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26 May 2024 - 10:00 

- Final

England - Championship

Leeds
VS
Southampton

Prediction :

Both teams to score

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Leeds vs Southampton Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

 by Devesh Jaganath | in Championship Predictions

Wembley Stadium will come to life on Sunday afternoon when Leeds United and Southampton arrive to lock horns in the Championship Promotion Playoff Final. Leeds ended the regular season in third place, while Southampton finished three points behind them in fourth. 

The winner of this crucial encounter will join automatic playoff recipients Leicester City and Ipswich Town in heading to the Premier League for the 2024-25 season.

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The Best Betting Odds for Leeds v Southampton Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
501 23 1.01
Ladbrokes
2.5 2.4 3.25
NetBet
2.17 3.15 2.97
Betwinner
2.31 3.32 3.13
Melbet
2.17 3.32 3.44
Tonybet
2.31 3.25 3.1
Check all Leeds vs Southampton odds
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What is SportyTrader's prediction for the football match between Leeds and Southampton?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 5/26/24 between Leeds and Southampton in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.36% for a win of Leeds against Southampton with odds of 501 at Bet365.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leeds vs Southampton is 26.48% with odds of 23 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 30.16% chance ⭐ for a win of Southampton vs Leeds with odds of 3.44 at Melbet.

Leeds - Southampton Prediction and Best Odds:

Leeds vs Southampton prediction

Probability

Best Odds
Leeds wins the match43.36 %501
Draw26.48 %23
Southampton wins the match30.16 %3.44

Leeds vs Southampton Form

Leeds and Southampton Last Matches

Leeds
Leeds Last matches
L W L L D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.17
BTTS
33%
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
1.67
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

16 May 2024 - Championship

Leeds
4 :  0
Norwich

12 May 2024 - Championship

Norwich
0 :  0
Leeds

4 May 2024 - Championship

Leeds
1 :  2
Southampton

26 Apr 2024 - Championship

QPR
4 :  0
Leeds

22 Apr 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
3 :  4
Leeds

13 Apr 2024 - Championship

Leeds
0 :  1
Blackburn
Southampton
Southampton Last matches
L L L W D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.67
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
1.67
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

17 May 2024 - Championship

Southampton
3 :  1
West Brom

12 May 2024 - Championship

West Brom
0 :  0
Southampton

4 May 2024 - Championship

Leeds
1 :  2
Southampton

27 Apr 2024 - Championship

Southampton
0 :  1
Stoke

23 Apr 2024 - Championship

Leicester
5 :  0
Southampton

20 Apr 2024 - Championship

Cardiff
2 :  1
Southampton

Leeds against Southampton : Head to Head (H2H)

Leeds

17 %

Draw

33 %

Southampton

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
2.5
BTTS
67%
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
1.5
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

4 May 2024 - Championship

Leeds
1 :  2
Southampton

30 Sep 2023 - Championship

Southampton
3 :  1
Leeds

25 Feb 2023 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  0
Southampton

13 Aug 2022 - Premier League

Southampton
2 :  2
Leeds

2 Apr 2022 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  1
Southampton

16 Oct 2021 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  0
Leeds
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Leeds - Southampton: Form Analysis

After earning promotion to the Premier League as champions in 2019-20, Leeds United’s tenure in the top flight lasted only three seasons before they finished in 19th place in the 2022-23 campaign. The Whites booked their place in the Playoff final by beating Norwich City in the semis. After a goalless first leg at Carrow Road, they returned to their home patch, Elland Road, and were far too good for the Canaries as they romped to a dominant 4-0 victory. For a large part of the season, Leeds looked likely to earn automatic promotion, but they faltered at the very end, losing three of their final four games of the campaign, including a 2-1 final-day defeat to their opponents on Sunday. Crysencio Summerville has been irreplaceable for Leeds this season. The attacker leads the team with 20 goals this season, which is the third-most in the competition, and he will be looking to add to that tally in the biggest game of the season. 

