Leicester vs Watford Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Leicester
26/12/2025 10:00
Watford

Prediction :

 

Leicester wins

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Championship Predictions

Leicester City need to bounce back from their 4-1 loss at QPR last Saturday. They are 13th in the Championship and on Boxing Day, they are home to tenth-placed Watford. Can the Foxes get an important three points? Time for our match prediction.

City had gone three league games without defeat before being beaten at in-form QPR. Their away form is hindering their chances of an immediate return to the Premier League. Home form is better though with four wins and only two losses.

It's a tight table and despite being only 13th, the Foxes are only four points behind the final promotion play-off position. Their last home league game was an impressive 3-1 win over Ipswich Town.

Watford are just three points behind the top six. The Hornets would be in the play-off positions but for their poor away league record. Just seven points have been earned from ten games, the second worst away record in the Championship.

They are unbeaten in their last four league games but three were played at home. On their travels, Watford have conceded at least twice in four of their last five away league matches. Another struggle looks on the way here.

We tip Leicester City to win this match.

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Leicester v Watford Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.26 3.45 3.05
Melbet
2.22 3.5 3.16
Betwinner
2.22 3.5 3.16
Bet365
2.25 3.5 2.95
Roobet
2.24 3.4 3.1
Check all Leicester vs Watford odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Leicester and Watford?

Our prediction for the Leicester vs Watford match is: Leicester wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/12/2025 between Leicester and Watford in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.06% for a win of Leicester against Watford with odds of 2.3 at LSbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leicester vs Watford is 28.92% with odds of 3.55 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 26.02% chance ⭐ for a win of Watford vs Leicester with odds of 3.2 at Tonybet.

Leicester - Watford Prediction and Best Odds:

Leicester Watford Prediction Probability Odds
Leicester wins 45.06% 2.3 at LSbet
Over 2.5 goals 59.85% 1.85 at Shangrila
Both Team To Score 82.92%
Half-time / Full-time : Leicester/Leicester 25.31% 3.75 at Bet365

Leicester vs Watford Form

Leicester and Watford's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
16 Watford
57 46 14 15 17 -12
23 Leicester
46 46 12 16 18 -10

Leicester and Watford Last Matches

Leicester
Leicester Last matches
L L W D W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

QPR
4 :  1
Leicester

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Leicester
3 :  1
Ipswich Town

10 Dec 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
2 :  2
Leicester

6 Dec 2025 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  3
Leicester

29 Nov 2025 - Championship

Leicester
2 :  3
Sheffield United

25 Nov 2025 - Championship

Southampton
3 :  0
Leicester
D L D W L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Leicester
3 :  1
Ipswich Town

29 Nov 2025 - Championship

Leicester
2 :  3
Sheffield United

22 Nov 2025 - Championship

Leicester
2 :  1
Stoke

4 Nov 2025 - Championship

Leicester
1 :  1
Middlesbrough

1 Nov 2025 - Championship

Leicester
0 :  2
Blackburn

18 Oct 2025 - Championship

Leicester
1 :  1
Portsmouth
L W L W D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

QPR
4 :  1
Leicester

10 Dec 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
2 :  2
Leicester

6 Dec 2025 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  3
Leicester

25 Nov 2025 - Championship

Southampton
3 :  0
Leicester

8 Nov 2025 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  2
Leicester

25 Oct 2025 - Championship

Millwall
1 :  0
Leicester
Watford
Watford Last matches
D L W D D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  0
Stoke

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Wrexham
2 :  2
Watford

9 Dec 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
Sheffield Wednesday

6 Dec 2025 - Championship

Watford
3 :  2
Norwich

1 Dec 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
2 :  1
Watford

25 Nov 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
Preston North End
W D D W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  0
Stoke

