Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
The high-flying Koln will look to upset the calculations of Leipzig as the sides meet in a Bundesliga 2025-26 matchday four fixture on Saturday. This match at the Red Bull Arena Leipzig between the seventh-placed Red Bulls (six points) and the third-placed Billy Goats (seven points) comes with our prediction of a home win and over 2.5 goals scored.
Leipzig start the round just a point behind their visitors, who are a further two points behind leaders Bayern Munich. It’s still early days, but the loser here could be pushed down in the race for a top six finish.
Koln had an entertaining 3-3 away draw against Wolfsburg last weekend, where they scored twice and conceded once beyond regular time. It continued their unbeaten start to the campaign with three wins and one draw in all competitions.
Their lone home fixture this season was a 4-1 win over Freiburg, which suggests that Koln won’t be pushovers in their first season back in the top flight.
Leipzig edged past Mainz 1-0 away from home last weekend. That was their third win in four competitive matches this season. Two of those wins came in the league, where they bounced back after a 6-0 thrashing on matchday one against Bayern.
That loss came on the road, but the win over Mainz could get Leipzig going.
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The Best Betting Odds for Leipzig v Köln Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.9 | 4 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.9 | 4 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.9 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.88 | 4 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.2 | 5.25 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Leipzig and Köln?
Our prediction for the Leipzig vs Köln match is: Leipzig win and over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/09/2025 between Leipzig and Köln in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.29% for a win of Leipzig against Köln with odds of 1.9 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leipzig vs Köln is 28.97% with odds of 4.2 at Ladbrokes.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.74% chance ⭐ for a win of Köln vs Leipzig with odds of 5.25 at Ladbrokes.
Leipzig - Köln Prediction and Best Odds:
| Leipzig Köln Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Köln wins | 40.74% | 5.25 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74.04% | 1.44 at Bwin |
| Both Team To Score | 63.75% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Köln | 16.44% | 9 at Bet365 |
Leipzig vs Köln Form
Leipzig and Köln's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
22 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
|
9
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Leipzig and Köln Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
30 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Bundesliga
3 May 2025 - Bundesliga
19 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
28 May 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Sept 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
17 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - 2. Bundesliga
3 May 2025 - 2. Bundesliga
20 Apr 2025 - 2. Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Sept 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
17 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Leipzig vs Köln Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
28 Oct 2023 - Bundesliga
4 Feb 2023 - Bundesliga
13 Aug 2022 - Bundesliga
11 Feb 2022 - Bundesliga
18 Sept 2021 - Bundesliga
Players list
P. Gulacsi
DefenderW. Orban
C. Lukeba
D. Raum
MidfielderK. Nedeljkovic
E. Banzuzi
N. Seiwald
K. Kampl
ForwardC. Harder
Romulo
A. Maksimovic
M. Schwabe
DefenderJ. Schmied
T. Hubers
F. Kainz
MidfielderT. Krauss
I. Johanneson
D. Huseinbasic
L. Maina
J. Kaminski
ForwardS. El Mala
R. Ache
Substitutes
M. Vandevoordt
DefenderK. Nedeljkovic
E. Bitshiabu
MidfielderA. Maksimovic
K. Kampl
E. Banzuzi
C. Harder
T. Gomis
T. Werner
R. Zieler
DefenderC. Ozkacar
K. Lund
D. Heintz
MidfielderD. Huseinbasic
F. Kainz
S. El Mala
L. Maina
R. Ache
Missing players
B. Henrichs
MidfielderX. Schlager
A. Haidara
ForwardA. Nusa
L. Kilian
R. Van den Berg
Most goals and assists
Leipzig
Köln
C. Baumgartner
(7 Goals)
S. El Mala
(4 Goals)
, 
J. Kaminski
(4 Goals)
A. Ouedraogo
(3 Assists)
, 
Romulo
(3 Assists)
,
D. Raum
(3 Assists)
M. Bulter
(3 Assists)
, 
R. Ache
(3 Assists)
Leipzig - Köln Key Points
- Koln saw over 2.5 goals scored in three of their four competitive games this season.
- Leipzig won three of their four competitive fixtures in this season.
- Five of Leipzig’s last eight home league matches saw over two goals scored.
- Leipzig won two of their last three league games against Koln, with all three producing four or more goals.
- In three of Koln’s last four away competitive matches, at least three goals have been scored.
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Our Leipzig vs Köln Prediction
The newly promoted Koln are making a name with an impressive start this season. Seven points keep them in the top three places, while Leipzig are a point behind with only two wins. Leipzig’s home matches have usually been high-scoring, and this could go the same way. When these sides last met in the 2022-23 season, it was Leipzig who smashed them to a 6-0 defeat at this venue.
Koln aren’t likely to be a pushover this time, but goals are set to fly, and our Leipzig vs Koln prediction is Leipzig win and over 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Leipzig Köln
| Leipzig vs Köln | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leipzig wins | 1.55 | 1.9 | +22.6% |
| Draw | 4.33 | 4 | -7.6% |
| Köln wins | 5.25 | 3.8 | -27.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Köln is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 27.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 19.0% and is now 26.3% (7.3%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Leipzig vs. Köln game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Leipzig and Köln when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Bundesliga!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
