are only valid to customers in the UK and Ireland. A bet boost cannot be combined with another bet boost, nor are they valid for any of the sport-specific boosts such as the football or tennis acca boosts.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
