Lens vs Le Havre Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

France - Ligue 1

Lens
30/01/2026 14:45
Le Havre

Prediction :

 

Lens to win and over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions

Lens will have the early chance to reclaim the top spot in Ligue 1 when they face off with Le Havre on Friday. Visitors Le Havre start this round sitting 15th in the league standings, while Lens are second. Let’s have a look at the match prediction here.

Lens are coming off only their second defeat across their last 17 games. They lost 3-1 to Marseille, seeing their 10-game winning run broken, and now they trail leaders PSG by two points.

As they play the opening game of the 20th round, this is Lens’ early chance to go back to the league summit. With eight wins in nine home league games, Lens are favorites to claim three points here.

Le Havre have been improving lately and come here having opened up a six-point buffer from the relegation zone.

That has been considerably facilitated by a three-match unbeaten run ahead of this encounter, though the last two were draws. Ahead of this clash, Le Havre registered their eighth draw of the season in a 0-0 outcome against Monaco.

That pushed them to 20 points, and a win here could see them leap three steps higher. While they are the underdogs, Le Havre will have reason to imagine they can upset the form book.

The last time they visited Lens, they ended up 4-3 winners.

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Lens v Le Havre Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.47 5 6.8
Melbet
1.43 4.76 7
Betwinner
1.42 5.15 6.4
Bet365
1.42 4.75 7
Roobet
1.45 4.6 6.2
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lens and Le Havre?

Our prediction for the Lens vs Le Havre match is: Lens to win and over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/01/2026 between Lens and Le Havre in Ligue 1 :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 67.68% for a win of Lens against Le Havre with odds of 1.5 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lens vs Le Havre is 19.46% with odds of 5.2 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 12.86% chance ⭐ for a win of Le Havre vs Lens with odds of 7.75 at LSbet.

Lens - Le Havre Prediction and Best Odds:

Lens Le Havre Prediction Probability Odds
Lens wins 67.68% 1.5 at 888Starz
Under 2.5 50.26% 2.41 at Betwinner
Both Team To Score: No 60.83%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lens 39.62% 4.1 at LSbet

Lens vs Le Havre Form

Lens and Le Havre's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Lens
70 34 22 4 8 +31
14 Le Havre
35 34 7 14 13 -12

Lens and Le Havre Last Matches

Lens
Lens Last matches
W W W W W L
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Marseille
3 :  1
Lens

17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Lens
1 :  0
Auxerre

11 Jan 2026 - French Cup

Sochaux
0 :  3
Lens

2 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  3
Lens

19 Dec 2025 - French Cup

Lens
3 :  1
Entente Feignies Aulnoye

14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Lens
2 :  0
Nice
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Lens
1 :  0
Auxerre

19 Dec 2025 - French Cup

Lens
3 :  1
Entente Feignies Aulnoye

14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Lens
2 :  0
Nice

22 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Lens
1 :  0
Strasbourg

2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Lens
3 :  0
Lorient

25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Lens
2 :  1
Marseille
W W W W W L
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Marseille
3 :  1
Lens

11 Jan 2026 - French Cup

Sochaux
0 :  3
Lens

2 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  3
Lens

6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
1 :  2
Lens

30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Angers
1 :  2
Lens

8 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Monaco
1 :  4
Lens
Le Havre
Le Havre Last matches
D L L W D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
0 :  0
Monaco

18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Rennes
1 :  1
Le Havre

4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
2 :  1
Angers

21 Dec 2025 - French Cup

Le Havre
0 :  2
Amiens SC

14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
1 :  0
Le Havre

7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
0 :  0
Paris FC
D L D L W D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
0 :  0
Monaco

4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
2 :  1
Angers

21 Dec 2025 - French Cup

Le Havre
0 :  2
Amiens SC

7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
0 :  0
Paris FC

30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
0 :  1
Lille

8 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
1 :  1
Nantes
L W D L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Rennes
1 :  1
Le Havre

14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
1 :  0
Le Havre

22 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  0
Le Havre

2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  0
Le Havre

26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
0 :  1
Le Havre

18 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
6 :  2
Le Havre

Lens vs Le Havre Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Lens

33 %

Draw

50 %

Le Havre

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
1 :  2
Lens

1 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1

Lens
3 :  4
Le Havre

12 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
1 :  2
Lens

6 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

Lens
1 :  1
Le Havre

20 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
0 :  0
Lens

31 Jan 2020 - Ligue 2

Le Havre
0 :  0
Lens
Lens vs Le Havre Prediction

Lens against Le Havre Lineups: Starting 11

Lens

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

40
R. Risser
25
I. Ganiou
32
K. Antonio
20
M. Sarr
2
R. Aguilar
8
M. Sangare
28
A. Thomasson
14
M. Udol
10
F. Thauvin
22
W. Said
11
O. Edouard
45
I. Soumare
14
R. Ndiaye
17
S. Boufal
26
S. Ebonog
18
Y. Zouaoui
19
L. Gourna-Douath
7
L. Nego
15
A. Seko
29
S. Zagadou
93
A. Sangante
77
L. Mpasi

Formation : 3 - 3 - 3 - 1

Le Havre

Substitutes

Lens
Lens
Goalkeeper

M. Gorgelin

Defender

S. Abdulhamid

N. Celik

Midfielder

A. Haidara

A. Bulatovic

A. Bermont

Forward

A. Sima

W. Said 90'

F. Sotoca

F. Thauvin 90'

R. Fofana

O. Edouard 74'

Le Havre
Le Havre
Goalkeeper

M. Diaw

Defender

T. Pembele

Y. Zouaoui 70'

F. Doucoure

L. Nego 78'

Midfielder

G. Kyeremeh

Y. Kechta

D. Mosengo

A. Sangante 59'

Forward

N. Obougou

S. Boufal 69'

F. Mambimbi

S. Zagadou 90'

K. Quetant

S. Ebonog 90'

Missing players

Lens
Lens
Defender

J. Gradit

J. Chavez

S. Baidoo

Le Havre
Le Havre
Forward

A. Samatta

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Lens
CD Huachipato Le Havre
Top Goalscorer
France W. Said (12 Goals)
Haiti O. Edouard (12 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Senegal I. Soumare (8 Goals)
Best assists
France A. Thomasson (10 Assists)
Best assists
Senegal I. Soumare (5 Assists)

Lens - Le Havre Key Points

  1. Lens have won 10 of their last 11 matches.
  2. Seven of Lens’ last 10 matches had over 2.5 goals.
  3. Le Havre have managed just one win in 10 matches and lost four.
  4. 15 goals were scored in the last four matches pitting these two teams.
  5. Across their last four away matches, Le Havre are winless, losing twice.
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Our Lens vs Le Havre Prediction

Le Havre’s last four defeats in Ligue 1 were inflicted by sides in the current top five. They will be facing a similar challenge here but are hoping to do better. The last time they played away to Lens, Le Havre emerged 4-3 winners, but this season they’ve already lost to their hosts.

Each of their last three meetings produced over 2.5 goals, and we have reason to believe this too will end with a high score. Our prediction for Lens v Le Havre is for Lens to win and over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Lens to win and over 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lens Le Havre

Lens vs Le Havre Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Lens wins 1.52 1.5 -1.3%
Draw 4.34 5.2 +19.8%
Le Havre wins 7.8 7.75 -0.6%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Lens is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.3% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 65.8% and is now 66.7% (0.9%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.