Leeds vs Wolves Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Premier League Predictions
Fireworks await as Wolves square off against Leeds United in a relegation six-pointer at Elland Road on Saturday. Wolves are rock bottom of the standings with just 17 points, while the Whites are 15th on 36 points. Who is likely to ace the contest? Let's get into our prediction.
Leeds United moved six points clear of the Premier League relegation zone with their shock away victory last week against Manchester United. However, the Whites are still deep in the battle to beat the drop with six matches left in the season. Can Daniel Farke's charges build on last week's momentous victory to further boost their chances of continuing in the English top flight next season?
Wolves will require a miracle to escape relegation this season as they sit 15 points away from safety. However, Rob Edwards' men will hope to at least postpone the doomsday with a positive result on Saturday.
They fell 3–1 at home to Leeds United in the reverse fixture earlier this season and have struggled for results in their last four Premier League encounters with the West Yorkshire club. Can they exact revenge and turn around these misfortunes? Let's dive into further details.
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Leeds v Wolves Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.6 | 4.1 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.06 | 5.9 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.1 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.1 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.9 | 5.8 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Leeds and Wolves?
Our prediction for the Leeds vs Wolves match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/04/2026 between Leeds and Wolves in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.51% for a win of Leeds against Wolves with odds of 1.63 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leeds vs Wolves is 22.98% with odds of 4.27 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.51% chance ⭐ for a win of Wolves vs Leeds with odds of 6.25 at Bet365.
Leeds - Wolves Prediction and Best Odds:
| Leeds Wolves Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds wins | 48.51% | 1.63 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 50.1% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 69.17% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Leeds | 21.22% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Leeds vs Wolves Form
Leeds and Wolves's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
14
|
47 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | -7 |
|
20
|
20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | -41 |
Leeds and Wolves Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Apr 2026 - Premier League
5 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
8 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
8 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
6 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Apr 2026 - Premier League
5 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Apr 2026 - Premier League
16 Mar 2026 - Premier League
6 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
27 Feb 2026 - Premier League
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
27 Feb 2026 - Premier League
18 Feb 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Apr 2026 - Premier League
16 Mar 2026 - Premier League
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
Leeds vs Wolves Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Sept 2025 - Premier League
18 Mar 2023 - Premier League
9 Nov 2022 - Carabao Cup
6 Aug 2022 - Premier League
18 Mar 2022 - Premier League
23 Oct 2021 - Premier League
Leeds - Wolves: Form Analysis
Leeds United have stunned naysayers with a run of impressive results recently. They went into the March international break picking up crucial points against Crystal Palace and Brentford in the Premier League (both ended with barren draws), before knocking out West Ham United 4-2 via penalties in the FA Cup quarterfinals away at London Stadium.
That was just the tip of the iceberg! Daniel Farke's men capped off their stellar run with a shock away victory over 10-man Manchester United last week, thanks to Noah Okafor's first-half brace. That result ended a 45-year-wait for a Premier League win at Old Trafford for the Whites and extended their unbeaten run to five matches across all competitions.
Wolves reignited their faint hopes of beating the drop, racking up seven points from Premier League wins against Aston Villa (2–0) and Liverpool (2–1), along with a 2–2 draw against Brentford.
Wolves have lost their last four Premier League matches against Leeds United
However, they head into this clash on the back of a heavy 4–0 defeat to fellow relegation battlers West Ham United last week. The Rob Edwards-led team haven't won any of their 16 Premier League away matches this season (D5, L11).
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Leeds against Wolves Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
L. Perri
DefenderS. Bornauw
J. Rodon
I. Gruev
S. Longstaff
F. Buonanotte
ForwardG. Wilfried
J. Piroe
L. Nmecha
A. Brooks
DefenderS. Olagunju
D. Wolfe
P. Lima
T. Edozie
H. Hee-chan
T. Arokodare
R. Gomes
M. Mane
Missing players
A. Stach
ForwardD. James
S. Johnstone
J. Sa
DefenderM. Doherty
Y. Mosquera
ForwardE. Gonzalez
Leeds & Wolves Squad Analysis
Ilia Gruev is likely to replace Ao Tanaka in midfield for Leeds United after the latter came off injured on Monday night against Manchester United. Anton Stach and Joe Rodon (both ankle injuries), including Daniel James (muscle blow) remain sidelined for the home side.
Meanwhile, Dominic Calvert-Lewin is available to spearhead the attack for Daniel Farke, alongside Old Trafford hero, Noah Okafor, and Brenden Aaronson. Jaka Bijol has been a regular in the Leeds' defense since joining from Udinese last summer and is expected to return at center-back.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin has the most Premier League goals for Leeds United (10) this season
Wolves will miss key right-back Yerson Mosquera's physicality and efficiency in one-on-one situations on Saturday. The Colombia international is suspended for this match after picking up his 10th yellow card of the season against West Ham and his absence will expose the away side in wide defensive areas against a high-pressing Leeds.
Portuguese wingback Toti Gomes is expected to replace Mosquera, while Angel Gomes anchors the midfield for the Molineaux-based outfit. Adam Armstrong has seen his form decline amid Wolves' tough spell, but he remains Rob Edwards' priority forward to lead the team's attack.
Most goals and assists
Leeds
Wolves
D. Calvert-Lewin
(14 Goals)
R. Gomes
(3 Goals)
, 
S. Bueno
(3 Goals)
, 
T. Arokodare
(3 Goals)
,
M. Mane
(3 Goals)
B. Aaronson
(5 Assists)
D. Wolfe
(2 Assists)
, 
H. Hee-chan
(2 Assists)
, 
H. Bueno
(2 Assists)
,
A. Armstrong
(2 Assists)
Leeds - Wolves Key Points
- Leeds United have both scored and conceded in their last two matches.
- The Whites have both scored and conceded in their last five Premier League encounters with Wolves, four of which ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Wolves have both scored and conceded in three of their last four matches.
- Wolves’ last four matches have ended with over 2.5 goals.
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Our Leeds vs Wolves Prediction
This match promises to be a thriller as the two teams seek to boost their survival hopes. Both have struggled lately to keep clean sheets and Saturday's clash is unlikely to be any different.
Moreover, their recent encounters have seen both teams find the back of the net, most of which ended with no fewer than three goals. Given this trend, we expect a good-scoring contest likely to end with over 2.5 goals. Our Leeds United vs Wolves prediction : more than 2.5 goals.
Leeds vs Wolves Alternative Predictions
Leeds wins
Leeds United are the overwhelming favourites heading into this contest. They are unbeaten in their last three Premier League matches, including a record-breaking victory over Manchester United last week. Conversely, Wolves are winless in their 16 Premier League away matches, most of which ended in defeat.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Leeds Wolves
| Leeds vs Wolves | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds wins | 1.82 | 1.63 | -10.4% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 4.27 | +12.4% |
| Wolves wins | 4.93 | 6.25 | +26.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Leeds is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 10.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.9% and is now 61.3% (6.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
