Europe - Europa League
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by Devesh Jaganath in Europa League Predictions
Facing a massive task, Legia Warsaw return to Poland this week to face Larnaca in the second leg of their Europa League third qualifying round clash. The winner of this tie between Wojskowi and AEK will face either Hacken or Brann in the Playoff round. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Legia Warsaw pulled off a stunning comeback to beat Ostrava in the previous round of this competition, and they now have to do likewise to stay alive after losing 4-1 in Cyprus last week.
Wojskowi fared well in the first half of the first leg and were level at 1-1 at the interval. However, they conceded three in the second period before Bartosz Kaustka was sent off in the dying moments.
Notably, last week’s defeat was the only one the hosts have suffered since the start of this season and their first on home soil since May 5.
Meanwhile, Larnaca maintained their unbeaten record in this competition with last week’s win. They got by Partizan and Celje by 3-2 aggregate scores in each of the two previous rounds.
Pere Pons, Karol Angielski, Yerson Chacon and Angel Garcia all got on the scoresheet in the first leg, with Chacon and Garcia having now scored in back-to-back games.
However, the visitors' away record has not been great in recent times. They drew both previous games on the road this season and have recorded just one win in their last 10 across all competitions.
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The Best Betting Odds for Legia Warsaw v AEK Larnaca Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.65 | 3.9 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.67 | 4 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.9 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.8 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.6 | 4.1 | 4.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Legia Warsaw and AEK Larnaca?
Our prediction for the Legia Warsaw vs AEK Larnaca match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/08/2025 between Legia Warsaw and AEK Larnaca in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.21% for a win of Legia Warsaw against AEK Larnaca with odds of 1.69 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Legia Warsaw vs AEK Larnaca is 26.28% with odds of 4.38 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.51% chance ⭐ for a win of AEK Larnaca vs Legia Warsaw with odds of 4.9 at Vbet.
Legia Warsaw vs AEK Larnaca Form
Legia Warsaw and AEK Larnaca Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2025 - Ekstraklasa
7 Aug 2025 - Europa League
3 Aug 2025 - Ekstraklasa
31 Jul 2025 - Europa League
27 Jul 2025 - Ekstraklasa
24 Jul 2025 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2025 - Ekstraklasa
3 Aug 2025 - Ekstraklasa
31 Jul 2025 - Europa League
10 Jul 2025 - Europa League
30 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Aug 2025 - Europa League
27 Jul 2025 - Ekstraklasa
24 Jul 2025 - Europa League
17 Jul 2025 - Europa League
13 Jul 2025 - Super Cup
25 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Aug 2025 - Europa League
31 Jul 2025 - Europa League
24 Jul 2025 - Europa League
17 Jul 2025 - Europa League
10 Jul 2025 - Europa League
2 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Aug 2025 - Europa League
31 Jul 2025 - Europa League
10 Jul 2025 - Europa League
28 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2025 - Cyprus Cup
12 May 2025 - Cyta Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jul 2025 - Europa League
17 Jul 2025 - Europa League
2 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - Cyta Championship
30 Apr 2025 - Cyprus Cup
Legia Warsaw vs AEK Larnaca Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
7 Aug 2025 - Europa League
Most goals and assists
Legia Warsaw
AEK Larnaca
J. Nsame
(1 Goals)
, 
M. Alfarela
(1 Goals)
, 
A. Jedrzejczyk
(1 Goals)
,
P. Wszolek
(1 Goals)
, 
R. Morishita
(1 Goals)
V. Bichakhchyan
(1 Assists)
,
M. Alfarela
(1 Assists)
,
A. Jedrzejczyk
(1 Assists)
,
P. Wszolek
(1 Assists)
, 
P. Stojanovic
(1 Assists)
Legia Warsaw - AEK Larnaca Key Points
- Five of Legia Warsaw’s last eight matches have ended with both teams scoring.
- Legia Warsaw have only failed to score in one of their last seven home matches across all competitions.
- Seven of Larnaca’s last eight matches have ended with both teams scoring.
- Larnaca have conceded two or more goals in three of their last four away games across all competitions.
- Both teams scored in the first leg of this tie last week.
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Our Legia Warsaw vs AEK Larnaca Prediction
While Legia Warsaw have a mountain to climb this week, we feel they cannot be written off just yet given their recent home record. An early goal for them here could make this one interesting.
The tie is Larnaca’s to lose now after making the most of their home advantage. Three goals is a fairly comfortable lead, but one we feel they may need, considering they have not won on the road since April. Our Legia Warsaw vs Larnaca prediction is both teams to score.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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