Lecce vs Roma Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Lecce will hope to put up another solid showing in Serie A when they host AS Roma. Going into the 19th round, Roma are fifth, while Lecce are two places above the drop zone. Read on to find our prediction for the match.
Lecce started off 2026 on a positive note as they battled to a 1-1 draw away against Juventus. Lameck Banda, straight from the AFCON with Zambia, scored to see Lecce head to halftime leading.
They would be pegged back in the second half, but facing another top six side, they’ll look to avoid defeat again when starting as underdogs. Lecce’s push is for survival, and as things stand, they are five points clear of the drop zone.
AS Roma, like Lecce, will also be eyeing the three crucial points from this fixture. The team trailing them, Como, is just three points away, with a game in hand and a better goal difference.
It makes this tougher for Roma that they are coming from a defeat. They started their year with a 1-0 loss to Atalanta, their fourth defeat in the last six league games.
Things haven't been great on the road for Giallorossi, who have lost each of their last three away league games. While they remain the joint best defensive side, six of the 12 goals they conceded have come on the road.
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Lecce v Roma Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.2 | 3.55 | 1.78 |
|
|
5.35 | 3.44 | 1.74 |
|
|
5.2 | 3.38 | 1.77 |
|
|
5 | 3.4 | 1.75 |
|
|
5.2 | 3.4 | 1.74 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Lecce and Roma?
Our prediction for the Lecce vs Roma match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/01/2026 between Lecce and Roma in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.74% for a win of Lecce against Roma with odds of 5.4 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lecce vs Roma is 22.14% with odds of 3.65 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 47.12% chance ⭐ for a win of Roma vs Lecce with odds of 1.84 at 888Starz.
Lecce - Roma Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lecce Roma Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Roma wins | 47.12% | 1.84 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 59.61% | 1.88 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 69.58% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Roma | 22.26% | 4.5 at LSbet |
Lecce vs Roma Form
Lecce and Roma's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
73 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | +28 |
|
17
|
38 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | -22 |
Lecce and Roma Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - Serie A
27 Dec 2025 - Serie A
12 Dec 2025 - Serie A
7 Dec 2025 - Serie A
30 Nov 2025 - Serie A
23 Nov 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2025 - Serie A
12 Dec 2025 - Serie A
30 Nov 2025 - Serie A
8 Nov 2025 - Serie A
28 Oct 2025 - Serie A
18 Oct 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - Serie A
7 Dec 2025 - Serie A
23 Nov 2025 - Serie A
2 Nov 2025 - Serie A
25 Oct 2025 - Serie A
4 Oct 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - Serie A
29 Dec 2025 - Serie A
20 Dec 2025 - Serie A
15 Dec 2025 - Serie A
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
7 Dec 2025 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - Serie A
15 Dec 2025 - Serie A
30 Nov 2025 - Serie A
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
29 Oct 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - Serie A
20 Dec 2025 - Serie A
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
7 Dec 2025 - Serie A
23 Nov 2025 - Serie A
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
Lecce vs Roma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Mar 2025 - Serie A
7 Dec 2024 - Serie A
1 Apr 2024 - Serie A
5 Nov 2023 - Serie A
11 Feb 2023 - Serie A
9 Oct 2022 - Serie A
Lecce against Roma Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
J. Samooja
DefenderG. Jean
C. Ndaba
J. Siebert
N. Kovac
C. Kouassi
M. Ignacio
MidfielderA. Sala
F. Marchwinski
K. N’Dri
S. Pierotti
T. Helgason
O. Gorter
N. Stulic
D. Vasquez
R. Zelezny
DefenderE. Lulli
J. Mirra
Angelino
K. Tsimikas
A. Romano
M. Soule
A. Dovbyk
Missing players
M. Berisha
P. Gollini
DefenderM. Hermoso
G. Mancini
E. Ndicka
MidfielderL. Pellegrini
N. El Aynaoui
Most goals and assists
Lecce
Roma
L. Banda
(5 Goals)
D. Malen
(14 Goals)
A. Gallo
(4 Assists)
,
L. Banda
(4 Assists)
P. Dybala
(7 Assists)
Lecce - Roma Key Points
- Lecce are scoring 0.7 goals per match in Serie A.
- Three of these teams’ last five meetings had under 2.5 goals.
- Five of Roma’s last eight away games had under 2.5 goals scored.
- Roma have the best defence in Serie A, conceding 0.7 goals per match.
- Roma are ninth among the best-scoring sides, averaging 1.1 goals per game.
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Our Lecce vs Roma Prediction
These two sides had contrasting outings in their recent league matches, but the highlight remains in the goals produced. Roma are coming off their fourth defeat. They lost 1-0 to Atalanta in another low-scoring fixture, once again their shortcomings in attack showing.
They’ve been sturdy defensively, and that is one area they are going to parade here. Lecce haven't done well in attack either, scoring just six in their nine home matches. This could happen here again, and that's why we are going into the goals market. Our prediction for Lecce v Roma is for less than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lecce Roma
| Lecce vs Roma | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce wins | 5.4 | 5.4 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.2 | 3.65 | +14.1% |
| Roma wins | 1.74 | 1.84 | +5.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Roma is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 57.5% and is now 54.3% (-3.1%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
