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02 February 2024 - 14:45 

- Day 23

Italy - Serie A

Lecce
VS
Fiorentina

Prediction :

Under 2.5

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Lecce vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

 by Sridhar | in Serie A Prediction

With relegation threat looking a distinct possibility, Lecce would be desperate to end their recent sliding fortunes as they come up against top-four chasers Fiorentina. This Serie A game will be played at the Stadio Via del mare on Friday. The hosts are 14th ahead of this round with 21 points from 22 matches, while the visitors are 6th with 34 points from 21 matches. Lecce are only three points above the bottom-three and that is due to their recent poor form. Five losses and just one point from their last six league games has seen them erase the positives of a five-game unbeaten run prior to that. Lecce have failed to score in four of their last six games and that seems to be an issue they need to immediately address. At least at home they seem to have found a way to remain competitive having drawn four and won one of their last six home league games.

Fiorentina are only two points behind top-four teams and that gives them an incentive to improve their recent record. The visitors were beaten 1-0 by Inter Milan in their last league game, which was their second defeat across three matches. The only point in that sequence was a 2-2 draw with Udinese, halting a five-game unbeaten run where they won four games. They still remain one of the toughest units to breach with only 22 goals conceded in Serie A this season. Those positives though, have been negated by a strike force that has scored just 29 goals. The challenges are evident on the road where Fiorentina have lost three and drew one of their last five away league games.

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The Best Betting Odds for Lecce v Fiorentina Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
3.6 3.1 2.25
NetBet
3.5 3.1 2.07
Check all Lecce vs Fiorentina odds
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Who will win the Lecce vs Fiorentina Football match?


The best predictions and winner betting odds for the match between Lecce and Fiorentina of Serie A on 2/2/24 :

  • There is a probability of 28.83% ⭐ for Lecce to win this match against Fiorentina ⚽ with odds of 3.6 found at Bet365.
  • Bet365 ⭐ has the best odds for a draw prediction ⚽️ at 3.1 which implies a probability of 38.14%.
  • Currently, the best odds ⭐ for Fiorentina to win the match are about 2.25 at Bet365. That means a probability of 33.03%.

Lecce - Fiorentina Prediction and Best Odds:

Lecce vs Fiorentina prediction

Win Probability

Best Odds
Lecce  is favoured to win28.83 %3.6
Draw38.14 %3.1
Fiorentina wins the game33.03 %2.25

Lecce vs Fiorentina Form

Lecce and Fiorentina's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
8
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
54 36 15 9 12 13
13
Lecce
Lecce
37 37 8 13 16 -22

Lecce and Fiorentina Last Matches

Lecce
Lecce Last matches
L L D L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2
BTTS
33%
Goals scored
0.33
Goals conceded
1.67
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

28 Jan 2024 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  1
Lecce

21 Jan 2024 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  3
Juventus

14 Jan 2024 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  0
Lecce

6 Jan 2024 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  1
Cagliari

30 Dec 2023 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  0
Lecce

23 Dec 2023 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Lecce
Fiorentina
Fiorentina Last matches
W L D D L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
1.67
BTTS
17%
Goals scored
0.5
Goals conceded
1.17
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

28 Jan 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  1
Inter Milan

18 Jan 2024 - Super Cup

Napoli
3 :  0
Fiorentina

14 Jan 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  2
Udinese

9 Jan 2024 - Coppa Italia

Fiorentina
0 :  0
Bologna

6 Jan 2024 - Serie A

Sassuolo
1 :  0
Fiorentina

29 Dec 2023 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Turin

Lecce against Fiorentina : Head to Head (H2H)

Lecce

20 %

Draw

40 %

Fiorentina

40 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
2.4
BTTS
60%
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
1.4
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%

27 Aug 2023 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  2
Lecce

19 Mar 2023 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Lecce

17 Oct 2022 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  1
Fiorentina

15 Jul 2020 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  3
Fiorentina

30 Nov 2019 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  1
Lecce
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Lecce against Fiorentina Lineups: Starting 11

Lecce

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

30
W. Falcone
17
V. Gendrey
5
M. Pongracic
6
F. Baschirotto
25
A. Gallo
77
M. Kaba
29
A. Blin
10
R. Oudin
7
P. Almqvist
9
N. Krstovic
22
L. Banda
18
M. Nzola
7
R. Sottil
9
L. Beltran
5
G. Bonaventura
32
A. Duncan
8
M. Lopez
3
C. Biraghi
16
L. Ranieri
28
L. Martinez
22
D. Faraoni
1
P. Terracciano

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Fiorentina

Missing players

Lecce
Lecce
Defender

K. Dermaku

Midfielder

M. Kaba

Forward

L. Banda

N. Sansone

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Forward

R. Sottil

Lecce - Fiorentina Key Points

  1. Eight of the last ten league games between these sides ended up producing under 2.5 goals
  2. Six of Lecce’s last nine league games have seen under 2.5 goals scored
  3. In six of their last ten home league matches, Lecce have seen under 2.5 goals scored
  4. Seven of Fiorentina’s last eight away league matches have seen under 2.5 goals scored
  5. Likewise, in six of their last seven Serie A matches, Fiorentina have seen under 2.5 goals scored
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Our Lecce vs Fiorentina Prediction

Fiorentina’s top-four push has received a bump lately, with the Viola struggling for consistency. They would be desperate to get back to business and pick up a win, as the lower-table side Lecce also come into this fixture with an eye on regaining lost momentum. Fiorentina could make things tighter, as their defensive record is one of the best in the division. This game could see goals at a premium and hence our Lecce vs Fiorentina prediction is for under 2.5 goals to be scored.

Prediction :

Under 2.5

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Lecce vs Fiorentina Prediction

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