Europe - Conference League
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by Ian John in Conference League Predictions
Polish side Legia Warsaw start their UEFA Conference League Playoff Round first leg tie against Kosovo's KF Drita as the strong favourites to progress into the league stage. The travelling Intelektualet will need more than just brain power to beat the Wojskowi at the Polish Army Stadium. Who does our prediction favour in this match?
Legia has progressed well through the Conference League's early rounds. They thrashed Welsh minnows Caernarfon Town 11-0 on aggregate in their first tie and followed that up with a 4-3 aggregate win over Brondby in the third qualifying round.
The Polish side were also in good form at the weekend, recording an emphatic 4-1 win over Radomiak Radom. They have scored in ten of their last eleven games and are one of four teams at the top of Poland’s Ekstraklasa with 10 points from five games.
Due to their Conference League exploits, KF Drita hasn’t played a domestic game in Kosovo yet. They defeated Breidablik 3-1 over two legs in the second qualifying round and edged out Auda 3-2 after extra time in the second leg of the third qualifying round.
They finished third in their domestic league last season, and it is fair to say that they have benefitted from some favourable draws throughout the Conference League's early rounds. Therefore, this will be a much tougher test for the Kosovans, especially with this first leg being away from home.
The winner of this tie will go into the draw for the league phase of the Conference League.
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The Best Betting Odds for Legia Warsaw v KF Drita Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.01 | 23 | 81 |
|
|
1.2 | 5 | 15 |
|
|
1 | 21 | 151 |
|
|
1.14 | 7 | 15 |
|
|
1.15 | 6.75 | 19 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Legia Warsaw and KF Drita?
Our prediction for the Legia Warsaw vs KF Drita match is: HT/FT - Legia Warsaw/Legia Warsaw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/08/2024 between Legia Warsaw and KF Drita in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.55% for a win of Legia Warsaw against KF Drita with odds of 1.2 at William Hill.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Legia Warsaw vs KF Drita is 23.1% with odds of 501 at Betfair.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.35% chance ⭐ for a win of KF Drita vs Legia Warsaw with odds of 451 at Betfair.
Legia Warsaw - KF Drita Prediction and Best Odds:
| Legia Warsaw KF Drita Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Legia Warsaw wins | 55.55% | 1.2 at William Hill |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.48% | 10.4 at 22bet |
| Both Team To Score | 66.67% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Legia Warsaw/Legia Warsaw | 25.77% | 3 at Betfair |
Legia Warsaw vs KF Drita Form
Legia Warsaw and KF Drita Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Aug 2024 - Ekstraklasa
15 Aug 2024 - Conference League
11 Aug 2024 - Ekstraklasa
8 Aug 2024 - Conference League
4 Aug 2024 - Ekstraklasa
1 Aug 2024 - Conference League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Aug 2024 - Ekstraklasa
15 Aug 2024 - Conference League
4 Aug 2024 - Ekstraklasa
25 Jul 2024 - Conference League
20 Jul 2024 - Ekstraklasa
6 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Aug 2024 - Ekstraklasa
8 Aug 2024 - Conference League
1 Aug 2024 - Conference League
28 Jul 2024 - Ekstraklasa
30 Jun 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - Ekstraklasa
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2024 - Conference League
8 Aug 2024 - Conference League
30 Jul 2024 - Conference League
25 Jul 2024 - Conference League
25 May 2024 - Superliga
18 May 2024 - Superliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2024 - Conference League
30 Jul 2024 - Conference League
25 May 2024 - Superliga
12 May 2024 - Superliga
5 May 2024 - Superliga
24 Apr 2024 - Kosovo FA Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Aug 2024 - Conference League
25 Jul 2024 - Conference League
18 May 2024 - Superliga
9 May 2024 - Superliga
28 Apr 2024 - Superliga
20 Apr 2024 - Superliga
Players list
K. Tobiasz
DefenderS. Barcia
A. Jedrzejczyk
R. Vinagre
MidfielderR. Augustyniak
C. Goncalves
Luquinhas
B. Kapustka
P. Wszolek
ForwardM. Alfarela
B. Kramer
F. Maloku
DefenderE. Bejtulai
R. Ovouka
B. Krasniqi
A. Ajzeraj
MidfielderR. Broja
J. Mesa
A. Dabiqaj
K. Selmani
H. Gomda
ForwardB. Krasniqi
Substitutes
G. Kobylak
DefenderS. Kapuadi
M. Burch
J. Ziolkowski
R. Morishita
R. Pankov
MidfielderP. Kun
K. Chodyna
M. Szczepaniak
ForwardM. Gual
J. Nsame
T. Pekhart
E. Isufi
L. Behluli
DefenderM. Zenunaj
B. Sheji
MidfielderI. Mustafa
D. Isufi
E. Huruglica
S. Ibrahim
ForwardV. Tusha
A. Fressange
A. Manaj
I. Zulfiu
Most goals and assists
Legia Warsaw
KF Drita
M. Gual
(12 Goals)
R. Vinagre
(8 Assists)
Legia Warsaw - KF Drita Key Points
- Legia Warsaw have lost just one of their last 11 games, winning seven.
- Drita have not scored in the first half in any of their last three matches.
- Legia have scored six of their last ten goals in the first half.
- Legia average 3.38 goals per game in the Conference League.
- Legia average a goal at home every 39 minutes so far this season.
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Our Legia Warsaw vs KF Drita Prediction
Our prediction for Legia Warsaw vs. KF Drita in the UEFA Conference League is: HT/FT - Legia Warsaw/Legia Warsaw.
The Polish side comes into this game in good form, both domestically and in Europe and they face a much lower level of opposition than they did when beating Brondby in the previous round. Kosovan's Drita have had a good run to reach this phase, but they should struggle over both legs here. The quality and form of both teams suggests the home side should win this one comfortably, which makes the HT/FT bet a good value pick.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Legia Warsaw KF Drita
| Legia Warsaw vs KF Drita | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legia Warsaw wins | 1.3 | 1.01 | -22.3% |
| Draw | 5 | 23 | +360.0% |
| KF Drita wins | 10 | 81 | +710.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Legia Warsaw is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 22.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 76.9% and is now 99.0% (22.1%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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