Lazio vs Atalanta Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Lazio
14/02/2026 12:00
Atalanta

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

Atalanta will travel to Lazio for their next Serie A match, with the two sides separated by one place in the standings. Both chasing European football, Atalanta have the slight edge at position seven, six points ahead of Lazio. Read on to find our prediction of this match.

Lazio have enjoyed a little bit of stability in recent matches. However, eight wins only in 24 league games is a run still pulling them down. The hosts missed a massive opportunity in their last league game, losing a 2-0 lead to draw 2-2 with Juventus.

That left them on 33 points, eight behind the top six. They did manage to eliminate Bologna in the Coppa Italia, though, and will seek inspiration from that.

Atalanta are also on a positive run after their poor start to the season. They come here unbeaten in the last three matches, the most recent being a 2-1 win against Cremonese.

That league game was preceded by a morale-boosting 3-0 beating of Juventus in the Coppa. La Dea have also been doing well defensively and will hope it counts here.

They kept three clean sheets in their last five matches, though twice in the last four they failed to score. The visitors are also winless in the last three away matches and failed to beat Lazio away in the last two visits.

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Lazio v Atalanta Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3.5 3.3 2.24
Melbet
3.48 3.24 2.18
Betwinner
3.48 3.24 2.18
Bet365
3.4 3.1 2.2
Roobet
3.45 3.2 2.16
Check all Lazio vs Atalanta odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Lazio and Atalanta?

Our prediction for the Lazio vs Atalanta match is: more than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/02/2026 between Lazio and Atalanta in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 24.49% for a win of Lazio against Atalanta with odds of 3.62 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lazio vs Atalanta is 39.88% with odds of 3.38 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 35.64% chance ⭐ for a win of Atalanta vs Lazio with odds of 2.3 at Tonybet.

Lazio - Atalanta Prediction and Best Odds:

Lazio Atalanta Prediction Probability Odds
Draw 39.88% 3.38 at 888Starz
Under 2.5 58.99% 1.85 at Bet365
Both Team To Score: No 55%
Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw 21.76% 5 at Bet365

Lazio vs Atalanta Form

Lazio and Atalanta's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
7 Atalanta
59 38 15 14 9 +15
9 Lazio
54 38 14 12 12 +1

Lazio and Atalanta Last Matches

Lazio
Lazio Last matches
W L D W D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

11 Feb 2026 - Coppa Italia

Bologna
1 :  1
Lazio

8 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  2
Lazio

30 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
3 :  2
Genoa

24 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  0
Lazio

19 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  3
Como 1907

11 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
0 :  1
Lazio
D D L D L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

30 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
3 :  2
Genoa

19 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  3
Como 1907

7 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  2
Fiorentina

4 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  2
Napoli

20 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  0
Cremonese

7 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  1
Bologna
W D W D D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

11 Feb 2026 - Coppa Italia

Bologna
1 :  1
Lazio

8 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  2
Lazio

24 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  0
Lazio

11 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
0 :  1
Lazio

27 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  1
Lazio

13 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  1
Lazio
Atalanta
Atalanta Last matches
L W L D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Cremonese

5 Feb 2026 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
3 :  0
Juventus

1 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
0 :  0
Atalanta

28 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Union Saint-Gilloise
1 :  0
Atalanta

25 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
4 :  0
Parma

21 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Atalanta
2 :  3
Athletic Bilbao
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Cremonese

5 Feb 2026 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
3 :  0
Juventus

25 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
4 :  0
Parma

21 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Atalanta
2 :  3
Athletic Bilbao

10 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  0
Torino FC

3 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  0
Roma
L W W D L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

1 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
0 :  0
Atalanta

28 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Union Saint-Gilloise
1 :  0
Atalanta

16 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Pisa SC
1 :  1
Atalanta

7 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  2
Atalanta

21 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  1
Atalanta

6 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
3 :  1
Atalanta

Lazio vs Atalanta Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Lazio

33 %

Draw

33 %

Atalanta

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

19 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  0
Lazio

6 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  1
Lazio

28 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  1
Atalanta

4 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
3 :  1
Lazio

8 Oct 2023 - Serie A

Lazio
3 :  2
Atalanta

11 Feb 2023 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  2
Atalanta
Lazio vs Atalanta Prediction

Lazio against Atalanta Lineups: Starting 11

Lazio

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

94
I. Provedel
77
A. Marusic
34
M. Gila
25
O. Provstgaard
17
N. Tavares
24
K. Taylor
32
D. Cataldi
7
F. Dele-Bashiru
18
G. Isaksen
27
D. Maldini
14
T. Noslin
90
N. Krstovic
47
L. Bernasconi
10
L. Samardzic
59
N. Zalewski
13
E. Silva
15
M. De Roon
77
D. Zappacosta
69
H. Ahanor
19
B. Djimsiti
42
G. Scalvini
29
M. Carnesecchi

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Atalanta

Substitutes

Lazio
Lazio
Goalkeeper

A. Furlanetto

E. Motta

Defender

L. Pellegrini

E. Hysaj

Patric

M. Gila 46'

Midfielder

V. Farcomeni

A. Przyborek

N. Rovella

D. Cataldi 67'

R. Belahyane

Forward

M. Cancellieri

K. Taylor 79'

P. Ratkov

T. Noslin 67'

B. Dia

G. Isaksen 88'

Atalanta
Atalanta
Goalkeeper

F. Rossi

M. Sportiello

Defender

R. Bellanova

D. Zappacosta 83'

M. Bakker

I. Hien

O. Kossounou

G. Scalvini 46'

S. Kolasinac

H. Ahanor 25'

Midfielder

Y. Musah

M. Pasalic

Forward

K. Sulemana

N. Zalewski 70'

G. Raspadori

L. Samardzic 46'

G. Scamacca

Missing players

Lazio
Lazio
Defender

A. Romagnoli

S. Gigot

Atalanta
Atalanta
Forward

C. De Ketelaere

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Lazio
CD Huachipato Atalanta
Top Goalscorer
Denmark G. Isaksen (5 Goals)
Spain Pedro (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy G. Scamacca (10 Goals) Montenegro N. Krstovic (10 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina T. Castellanos (3 Assists)
Croatia T. Basic (3 Assists)
Best assists
Montenegro N. Krstovic (5 Assists)
Poland N. Zalewski (5 Assists)
Belgium C. De Ketelaere (5 Assists)

Lazio - Atalanta Key Points

  1. 14 goals were scored in Lazio’s last four home matches.
  2. Three of Lazio’s last four league matches had 3+ goals.
  3. Four of Atalanta’s last six matches produced over 2.5 goals.
  4. On average, 2.8 goals were scored in these teams’ last five meetings at Lazio.
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Our Lazio vs Atalanta Prediction

If there’s one addition that has been made to these teams’ matches lately, it has to be the goals. Atalanta have scored five times in the last two matches, and Lazio scored five as well in their last two league games.

The last five matches between these two sides hosted by Lazio have also had a lot of goals, with those averaging 2.8. There are all the writings that this too will head towards that direction, so our bet will be in the goals market. Our prediction for Lazio v Atalanta is for more than 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lazio Atalanta

Lazio vs Atalanta Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Lazio wins 3.07 3.62 +17.9%
Draw 3.28 3.38 +3.0%
Atalanta wins 2.6 2.3 -11.5%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • A draw is the most likely outcome
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 3.0% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 30.5% and is now 29.6% (-0.9%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.