Leipzig vs Union Berlin Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Matchday 31 of the 2025-26 Bundesliga campaign starts on Friday with an interesting battle between Leipzig and Union Berlin, at opposite ends of the table. This match in Leipzig between the 3rd-placed ‘Red Bulls’ and the 11th-placed ‘Iron Ones’ comes with our prediction of both teams scoring goals.
Ahead of this matchday, Leipzig have 59 points (W18, D5, L7) and are only five points above fifth. Union’s 32 points (W8, D8, L14) put them six points above the relegation zone.
Leipzig won 3-1 away at Eintracht Frankfurt last weekend to make it six wins from their last seven league games (L1). With four of those coming in a row, the ‘Red Bulls’ are pushing hard to confirm their top four finish.
The home form has also improved with three league wins in a row at this venue, which came after a run of four games without a victory (D2, L2).
Marie-Louise Eta became the first woman to oversee a league game in the top-five leagues of Europe when she saw Union fall to a 2-1 loss to Wolfsburg at home last weekend. That was their fifth defeat in the last seven games (W1, D1).
The threat of relegation is still hovering, as Union look to improve their fortunes on the road. They have lost five of their last six away league games (W1).
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Leipzig v Union Berlin Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.5 | 4.9 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.6 | 5.9 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.7 | 6.05 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.75 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.47 | 4.6 | 6.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Leipzig and Union Berlin?
Our prediction for the Leipzig vs Union Berlin match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/04/2026 between Leipzig and Union Berlin in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 64.45% for a win of Leipzig against Union Berlin with odds of 1.54 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leipzig vs Union Berlin is 19.53% with odds of 4.9 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 16.03% chance ⭐ for a win of Union Berlin vs Leipzig with odds of 6.5 at Bet365.
Leipzig - Union Berlin Prediction and Best Odds:
| Leipzig Union Berlin Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Leipzig wins | 64.45% | 1.54 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.17% | 1.6 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score | 56.67% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Leipzig/Leipzig | 31.29% | 2.1 at Bet365 |
Leipzig vs Union Berlin Form
Leipzig and Union Berlin's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
65 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | +19 |
|
11
|
39 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -14 |
Leipzig and Union Berlin Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
5 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
5 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
6 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
Leipzig vs Union Berlin Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Sept 2024 - Bundesliga
4 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
3 Sept 2023 - Bundesliga
11 Feb 2023 - Bundesliga
Leipzig against Union Berlin Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
P. Gulacsi
DefenderK. Nedeljkovic
L. Klostermann
B. Henrichs
A. Maksimovic
B. Gruda
T. Gomis
J. Bakayoko
C. Harder
C. Klaus
S. Nsoki
D. Kohn
J. Juranovic
L. Burcu
A. Kemlein
T. Skarke
A. Kral
ForwardI. Ansah
Missing players
L. Zingerle
DefenderD. Raum
C. Lukeba
MidfielderE. Banzuzi
V. Gebel
ForwardS. Suleiman
M. Raab
MidfielderJ. Woo-yeong
Most goals and assists
Leipzig
Union Berlin
C. Baumgartner
(13 Goals)
O. Burke
(6 Goals)
D. Raum
(7 Assists)
, 
Y. Diomande
(7 Assists)
A. Ilic
(8 Assists)
Leipzig - Union Berlin Key Points
- Nine of Leipzig’s last 12 Bundesliga games saw both teams score goals.
- In five of their last seven home league games, Leipzig saw both teams score goals.
- Union saw both teams score goals in seven of their last 11 Bundesliga games.
- Five of Union’s last eight away league games also saw both teams score goals.
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Our Leipzig vs Union Berlin Prediction
Leipzig are one of the three teams to have scored in every home game of this campaign before this matchday. That could continue here, as Union have managed only three clean sheets in away games this season. The importance of three points also makes this a crucial game for both, as Leipzig are looking to confirm their top-four finish, while Union are still nervous about relegation.
This game could see both teams find the back of the net, so our Leipzig vs Union Berlin prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Leipzig Union Berlin
| Leipzig vs Union Berlin | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leipzig wins | 1.4 | 1.54 | +10.0% |
| Draw | 5.33 | 4.9 | -8.1% |
| Union Berlin wins | 8.7 | 6.5 | -25.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Leipzig is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 10.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 71.4% and is now 64.9% (-6.5%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
