Leinster vs Stade Rochelais Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions Cup

Europe - Champions Cup

Leinster
10/01/2026 12:30
Stade Rochelais

Prediction :

 

Leinster wins on a -15.5 handicap

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Champions Cup Predictions

These two clubs have twice met in the final of the European Rugby Champions Cup. This time they meet in Pool 3 with second-placed Leinster playing hosts to Stade Rochelais who fourth, four points behind them. Read our match prediction below.

Stade Rochelais won both the finals played in 2022 and 2023.

Since then, Leinster have won three in a row against the French club, all in this competition.

Leinster are only behind leaders Stormers on points difference. Qualification for the last 16 can be confirmed with a win this weekend as they are nine points above fifth place. They have had wins at home to Harlequins and away at Leicester Tigers.

A win here will make it eight straight victories for Leinster. They have scored 171 points in their last four home games. Leinster are fifth in the United Rugby Championship and are six points behind leaders Stormers.

Stade Rochelais are in the final qualifying position, five points clear of Leicester Tigers who they beat at home in their opening pool match. The French club were then beaten away at Stormers. Eight of their last nine away games have been lost.

We tip Leinster to again beat Stade Rochelais and cover a -15.5 points handicap.

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The Best Betting Odds for Leinster v Stade Rochelais Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.2 34 4.5
Unibet
1.22 30 4.25
Betway
1.22 26 4.75
Ladbrokes
1.22 34 4.5
NetBet
1.14 23 4.5
Check all Leinster vs Stade Rochelais odds

Leinster vs Stade Rochelais Form

Leinster and Stade Rochelais's standings in the Champions Cup

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Leinster
Leinster
9 2 2 0 0 25
4
Stade Rochelais
Stade Rochelais
5 2 1 0 1 -2

Leinster and Stade Rochelais Last Matches

Leinster
Leinster Last matches
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

3 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Leinster
52 :  17
Connacht Rugby

27 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Munster
8 :  13
Leinster

19 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Leinster
24 :  20
Ulster Rugby

12 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Leicester Tigers
15 :  23
Leinster

6 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Leinster
45 :  28
Harlequins FC

28 Nov 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Dragons
10 :  24
Leinster
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

3 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Leinster
52 :  17
Connacht Rugby

19 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Leinster
24 :  20
Ulster Rugby

6 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Leinster
45 :  28
Harlequins FC

25 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Leinster
50 :  26
Zebre

18 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Leinster
14 :  31
Munster

11 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Leinster
31 :  5
Hollywoodbets Sharks
L L L W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

27 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Munster
8 :  13
Leinster

12 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Leicester Tigers
15 :  23
Leinster

28 Nov 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Dragons
10 :  24
Leinster

4 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Bulls
39 :  31
Leinster

26 Sept 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Stormers
35 :  0
Leinster

26 Apr 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Scarlets
35 :  22
Leinster
Stade Rochelais
Stade Rochelais Last matches
L W L W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

4 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
66 :  0
RC Toulonnais

28 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
60 :  14
Stade Rochelais

20 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
49 :  17
Aviron Bayonne

13 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Stormers
42 :  21
Stade Rochelais

6 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Stade Rochelais
39 :  20
Leicester Tigers

30 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Section Paloise
53 :  33
Stade Rochelais
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

4 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
66 :  0
RC Toulonnais

20 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
49 :  17
Aviron Bayonne

6 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Stade Rochelais
39 :  20
Leicester Tigers

22 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
17 :  19
Castres Olympique

2 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
33 :  6
Racing 92

18 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
54 :  19
US Montalbanaise
L W L L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

28 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
60 :  14
Stade Rochelais

13 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Stormers
42 :  21
Stade Rochelais

30 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Section Paloise
53 :  33
Stade Rochelais

8 Nov 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
39 :  14
Stade Rochelais

25 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Lyon Ou
19 :  36
Stade Rochelais

11 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
26 :  24
Stade Rochelais

Leinster vs Stade Rochelais Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Leinster

60 %

Draw

0 %

Stade Rochelais

40 %

12 Jan 2025 - Champions Cup

Stade Rochelais
14 :  16
Leinster

13 Apr 2024 - Champions Cup

Leinster
40 :  13
Stade Rochelais

10 Dec 2023 - Champions Cup

Stade Rochelais
9 :  16
Leinster

20 May 2023 - Champions Cup

Leinster
26 :  27
Stade Rochelais

28 May 2022 - Champions Cup

Leinster
21 :  24
Stade Rochelais

Leinster - Stade Rochelais Key Points

  1. Leinster have won their last three games against Stade Rochelais.
  2. Stade Rochelais have lost eight of their last nine away fixtures.
  3. Leinster have scored 171 points in their last four home games.
  4. Stade Rochelais have had 194 points scored against them in their last four away matches.
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Our Leinster vs Stade Rochelais Prediction

Leinster have certainly gained plenty of revenge over Stade Rochelais for those two cup final defeats. They have beaten the Top 14 side three times since then and are heavy favorites to make that four in a row this weekend.

After a slow start to the season, Leinster have won seven straight matches. Stade Rochelais are really struggling on the road with 194 points conceded in the last four away matches played. Our Leinster v Stade Rochelais prediction is Leinster wins on a -15.5 points handicap.

Prediction :

 

Leinster wins on a -15.5 handicap

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Leinster vs Stade Rochelais Prediction