Poland - Ekstraklasa
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by Ian John | in Football Predictions
On Sunday, there’s a huge game in the Polish Ekstraklasa as title-chasing Lech Poznan travel to the capital to take on Legia Warsaw in a vital clash between two top-five teams. The hosting Legionisci need the points to further European qualification ambitions, while the visiting Kolejorz are two points behind the league leaders with just three games to go. What will our prediction be for this crucial match for both teams?
The importance of this game is easy to see from the current league table. Legia lie fifth in the table, six points outside the automatic European qualification spots with 50 points, but with just 30 games played instead of 31 for most of their rivals. Lech Poznań are second with 63 points from 31 games, two points behind leaders Raków Częstochowa.
Legia head into this game after losing 1-0 at home to Jagiellonia Bialystok a few weeks back. Since then they have beaten Lechia Gdansk 2-1 at home and then last week earned a solid 3-1 away win at GKS Katowice.
Poznan come into the game unbeaten in five with four wins in that run. Their sole draw came in a 2-2 away game at Radomiak Radom but they bounced back from that superbly last weekend, thrashing Puszcza Niepolomice 8-1 in front of their home fans.
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The Best Betting Odds for Legia Warsaw v KKS Lech Poznan Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2 | 3.8 | 3.4 |
|
|
2 | 3.5 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.5 | 3.1 |
|
|
2 | 3.75 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.3 | 2.7 | 3.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Legia Warsaw and KKS Lech Poznan?
Our prediction for the Legia Warsaw vs KKS Lech Poznan match is: A Draw and Both Teams to Score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/05/2025 between Legia Warsaw and KKS Lech Poznan in Ekstraklasa :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.49% for a win of Legia Warsaw against KKS Lech Poznan with odds of 2.3 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Legia Warsaw vs KKS Lech Poznan is 15.2% with odds of 3.85 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.3% chance ⭐ for a win of KKS Lech Poznan vs Legia Warsaw with odds of 3.4 at Bet365.
Legia Warsaw - KKS Lech Poznan Prediction and Best Odds:
| Legia Warsaw KKS Lech Poznan Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Legia Warsaw wins | 50.49% | 2.3 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.2% | 1.55 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 56.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Legia Warsaw | 22.37% | 5.8 at Betsson |
Legia Warsaw vs KKS Lech Poznan Form
Legia Warsaw and KKS Lech Poznan's standings in the Ekstraklasa
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
70 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 37 |
|
5
|
54 | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 15 |
Legia Warsaw and KKS Lech Poznan Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2025 - Polish Cup
26 Apr 2025 - Ekstraklasa
21 Apr 2025 - Ekstraklasa
17 Apr 2025 - Conference League
13 Apr 2025 - Ekstraklasa
10 Apr 2025 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Apr 2025 - Ekstraklasa
13 Apr 2025 - Ekstraklasa
10 Apr 2025 - Conference League
28 Mar 2025 - Ekstraklasa
13 Mar 2025 - Conference League
2 Mar 2025 - Ekstraklasa
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2025 - Polish Cup
26 Apr 2025 - Ekstraklasa
17 Apr 2025 - Conference League
6 Apr 2025 - Ekstraklasa
2 Apr 2025 - Polish Cup
16 Mar 2025 - Ekstraklasa
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - Ekstraklasa
27 Apr 2025 - Ekstraklasa
21 Apr 2025 - Ekstraklasa
13 Apr 2025 - Ekstraklasa
5 Apr 2025 - Ekstraklasa
29 Mar 2025 - Ekstraklasa
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - Ekstraklasa
21 Apr 2025 - Ekstraklasa
5 Apr 2025 - Ekstraklasa
8 Mar 2025 - Ekstraklasa
23 Feb 2025 - Ekstraklasa
14 Feb 2025 - Ekstraklasa
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Ekstraklasa
13 Apr 2025 - Ekstraklasa
29 Mar 2025 - Ekstraklasa
16 Mar 2025 - Ekstraklasa
1 Mar 2025 - Ekstraklasa
9 Feb 2025 - Ekstraklasa
Legia Warsaw vs KKS Lech Poznan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Nov 2024 - Ekstraklasa
12 May 2024 - Ekstraklasa
30 May 2020 - Ekstraklasa
Legia Warsaw against KKS Lech Poznan Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1
Most goals and assists
Legia Warsaw
KKS Lech Poznan
M. Gual
(12 Goals)
M. Ishak
(21 Goals)
R. Vinagre
(8 Assists)
A. Gholizadeh
(6 Assists)
, 
D. Hakans
(6 Assists)
,
J. Pereira
(6 Assists)
Legia Warsaw - KKS Lech Poznan Key Points
- Legia Warsaw have drawn two of their last seven games.
- Lech Poznan have drawn one, lost two and won one of their last four away games.
- Lech Poznan have scored the most goals in the Ekstraklasa this season with 64. Legia are second on 55 goals.
- All three of Lech Poznan's draws this season have come away from home.
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Our Legia Warsaw vs KKS Lech Poznan Prediction
Our prediction for the Legia Warsaw vs. Lech Poznan Ekstraklasa match is: A Draw and Both Teams to Score.
The data for this fixture is very difficult to find a clear trend in. Lech Poznan has the better form, but their away form. Legia's form in general is ok, but their home form is pretty solid, but not over the last three games. Both sides have a lot to play for over the last three games and so with that in mind, we feel a draw, but with both teams scoring is the best value bet to make here.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Legia Warsaw KKS Lech Poznan
| Legia Warsaw vs KKS Lech Poznan | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legia Warsaw wins | 2.25 | 2 | -11.1% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.8 | +5.6% |
| KKS Lech Poznan wins | 2.9 | 3.4 | +17.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Legia Warsaw is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 11.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 44.4% and is now 50.0% (5.6%)
Use the Legia Warsaw vs. KKS Lech Poznan game in an acca to gain up to a 100% bonus!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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