Meanwhile, Southampton’s 11-year stint in the Premier League came to an end last season when they finished bottom of the table and saw three separate managers come and go across the campaign. The Saints’ Playoff semi-final followed a similar pattern to Leeds’ as they played out a goalless at the Hawthorns but returned to St Mary’s and secured a 3-1 victory to book their place in Wembley. Despite ending the regular season three points behind this opponent, Southampton did beat the Whites home and away, which could give them a psychological edge entering this contest. They secured a 3-1 victory at St Mary’s and snatched a 2-1 win at Elland Road on the final day. However, Southampton have not managed three wins in a row against this opponent since 2012. Adam Armstrong finished second in the race for the Golden Boot, scoring 21 goals and providing 13 assists. He also netted twice in the semi-final victory over the Baggies. 

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Leeds against Southampton Lineups: Starting 11

Leeds

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
I. Meslier
22
A. Gray
14
J. Rodon
4
E. Ampadu
3
J. Firpo
44
I. Gruev
8
G. Kamara
29
D. Gnonto
24
G. Rutter
10
C. Summerville
7
J. Piroe
26
R. Fraser
9
A. Armstrong
36
D. Brooks
7
J. Aribo
4
F. Downes
16
W. Smallbone
5
J. Stephens
35
J. Bednarek
21
T. Harwood-Bellis
2
K. Walker-Peters
1
A. McCarthy

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Southampton

Missing players

Leeds
Leeds
Midfielder

S. Dallas

Southampton
Southampton
Defender

J. Larios

Leeds & Southampton Squad Analysis

Daniel Farke is likely to send out a similar lineup to the one we saw against Norwich last week. The Whites will enter this match without the services of Pascal Struijk, who has been out of action since December with a groin injury. Patrick Bamford has scored eight goals in 16 appearances this season but will play no part in the final as he continues his recovery from a knee injury sustained during the run-in. Sam Byram and Darko Gyabi are flagged as doubts. 

Russell Martin, on the other hand, is still without goalkeeper Gavin Bazunu, who is set for an extended period on the sidelines due to a ruptured Achilles tendon. Alex McCarthy should, therefore, continue between the sticks for the Saints on Sunday. Stuart Armstrong has also been ruled out for the trip to Wembley owing to a hamstring injury. Juan Larios is the only long-term absentee for the side and is only expected to return to action next season. 

Leeds - Southampton Key Points

  1. Five of Leeds’ last eight games in the regular season ended with both teams scoring
  2. Leeds only kept one clean sheet in their last six games of the season
  3. Ten of Southampton’s last 15 league games in the regular season ended with both teams scoring
  4. Southampton only kept one clean sheet in their last six games of the season
  5. Both sides scored in each of the regular season matches between these teams
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Our Leeds vs Southampton Prediction

With only one promotion berth left, there’s everything to play for here, and both these sides are expected to give everything in their pursuit of returning to the Premier League. These two were separated by just three points this season, and on paper, there is very little to split them in this match. However, both teams scored over 80 goals in the Championship this term, and while picking an outright winner feels a little too risky, we feel that there will be plenty of goalmouth action in this one. Therefore, our Leeds United vs Southampton prediction: Both teams to score. 

Prediction :

Both teams to score

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Leeds vs Southampton - Other Interesting Predictions

Over 2.5

Both regular season matches between these sides ended with over 2.5 goals. In addition, four of Leeds’ last six league games ended with over 2.5 goals, while five of Southampton’s final six saw three or more goals scored. 

Southampton Draw No Bet

Southampton beat Leeds home and away during the regular season, including a 2-1 victory on the final day of the league campaign. 

Leeds vs Southampton Prediction

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Leeds vs Southampton match : Frequently asked questions

Leeds United and Southampton will face off in the Championship Playoff final at the iconic Wembley Stadium in London.

The Championship Playoff final between Leeds United and Southampton is scheduled to get underway on May 26 at 15:00 GMT. 

The Championship Playoff final between Leeds United vs Southampton will be broadcast live on Sky Sports Football.

If you are not near a TV set, you can keep up to date with the Championship Livescores right here on SportyTrader. 

John Brooks will take charge of the Championship Playoff final, with the assistance of Simon Bennett, Daniel Robathan, and Tony Harrington as the fourth official. 

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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