Lille vs Freiburg Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
Europe - Europa League
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Europa League Predictions
Lille welcome Freiburg to Stade Pierre-Mauroy in this 2025–26 Europa League league-phase final round on Thursday. Les Dogues are 21st in the standings with nine points, while Freiburg are third with 17 points. Can they defeat the German visitors to strengthen their slender hopes of finishing in the playoff places? Here is our prediction.
A run of four defeats and three victories has left Lille's 2025–26 Europa League top-24 hopes hanging in the balance. They are just two points above the elimination zone. The Northmen head into Thursday's encounter amid their toughest stretch of the season.
They suffered a heavy 4–1 home loss to Strasbourg in Ligue 1 over the weekend, marking their fifth defeat on the bounce across all competitions. This includes a 2–1 loss to Celta Vigo in their last UEL outing.
Freiburg come into this match on the back of a 2–1 Bundesliga victory over FC Köln on Sunday. The German club is among the only three teams (alongside Viktoria Plzen and Ferencvaros) yet to taste defeat in the Europa League league-phase this season.
They defeated Maccabi Tel Aviv 1–0 in their UEL penultimate fixture last week to edge closer to a top-eight finish and have avoided defeat in seven of their last eight matches (W5, D2) in all competitions.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Lille v Freiburg Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.05 | 3.55 | 3.7 |
|
|
1.97 | 3.48 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.96 | 3.46 | 3.92 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.6 | 3.8 |
|
|
2.02 | 3.5 | 3.7 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Lille and Freiburg?
Our prediction for the Lille vs Freiburg match is: draw or Freiburg.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/01/2026 between Lille and Freiburg in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.7% for a win of Lille against Freiburg with odds of 2.05 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lille vs Freiburg is 17.16% with odds of 3.6 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.14% chance ⭐ for a win of Freiburg vs Lille with odds of 4.07 at 888Starz.
Lille - Freiburg Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lille Freiburg Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lille wins | 45.7% | 2.05 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.41% | 1.98 at Betsson |
| Both Team To Score | 57.14% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lille | 24.62% | 5.25 at LSbet |
Lille vs Freiburg Form
Lille and Freiburg's standings in the Europa League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
17 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +6 |
|
18
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | +3 |
Lille and Freiburg Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
16 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
16 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
3 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
Lille against Freiburg Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
Z. Lanssade
A. Bodart
DefenderR. Perraud
C. Mbemba
Alexsandro
MidfielderM. Broholm
L. Baret
S. Boussadia
ForwardO. Giroud
Y. Lachaab
S. Diaoune
F. Muller
J. Huth
DefenderJ. Makengo
A. Jung
K. Steinmann
MidfielderP. Osterhage
N. Hofler
ForwardD. Scherhant
I. Matanovic
C. Irie
Missing players
O. Toure
R. Fernandes
MidfielderN. Bentaleb
O. Sahraoui
E. Mbappe
ForwardH. Igamane
P. Lienhart
MidfielderD. Kyereh
Most goals and assists
Lille
Freiburg
O. Giroud
(4 Goals)
, 
H. Igamane
(4 Goals)
V. Grifo
(5 Goals)
F. Correia
(2 Assists)
, 
T. Meunier
(2 Assists)
, 
H. Haraldsson
(2 Assists)
V. Grifo
(4 Assists)
Lille - Freiburg Key Points
- Lille have lost three of their last four Europa League league-phase matches this season, including the last two.
- Lille have lost their last five matches across all competitions.
- Freiburg are unbeaten in the Europa League league-phase this season.
- Freiburg have avoided defeat in seven of their last eight matches in all competitions.
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Our Lille vs Freiburg Prediction
A significant 18-place gap between the two teams in the UEL league-phase standings underlines their contrasting fortunes in the competition heading into this final round. Interestingly, this is no dead rubber, with Freiburg pushing to finish in the top eight, while Lille fighting for a top–24 finish.
Notably, Freiburg are unsullied in the competition so far and have avoided defeats in most of their recent matches. Lille come into this fixture riding a five-match losing streak across all competitions and have lost three of their last four UEL matches. Our Lille vs Freiburg prediction is drawn or Freiburg.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lille Freiburg
| Lille vs Freiburg | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille wins | 1.96 | 2.05 | +4.6% |
| Draw | 3.2 | 3.6 | +12.5% |
| Freiburg wins | 4.6 | 4.07 | -11.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lille is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 4.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 51.0% and is now 48.8% (-2.2%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
