Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Three wins from their opening nine league matches mean Lazio are yet to get to a consistent level in Serie A. They will be targeting a routine win against Cagliari to engineer their rise in the top half. Below is out prediction for the match.
In their last five meetings with Cagliari, Lazio have posted as many wins. Two of their victories so far in 2025/26 have been delivered in home matches, and Lazio have all the right pointers heading into this encounter.
They’ve only lost to arch rivals Roma at home this season, and in their latest win there, they beat Juventus. Le Aquile are coming from a disappointing 0-0 draw with Pisa, though that was their fourth clean sheet in five matches.
Cagliari posted two straight defeats in their latest visits to Lazio and will be pushing for a better return here. However, they come into this with confidence at a low, having fallen to promoted Sassuolo in their latest outing.
Their 2-1 loss at home meant Gli Isolani have now gone winless in five matches, all in Serie A. That run has produced three defeats, and they failed to score in two.
Cagliari have so far managed two wins in the league, both against sides beneath them—Parma and Lecce. In their last 20 matches against Lazio, they are winless. Four times in the last five meetings, they failed to score.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lazio v Cagliari Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.62 | 3.6 | 6 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.6 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.75 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.75 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.58 | 3.75 | 6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Lazio and Cagliari?
Our prediction for the Lazio vs Cagliari match is: Lazio to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/11/2025 between Lazio and Cagliari in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 58.63% for a win of Lazio against Cagliari with odds of 1.67 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lazio vs Cagliari is 28.22% with odds of 3.75 at William Hill.
- Our prediction model gives a 13.16% chance ⭐ for a win of Cagliari vs Lazio with odds of 6.35 at LSbet.
Lazio - Cagliari Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lazio Cagliari Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lazio wins | 58.63% | 1.67 at Betfred |
| Under 2.5 | 58.79% | 1.76 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score | 40.83% | 2.1 at Betway |
| Half-time / Full-time : Lazio/Lazio | 27.33% | 2.5 at Bet365 |
Lazio vs Cagliari Form
Lazio and Cagliari's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
15 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
|
14
|
9 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 |
Lazio and Cagliari Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Oct 2025 - Serie A
26 Oct 2025 - Serie A
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
4 Oct 2025 - Serie A
29 Sept 2025 - Serie A
21 Sept 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2025 - Serie A
4 Oct 2025 - Serie A
21 Sept 2025 - Serie A
31 Aug 2025 - Serie A
16 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Oct 2025 - Serie A
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
29 Sept 2025 - Serie A
14 Sept 2025 - Serie A
24 Aug 2025 - Serie A
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Oct 2025 - Serie A
26 Oct 2025 - Serie A
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
5 Oct 2025 - Serie A
27 Sept 2025 - Serie A
23 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Oct 2025 - Serie A
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
27 Sept 2025 - Serie A
23 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia
13 Sept 2025 - Serie A
24 Aug 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2025 - Serie A
5 Oct 2025 - Serie A
19 Sept 2025 - Serie A
30 Aug 2025 - Serie A
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Lazio vs Cagliari Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Feb 2025 - Serie A
4 Nov 2024 - Serie A
10 Feb 2024 - Serie A
2 Dec 2023 - Serie A
5 Mar 2022 - Serie A
19 Sept 2021 - Serie A
Lazio against Cagliari Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 1 - 2
Missing players
S. Gigot
F. Bordon
N. Tavares
MidfielderN. Rovella
F. Dele-Bashiru
ForwardT. Castellanos
M. Cancellieri
N. Pintus
MidfielderA. Deiola
M. Rog
ForwardA. Belotti
Most goals and assists
Lazio
Cagliari
M. Cancellieri
(3 Goals)
,
M. Zaccagni
(3 Goals)
A. Belotti
(2 Goals)
,
M. Felici
(2 Goals)
T. Castellanos
(3 Assists)
G. Gaetano
(1 Assists)
,
M. Felici
(1 Assists)
, 
A. Obert
(1 Assists)
,
L. Pavoletti
(1 Assists)
, 
M. Adopo
(1 Assists)
,
M. Palestra
(1 Assists)
Lazio - Cagliari Key Points
- Cagliari failed to score in four of their last eight meetings with Lazio.
- Cagliari are winless in their previous 20 matches against Lazio.
- Cagliari haven't recorded a win in their last five games.
- In their last five matches Lazio kept four clean sheets.
- Lazio are unbeaten in their last five matches.
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Our Lazio vs Cagliari Prediction
Lazio come into this game as strong favorites, having largely dominated this fixture in previous meetings. They have five straight wins against Cagliari and haven't lost any of the last 20. The hosts also happen to be one of the most defensively solid sides in Serie A this season and will carry that effect here.
Lazio have won without conceding in four of the last eight in this fixture. Meanwhile, in two of Cagliari’s latest three defeats, they failed to score. Our prediction for Lazio v Cagliari is for Lazio to win to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lazio Cagliari
| Lazio vs Cagliari | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio wins | 1.67 | 1.62 | -3.0% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.6 | +5.9% |
| Cagliari wins | 6 | 6 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lazio is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.9% and is now 61.7% (1.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Lazio vs. Cagliari game!
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Try your luck on this year's Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
