Leopards SC vs Kenya Police FC Prediction & Betting Tips - Kenyan Premier League
Kenya - Kenyan Premier League
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by Nella Wagah | in Kenyan Premier League Predictions
AFC Leopards will play host to Police this Sunday as the Kenyan Premier League enters matchday 28. Reigning champions Police arrive for this match sitting fourth, two places behind Leopards. Let’s have a look at the prediction for this match.
Both teams are on four-win runs across the last five rounds. AFC Leopards are coming off a 2-0 win against Muranga SEAL, collecting full points in all four games since falling to Mathare United.
Notably, in those four matches they kept clean sheets. At the height of it, head coach Fred Ambani was named the Coach of the Month.
Police will be looking to spoil the celebration at Ingwe, with their own title defense already up in smoke. To warm up for this game, Police advanced in the FKF Cup with a 1-0 win against BB Bread.
The outgoing league champions posted a 1-0 win against Tusker FC, their second straight win in the league. At 43, Police trail Leopards by 12 points and the leaders, Gor Mahia, by 14.
At best, they can target a top three finish. One feature about this fixture has been the few goals that it produces.
Three goals were scored in the last five meetings between these teams, with Police scoring just once.
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Leopards SC v Kenya Police FC Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.28 | 2.65 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.35 | 2.7 | 3.28 |
|
|
2.35 | 2.7 | 3.28 |
|
|
2.38 | 2.8 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.35 | 2.7 | 3.28 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Leopards SC and Kenya Police FC?
Our prediction for the Leopards SC vs Kenya Police FC match is: BTTS-No.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/04/2026 between Leopards SC and Kenya Police FC in Kenyan Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.89% for a win of Leopards SC against Kenya Police FC with odds of 2.38 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leopards SC vs Kenya Police FC is 23.25% with odds of 2.85 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.86% chance ⭐ for a win of Kenya Police FC vs Leopards SC with odds of 3.4 at Tonybet.
Leopards SC - Kenya Police FC Prediction and Best Odds:
| Leopards SC Kenya Police FC Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Leopards SC wins | 52.89% | 2.38 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 73.05% | 1.62 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 70.83% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Leopards SC | 27% | 5.5 at LSbet |
Leopards SC vs Kenya Police FC Form
Leopards SC and Kenya Police FC's standings in the Kenyan Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
64 | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | +16 |
|
3
|
55 | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | +10 |
Leopards SC and Kenya Police FC Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
29 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
22 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
18 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
14 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
22 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
18 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
17 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
14 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
26 Feb 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
14 Feb 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
25 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
11 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Apr 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
3 Apr 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
21 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
13 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
26 Feb 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Apr 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
21 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
22 Feb 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
2 Feb 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
19 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Apr 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
13 Mar 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
26 Feb 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
15 Feb 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
28 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
24 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
Leopards SC vs Kenya Police FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
4 Mar 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
1 Dec 2024 - Kenyan Premier League
Leopards SC - Kenya Police FC Key Points
- AFC Leopards have kept four straight clean sheets.
- AFC Leopards failed to score in three of five meetings with Police.
- Police have managed three clean sheets in three of their last five games.
- Three of these teams’ four league meetings had a clean sheet registered.
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Our Leopards SC vs Kenya Police FC Prediction
AFC Leopards have been a dominant force in this fixture, winning each of the last three league meetings with Police. The only time they lost to Police, it was in a cup game.
However, there is another aspect about this fixture; it is one of the most goal-starved matches in the Kenyan Premier League. A clean sheet and fewer than 2.5 goals have been a constant in this clash over the years. Our prediction for AFC Leopards v Police FC is BTTS-No.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Leopards SC Kenya Police FC
| Leopards SC vs Kenya Police FC | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leopards SC wins | 2.38 | 2.38 | 0% |
| Draw | 2.8 | 2.85 | +1.8% |
| Kenya Police FC wins | 3.4 | 3.4 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Leopards SC is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 42.0% and is now 42.0% (0.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
