Leeds vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
Brighton and Hove Albion continue their bid to qualify for European football next season. They are seventh in the Premier League and this weekend travel to Leeds United who are 14th and safe from relegation. The Seagulls have a strong record against United and they certainly have more to play for in this game than the home side. That is a major factor here as the season comes to an end and a big reason for the prediction we will make.
Seventh place would be good enough for Brighton to qualify for European football for only the second time in their history. They had a good win over Wolves last weekend but will be wary that their final fixture is a tricky home game against Manchester United. Three points at Elland Road is going to be so important for them.
Leeds United would rather have been playing at Wembley this weekend but lost in the FA Cup semi-finals. The Whites have been battling relegation all season but have been in good form for most of the second half and are a comfortable eight points clear of the bottom three with two games to play.
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Leeds v Brighton Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.35 | 3.6 | 2.16 |
|
|
3.42 | 3.62 | 2.06 |
|
|
3.36 | 3.48 | 2.13 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.6 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.5 | 2.04 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Leeds and Brighton?
Our prediction for the Leeds vs Brighton match is: Brighton wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/05/2026 between Leeds and Brighton in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.69% for a win of Leeds against Brighton with odds of 3.6 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leeds vs Brighton is 24.64% with odds of 3.7 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 44.67% chance ⭐ for a win of Brighton vs Leeds with odds of 2.21 at 888Starz.
Leeds - Brighton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Leeds Brighton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton wins | 44.67% | 2.21 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.08% | 1.94 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score: No | 70% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Brighton | 17.53% | 5.75 at LSbet |
Leeds vs Brighton Form
Leeds and Brighton's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
53 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +6 |
|
14
|
47 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | -7 |
Leeds and Brighton Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2026 - Premier League
1 May 2026 - Premier League
26 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
22 Apr 2026 - Premier League
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
13 Apr 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 May 2026 - Premier League
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
8 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2026 - Premier League
26 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
22 Apr 2026 - Premier League
13 Apr 2026 - Premier League
5 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 May 2026 - Premier League
2 May 2026 - Premier League
21 Apr 2026 - Premier League
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 May 2026 - Premier League
21 Apr 2026 - Premier League
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Premier League
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
Leeds vs Brighton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
11 Mar 2023 - Premier League
27 Aug 2022 - Premier League
15 May 2022 - Premier League
27 Nov 2021 - Premier League
1 May 2021 - Premier League
Leeds - Brighton: Form Analysis
Last weekend saw Brighton gain three vital home points. They got off to a quick start with two early goals and eventually beat relegated Wolves 3-0 at home. With two games to play in this season's Premier League, the Seagulls are only two points behind sixth place and the same gap exists to eighth.
Brighton bid to continue their good record against Leeds.
Albion have won 14 league games this season and that includes a 3-0 home win over Leeds United last November. They are unbeaten in their last seven matches against United who last beat them nine years ago.
On the road, Brighton have won five away league games this season but have won three of the last five.
Leeds United have no relegation worries and will be playing in the Premier League again next season. The Whites came from behind to draw 1-1 at Tottenham last weekend and are unbeaten in their last two matches.
While they have only lost one of their last ten games, they have just a sole victory in their four most recent matches.
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Leeds against Brighton Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
L. Perri
DefenderJ. Lienou
S. Byram
S. Longstaff
R. Chadwick
A. Cresswell
ForwardG. Wilfried
J. Piroe
L. Nmecha
J. Steele
DefenderO. Boscagli
MidfielderJ. Milner
M. O'Riley
Y. Ayari
D. Gomez
S. March
G. Rutter
C. Kostoulas
Missing players
G. Gudmundsson
J. Bogle
MidfielderI. Gruev
ForwardN. Okafor
M. Wieffer
MidfielderK. Mitoma
ForwardS. Tzimas
Leeds & Brighton Squad Analysis
Brighton will be missing Kaoru Mitoma for the rest of the season. The Japanese international suffered a hamstring injury against Wolves last Saturday and will miss the World Cup this summer as a result of that. The Seagulls will have Diego Gomez available again for this trip to Elland Road but is likely to be on the bench.
Mats Weiffer is also expected to be available again for this fixture. Brighton have had three recent away league wins but were beaten at Newcastle in their last away fixture. That is their only loss in the last seven matches that have been played by Brighton.
Nchema could start for Leeds.
Leeds drew last weekend and are safe from relegation. It will be interesting to see how they approach this Premier League game now that the threat of relegation no longer exists. Lukas Nchema was impressive when coming on as a sub against Spurs on Monday and could start against Brighton.
Gabriel Gudmundsson is also a possible starter for United. He has been out injured in recent weeks but has returned to full fitness. The Whites will be missing defender Pascal Strujik who was injured on Monday night's game.
Most goals and assists
Leeds
Brighton
D. Calvert-Lewin
(14 Goals)
D. Welbeck
(13 Goals)
B. Aaronson
(5 Assists)
Y. Minteh
(4 Assists)
Leeds - Brighton Key Points
- Brighton have won three of their last five away league games.
- Brighton won the reverse fixture 3-0.
- Leeds haven't beaten Brighton since 2017.
- Leeds have only won one of their last four games.
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Our Leeds vs Brighton Prediction
Brighton and Hove Albion are seventh in the table and close to clinching qualification for European football next season. They have had a tendency to blow hot and cold this season but with so much at stake for them, the Seagulls will be going all out for a win at Elland Road.
Leeds have achieved their ambition of avoiding an immediate return to the Championship. They don't have a great deal to play for now that safety has been confirmed. Their record against Brighton is not good and our main Leeds v Brighton prediction is Brighton wins.
Leeds vs Brighton Alternative Predictions
Danny Welbeck scores
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Leeds Brighton
| Leeds vs Brighton | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds wins | 3.05 | 3.6 | +18.0% |
| Draw | 3.35 | 3.7 | +10.4% |
| Brighton wins | 2.26 | 2.21 | -2.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Brighton is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 44.2% and is now 45.2% (1.0%)
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Leeds vs Brighton - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