9 Dec 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
Sheffield Wednesday

6 Dec 2025 - Championship

Watford
3 :  2
Norwich

25 Nov 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
Preston North End

7 Nov 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
Bristol City

1 Nov 2025 - Championship

Watford
3 :  0
Middlesbrough
L L D W L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Wrexham
2 :  2
Watford

1 Dec 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
2 :  1
Watford

22 Nov 2025 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  3
Watford

4 Nov 2025 - Championship

Ipswich Town
1 :  1
Watford

25 Oct 2025 - Championship

Coventry City
3 :  1
Watford

18 Oct 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
1 :  0
Watford

Leicester vs Watford Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Leicester

83 %

Draw

17 %

Watford

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4
Total goals
83.33%
BTTS
3
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

10 Feb 2024 - Championship

Watford
1 :  2
Leicester

25 Nov 2023 - Championship

Leicester
2 :  0
Watford

15 May 2022 - Premier League

Watford
1 :  5
Leicester

8 Jan 2022 - FA Cup

Leicester
4 :  1
Watford

28 Nov 2021 - Premier League

Leicester
4 :  2
Watford

20 Jun 2020 - Premier League

Watford
1 :  1
Leicester

Leicester against Watford Lineups: Starting 11

Leicester

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
J. Stolarczyk
21
R. Pereira
4
B. Nelson
5
C. Okoli
33
L. Thomas
6
J. James
22
O. Skipp
7
I. Fatawu
14
B. De Cordova-Reid
10
S. Mavididi
9
J. Ayew
9
L. Kjerrumgaard
8
G. Chakvetadze
42
O. Maamma
10
I. Louza
5
H. Kyprianou
7
T. Ince
16
M. Bola
3
M. Alleyne
6
M. Pollock
2
J. Ngakia
1
E. Selvik

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Watford

Substitutes

Leicester
Leicester
Goalkeeper

A. Begovic

Defender

O. Aluko

W. Faes

Midfielder

L. Page

A. Ramsey

B. De Cordova-Reid 75'

H. Choudhury

O. Skipp 87'

Forward

S. Thomas

R. Pereira 87'

J. Monga

S. Mavididi 69'

J. Carranza

Watford
Watford
Goalkeeper

N. Baxter

Defender

J. Petris

K. Keben

J. Abankwah

Midfielder

M. Sissoko

O. Maamma 81'

N. Mendy

Forward

J. Morris

G. Chakvetadze 90'

N. Irankunda

T. Ince 66'

V. Semedo

L. Kjerrumgaard 81'

Missing players

Leicester
Leicester
Watford
Watford
Midfielder

P. Dwomoh

R. Vata

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Leicester
CD Huachipato Watford
Top Goalscorer
Wales J. James (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Denmark L. Kjerrumgaard (10 Goals)
Best assists
Ghana I. Fatawu (7 Assists)
Best assists
Morocco I. Louza (9 Assists)

Leicester - Watford Key Points

  1. Only Portsmouth have a worst away record than Watford in the Championship and that's on goal difference.
  2. Four of the last five Watford away league games have seen them concede at least twice.
  3. Leicester have only lost one of their last four home league games.
  4. Leicester's last home league game saw them beat promotion-chasing Ipswich Town 3-1.
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Our Leicester vs Watford Prediction

Leicester City still have a good chance of making a swift return to the Premier League. Improving their away record is a major New Year's resolution for them and it's the same for Watford. City had a good recent home win over Ipswich and will be confident of victory here.

Watford are also in contention for a play-off position but they struggle on the road. Just one of their ten away league games has been won this season. A side bet on both teams scoring could win here. Our main Leicester v Watford prediction is Leicester wins.

Prediction :

 

Leicester wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Leicester Watford

Leicester vs Watford Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Leicester wins 2.2 2.3 +4.5%
Draw 3.3 3.55 +7.6%
Watford wins 3.4 3.2 -5.9%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Leicester is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 4.5% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 45.5% and is now 43.5% (-2.0%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Leicester vs Watford Prediction