Leipzig vs Hoffenheim Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
The Bundesliga's top four race could take a decisive turn on Friday when Leipzig host Hoffenheim in a matchday 27 fixture. This match in Leipzig between the fifth-placed ‘Red Bulls’ and the third-placed ‘Kraichgauers’ comes with our prediction of a home win and both teams scoring.
Ahead of this round, Leipzig’s 47 points (W14, D5, L7) keep them three points behind the top four while being two points ahead of sixth. Hoffenheim’s 50 points (W15, D5, L6) keep them ahead of fourth on goal difference and behind second by eight points.
Leipzig lost 1-0 away at Stuttgart last weekend to end a four-game unbeaten run in the Bundesliga (W2, D2). With the stakes so high on the winner, Leipzig wouldn’t want to lose consecutive league games, something they had done just once before in this campaign.
There’s a lot to improve on their home form too, as Leipzig could win only one of their last five home league games (D2, L2).
Hoffenheim drew 1-1 at home against Wolfsburg last weekend, which meant they had just two wins from their last six Bundesliga matches (D2, L2). This sequence has nearly erased the positives of winning five in a row immediately prior.
They can be a stubborn opponent on the road, though, as Hoffenheim lost only one of their last six away league games (W3, D2).
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Leipzig v Hoffenheim Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.97 | 4.2 | 3.55 |
|
|
1.96 | 3.96 | 3.44 |
|
|
1.92 | 4.02 | 3.52 |
|
|
1.91 | 4.1 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.92 | 3.95 | 3.45 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Leipzig and Hoffenheim?
Our prediction for the Leipzig vs Hoffenheim match is: Leipzig wins and BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/03/2026 between Leipzig and Hoffenheim in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.08% for a win of Leipzig against Hoffenheim with odds of 1.99 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leipzig vs Hoffenheim is 28.42% with odds of 4.2 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.5% chance ⭐ for a win of Hoffenheim vs Leipzig with odds of 3.7 at Shangrila.
Leipzig - Hoffenheim Prediction and Best Odds:
| Leipzig Hoffenheim Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim wins | 39.5% | 3.7 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.82% | |
| Both Team To Score | 72.92% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Hoffenheim | 16.81% | 9 at LSbet |
Leipzig vs Hoffenheim Form
Leipzig and Hoffenheim's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
65 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | +19 |
|
5
|
61 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +13 |
Leipzig and Hoffenheim Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
Leipzig vs Hoffenheim Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
3 May 2024 - Bundesliga
16 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga
29 Apr 2023 - Bundesliga
Leipzig against Hoffenheim Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
L. Zingerle
DefenderE. Bitshiabu
B. Henrichs
M. Finkgrafe
E. Banzuzi
J. Bakayoko
A. Nusa
T. Gomis
C. Harder
L. Philipp
DefenderA. Hajdari
K. Akpoguma
MidfielderM. Damar
C. Campbell
V. Lassig
ForwardM. Moerstedt
I. Bebou
A. Kramaric
Missing players
P. Gulacsi
MidfielderA. Ouedraogo
V. Gebel
L. Petersson
DefenderK. Machida
V. Gendrey
MidfielderL. Avdullahu
L. Engelns
ForwardA. Hlozek
Y. Eduardo
Most goals and assists
Leipzig
Hoffenheim
C. Baumgartner
(13 Goals)
A. Kramaric
(14 Goals)
D. Raum
(7 Assists)
, 
Y. Diomande
(7 Assists)
B. Toure
(8 Assists)
Leipzig - Hoffenheim Key Points
- Four of Hoffenheim’s last five away league games saw both teams score.
- Leipzig saw both teams score in each of their last five home league games.
- Leipzig won two of their last three league matches.
- Leipzig won their last five matches against Hoffenheim at home, three seeing them concede.
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Our Leipzig vs Hoffenheim Prediction
With only three points separating these two sides and the prospect of finishing in the Bundesliga top four, or otherwise, at stake, this match has a lot to offer. Leipzig have the extra incentive of improving their recent home record, as they could win just one of their last five matches at this venue. Playing against Hoffenheim could be their best bet, as Leipzig have a great home record in this fixture – winning eight of the last 11, including the last five.
The visitors could still find a goal, so our Leipzig vs Hoffenheim prediction is Leipzig wins and BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Leipzig Hoffenheim
| Leipzig vs Hoffenheim | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leipzig wins | 1.98 | 1.99 | +0.5% |
| Draw | 4.12 | 4.2 | +1.9% |
| Hoffenheim wins | 3.74 | 3.7 | -1.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Hoffenheim is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 26.7% and is now 27.0% (0.3%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Leipzig vs. Hoffenheim game
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
