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17 March 2024 - 11:00 

- Day 38

England - Championship

Leeds
VS
Millwall

Prediction :

Leeds United to win and Under 2.5 Goals

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Leeds vs Millwall Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

 by Ian John | in Championship Prediction

Leeds United face off against Millwall in the Championship looking at securing another win in their quest to overtake Leicester City at the top of the table. Daniel Farke's team have been in outstanding form of late, winning 11 of their last 12 in the Championship and drawing the other. Across those 12 games, they have conceded just three goals, while scoring 26. By any reckoning, that is incredible form. They now sit second in the Championship table, just three points behind Leicester City, with a goal difference that is just one worse than the Foxes. Their 28 goals conceded is comfortably the fewest in the Championship, five better than the next best team (Leicester). They remain unbeaten at home this season, winning 14 and drawing 4 at Elland Road. 

Millwall will be looking for a degree of revenge after their 3-0 home loss to Leeds earlier this season and there are suggestions they could make life tough for the home side. The Lions have not lost any of their last four games, winning three of them, two by a 1-0 scoreline. Defensively, the Lions are solid enough conceding 48 so far this season, which is better than the teams around them in the table but goalscoring has been an issue with just 36 goals scored in their 37 games. That attack doesn't look likely to be able to put too much of a dent in a Leeds defence that has been exceptionally good of late.

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The Best Betting Odds for Leeds v Millwall Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.36 5 8.5
1xbet
1.35 5.1 8.7
22bet
1.35 5.1 8.7
Betwinner
1.31 5.35 9.6
Check all Leeds vs Millwall odds
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Who will win the Leeds vs Millwall Football match?


The best predictions and winner betting odds for the match between Leeds and Millwall of Championship on 3/17/24 :

  • There is a probability of 65.32% ⭐ for Leeds to win this match against Millwall ⚽ with odds of 1.36 found at Bet365.
  • Betwinner ⭐ has the best odds for a draw prediction ⚽️ at 5.35 which implies a probability of 15.37%.
  • Currently, the best odds ⭐ for Millwall to win the match are about 9.6 at Betwinner. That means a probability of 19.32%.

Leeds vs Millwall Form

Leeds and Millwall's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Leeds
Leeds
90 45 27 9 9 39
16
Millwall
Millwall
56 45 15 11 19 -11

Leeds and Millwall Last Matches

Leeds
Leeds Last matches
W W L D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.67
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
1.83
Goals conceded
0.83
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

8 Mar 2024 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
0 :  2
Leeds

5 Mar 2024 - Championship

Leeds
1 :  0
Stoke

2 Mar 2024 - Championship

Huddersfield Town
1 :  1
Leeds

28 Feb 2024 - FA Cup

Chelsea
3 :  2
Leeds

23 Feb 2024 - Championship

Leeds
3 :  1
Leicester

17 Feb 2024 - Championship

Plymouth
0 :  2
Leeds
Millwall
Millwall Last matches
L L W W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.17
BTTS
33%
Goals scored
0.83
Goals conceded
1.33
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

9 Mar 2024 - Championship

Millwall
1 :  0
Birmingham

5 Mar 2024 - Championship

Blackburn
1 :  1
Millwall

2 Mar 2024 - Championship

Millwall
1 :  0
Watford

24 Feb 2024 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  2
Millwall

17 Feb 2024 - Championship

Millwall
0 :  2
Sheffield Wednesday

14 Feb 2024 - Championship

Millwall
0 :  4
Ipswich Town

Leeds against Millwall : Head to Head (H2H)

Leeds

75 %

Draw

0 %

Millwall

25 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
3.5
BTTS
50%
Goals scored (Team 1)
2.25
Goals scored (Team 2)
1.25
Over 2.5
75%
Under 2.5
25%

17 Sep 2023 - Championship

Millwall
0 :  3
Leeds

28 Jan 2020 - Championship

Leeds
3 :  2
Millwall

30 Mar 2019 - Championship

Leeds
3 :  2
Millwall

16 Sep 2017 - Championship

Millwall
1 :  0
Leeds
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Leeds against Millwall Lineups: Starting 11

Leeds

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
I. Meslier
22
A. Gray
14
J. Rodon
4
E. Ampadu
3
J. Firpo
8
G. Kamara
44
I. Gruev
29
D. Gnonto
24
G. Rutter
10
C. Summerville
9
P. Bamford
10
Z. Flemming
21
M. Obafemi
18
R. Leonard
23
G. Saville
8
B. Mitchell
39
G. Honeyman
15
J. Bryan
5
J. Cooper
6
J. Tanganga
17
B. Norton-Cuffy
20
M. Sarkic

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Millwall

Missing players

Leeds
Leeds
Midfielder

S. Dallas

Millwall
Millwall
Defender

J. Bryan

Leeds - Millwall Key Points

  1. Leeds have won 11 of their last 12 games in all competitions, drawing the other. Four of their last five games have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
  2. Millwall are on a decent run of form, winning three and drawing one of their last four. A good return of points following a run of seven games without a win (six of those defeats). They have conceded 2 goals in those four games, scoring five.
  3. Leeds have conceded just 12 goals at home this season, the best record in the division. They have scored 39 goals in their 18 home games with an average of 2.83 goals per game.
  4. Just five of Millwall's last 16 games have seen both teams score and just four of those games have seen over 2.5 goals scored. Just 41% of Millwall games this season have seen Over 2.5 goals, the lowest percentage in the division along with Stoke City and Bristol City.
  5. Leeds were the 3-0 winners when the teams met at the New Den earlier on this season.
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Our Leeds vs Millwall Prediction

All the data seems to point to a Leeds win over Millwall on Sunday. The home side's superb form of late cannot be overlooked as they continue to reel in Leicester City at the top of the table. However, they face a Millwall side that has tightened up a great deal defensively of late and who are on their own solid run of form. The data does suggest a low scoring affair here, so our prediction for Leeds vs Millwall is for a Leeds win and Under 2.5 Goals to be scored.

Prediction :

Leeds United to win and Under 2.5 Goals

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Leeds vs Millwall Prediction

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