Leeds vs Nottingham Forest Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
Friday night football brings us a pressure-packed Premier League clash at Elland Road, where Leeds take on Nottingham Forest in what could prove a pivotal relegation six-pointer. The Whites and the Reds are 16th and 17th in the league standings, respectively, after 24 games. Check out our match prediction below!
It’s Daniel Farke’s side’s second match in the space of a week at Elland Road, but they will be hoping for a better performance here after being swept aside by title favourites Arsenal last weekend. With six points separating them from the drop zone, safety is still far from guaranteed, but three points here could prove vital come the end of the season.
The Tricky Trees turned in a resilient performance to secure a point against Palace and pull level with the Peacocks on 26 points last weekend. Sean Dyche’s side now has the joint-second-longest active unbeaten run in the EPL and will want to maintain momentum leading up to another crucial relegation scrap against Wolves in midweek. Let’s get into the key stats!
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Leeds v Nottingham Forest Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.2 | 3.45 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.19 | 3.32 | 3.38 |
|
|
2.19 | 3.28 | 3.42 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.4 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.14 | 3.35 | 3.35 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Leeds and Nottingham Forest?
Our prediction for the Leeds vs Nottingham Forest match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/02/2026 between Leeds and Nottingham Forest in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.36% for a win of Leeds against Nottingham Forest with odds of 2.23 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leeds vs Nottingham Forest is 27.74% with odds of 3.5 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.91% chance ⭐ for a win of Nottingham Forest vs Leeds with odds of 3.58 at 888Starz.
Leeds - Nottingham Forest Prediction and Best Odds:
| Leeds Nottingham Forest Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds wins | 42.36% | 2.23 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.74% | 2.1 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score | 59.58% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Leeds/Leeds | 17.78% | 3.5 at Bet365 |
Leeds vs Nottingham Forest Form
Leeds and Nottingham Forest's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
14
|
47 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | -7 |
|
16
|
44 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | -3 |
Leeds and Nottingham Forest Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
26 Jan 2026 - Premier League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jan 2026 - Premier League
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
28 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2026 - Premier League
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
9 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2026 - Premier League
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
9 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
6 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
22 Dec 2025 - Premier League
Leeds vs Nottingham Forest Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
4 Apr 2023 - Premier League
5 Feb 2023 - Premier League
8 Feb 2020 - Championship
10 Aug 2019 - Championship
1 Jan 2019 - Championship
Leeds - Nottingham Forest: Form Analysis
While Leeds United proved no match for the Gunners last weekend, suffering a crushing 4-0 defeat, that was just their second loss across all competitions since the start of December.
During this period, the Whites have earned 15 points in 11 league games (W3 D6 L2), including taking a point off Man United, holding Liverpool to draws home and away, and beating Chelsea 3-1.
The hosts’ undoubted strength has been their home form this season, with 19 of their 26 points coming here at Elland Road (W5 D4 L3). They are also unbeaten in their last five home games against this opponent.
Leeds have won all four of their EPL night matches at home this season!
Meanwhile, despite playing the entire second half with 10 men, Nottingham Forest managed to hold Crystal Palace to a 1-1 draw last weekend, which took them six points clear of the drop.
That result also marked the Reds’ fourth consecutive league game without defeat (W2 D2), a massive improvement after losing four in a row in the top flight either side of the New Year.
The visitors have won their last two away matches and have now earned 14 points from 12 games on the road this term (W4 D2 L6). However, they have only scored 11 goals on their travels, which is the third-fewest in the division.
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Leeds against Nottingham Forest Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
L. Perri
DefenderJ. Bijol
S. Bornauw
S. Longstaff
A. Tanaka
ForwardG. Wilfried
J. Piroe
L. Nmecha
D. James
A. Gunn
DefenderL. Netz
J. Cunha
MidfielderJ. McAtee
R. Yates
O. Hutchinson
D. Ndoye
L. Lucca
T. Awoniyi
Missing players
A. Stach
M. Sels
DefenderN. Savona
MidfielderMurillo
ForwardC. Wood
Leeds & Nottingham Forest Squad Analysis
After an excellent December in which he scored six goals in five games, Dominic Calvert-Lewin has only netted once in the New Year, but he will fancy his chances of getting back on the scoresheet against this opponent.
James Justin started in the three-man back line against Arsenal, but was withdrawn at halftime. Farke may consider moving the former Leicester man back to wing-back, where he scored against Everton and Derby last month.
Jaka Bijol has now missed the last three games through injury and is expected to remain sidelined for at least another week. Lukas Nmecha and Daniel James are longer-term absentees for the hosts.
Morgan Gibbs-White has four goal contributions in his last five EPL matches!
To date, the England international has been involved in 33% of Forest’s goals this season (6 goals, 2 assists). He also netted the go-ahead goal in the reverse fixture back in November.
The Reds received two major defensive setbacks against Palace last week, with Neco Williams shown a red card and Matz Sels sustaining an injury. Both players will be forced to sit out this match.
Dyche will have to decide between Angus Gunn and deadline-day signing Stefan Ortega as a replacement for Sels in goal. Nicolo Savona, Chris Wood and John Victor are the other injury absentees for the visitors this week.
Most goals and assists
Leeds
Nottingham Forest
D. Calvert-Lewin
(14 Goals)
M. Gibbs-White
(15 Goals)
B. Aaronson
(5 Assists)
O. Hutchinson
(5 Assists)
Leeds - Nottingham Forest Key Points
- Seven of Leeds’ last 10 league games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Leeds have only kept one clean sheet in their last 10 home league matches.
- Nottingham Forest have only failed to score in one of their last five league games.
- Nottingham Forest are averaging 1.49 xGA per 90 in the league this season.
- Both teams scored in the last three matches between these sides at this venue.
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Our Leeds vs Nottingham Forest Prediction
While Leeds have earned the bulk of their points at home this season, they have not been great defensively of late, managing only a single clean sheet in their last 10 matches at Elland Road.
Forest’s current four-match unbeaten run is their longest without defeat in over a year. They are looking to complete the double against this opponent for the first time in over a decade, but they have not won a match at this venue since 2016. We feel this will be a very close contest. Our Leeds vs Nottingham Forest prediction is BTTS.
Leeds vs Nottingham Forest Alternative Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
Eight of Leeds’ last 10 home games have ended with over 2.5 goals, while Nottingham Forest are averaging 1.41 goals conceded per game on the road this season.
Morgan Gibbs-White to score or assist
Morgan Gibbs-White has been involved in 33% of Forest’s goals this season, including in four of their last five. He also scored in the reverse fixture back in November.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Leeds Nottingham Forest
| Leeds vs Nottingham Forest | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds wins | 2.22 | 2.23 | +0.5% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.5 | +7.7% |
| Nottingham Forest wins | 3.25 | 3.58 | +10.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Leeds is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 0.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 45.0% and is now 44.8% (-0.2%)
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Leeds vs Nottingham Forest - FAQs
The Premier League match between Leeds and Nottingham Forest will take place on February 6 at 20:00 GMT.
The Premier League match between Leeds and Nottingham Forest will be played at Elland Road in Leeds.
The Premier League match between Leeds and Nottingham Forest will be broadcast on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
