Lazio vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Lazio
12/09/2026 09:00
AC Milan

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

Lazio will once again put their off-field woes to the side as AC Milan visits for their next Serie A encounter. The two are unbeaten after three league games, with Lazio having a perfect run and Milan two points behind. With this match lately producing low scores, our prediction will back under 2.5 goals.

Lazio fans have been resolute in staying away from the club’s matches, and the financial pinch might be felt soon. For now the Biancoselesti are enjoying a good start, winning their first three league matches.

Lazio responded to their early Coppa Italia exit with three straight wins, the latest producing three goals as they beat Udinese 2-1. That was the first time Lazio conceded this season, having posted identical 1-0 wins against Genoa and Bologna earlier.

AC Milan were also on course to a third straight win until the final moments of their away match at Juventus. The Rossoneri conceded in stoppage time, to end it 1-1 in Turin.

They will be looking to bounce back, having won their opening two matches, scoring twice against Torino and Venezia. To be sure of three points, Milan may want to put up a more comfortable margin here.

They also had late troubles in their slim win over Torino. Here, though, they face another potentially tight contest, as their matches against Lazio have been. Each of the last four was settled by a one-goal margin.

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Lazio v AC Milan Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3.3 3.2 2.31
1xbet
3.4 3.34 2.37
Melbet
3.26 3.2 2.29
Betwinner
3.26 3.2 2.29
22bet
3.28 3.2 2.28
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lazio and AC Milan?

Our prediction for the Lazio vs AC Milan match is: under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/09/2026 between Lazio and AC Milan in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.51% for a win of Lazio against AC Milan with odds of 3.4 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lazio vs AC Milan is 19.67% with odds of 3.34 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 28.82% chance ⭐ for a win of AC Milan vs Lazio with odds of 2.37 at 1xbet.

Lazio vs AC Milan Form

Lazio and AC Milan's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Lazio
9 3 3 0 0 +3
5 AC Milan
7 3 2 1 0 +3

Lazio and AC Milan Last Matches

Lazio
Lazio Last matches
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

7 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  2
Lazio

30 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  0
Genoa

24 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  1
Lazio

16 Aug 2026 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
0 :  2
Mantova FC

9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Frosinone
1 :  2
Lazio

5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lazio
4 :  0
AS Ostiamare
W W W W L W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

30 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  0
Genoa

16 Aug 2026 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
0 :  2
Mantova FC

5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lazio
4 :  0
AS Ostiamare

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lazio
6 :  3
Avellino

26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lazio
6 :  0
ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana

20 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lazio
3 :  1
SS Lazio
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

7 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  2
Lazio

24 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  1
Lazio

9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Frosinone
1 :  2
Lazio

2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Ascoli Calcio 1898
1 :  2
Lazio

17 May 2026 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  0
Lazio

4 May 2026 - Serie A

Cremonese
1 :  2
Lazio
AC Milan
AC Milan Last matches
D L W W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
1 :  1
AC Milan

28 Aug 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  0
Venezia

23 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Torino FC
1 :  2
AC Milan

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

AC Milan
4 :  2
Manchester United

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
3 :  0
AC Milan

5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

AC Milan
1 :  1
Inter Milan
D L L D W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

28 Aug 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  0
Venezia

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

AC Milan
4 :  2
Manchester United

5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

AC Milan
1 :  1
Inter Milan

24 May 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  2
Cagliari

10 May 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  3
Atalanta

26 Apr 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  0
Juventus
L W D L W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

6 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
1 :  1
AC Milan

23 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Torino FC
1 :  2
AC Milan

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
3 :  0
AC Milan

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Celtic
2 :  2
AC Milan

17 May 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  2
AC Milan

3 May 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  0
AC Milan

Lazio vs AC Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Lazio

50 %

Draw

17 %

AC Milan

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.83
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
0.83
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

15 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  0
AC Milan

4 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
1 :  0
AC Milan

29 Nov 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Lazio

2 Mar 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  2
Lazio

31 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  2
AC Milan

1 Mar 2024 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  1
AC Milan
Lazio vs AC Milan Prediction

Lazio vs AC Milan last Lineups

Lazio

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

35
C. Mandas
15
R. Mussolini
5
D. Doekhi
25
O. Provstgaard
17
N. Tavares
16
D. Frattesi
21
R. Belahyane
24
K. Taylor
11
G. Isaksen
9
A. Pinamonti
10
M. Zaccagni
9
G. Ramos
56
A. Saelemaekers
12
A. Rabiot
2
P. Estupinan
80
Y. Musah
14
L. Modric
22
D. Moreira
31
S. Pavlovic
5
K. De Winter
34
M. Gila
16
M. Maignan

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

AC Milan

Substitutes

Lazio
Lazio
Goalkeeper

E. Motta

D. Renzetti

Defender

J. Sutalo

F. Bordon

Midfielder

V. Farcomeni

M. Lazzari

A. Przyborek

Forward

A. Gudmundsson

M. Cancellieri

T. Noslin

F. Serra

A. Pedraza

AC Milan
AC Milan
Goalkeeper

L. Torriani

P. Terracciano

Defender

D. Bartesaghi

S. Diawara

F. Tomori

Midfielder

A. Jashari

F. Terracciano

O. Hutchinson

R. Loftus-Cheek

C. Comotto

S. Chukwueze

Forward

C. Pulisic

A. Cisse

F. Camarda

Missing players

Lazio
Lazio
Goalkeeper

A. Furlanetto

Defender

Patric

A. Marusic

L. Pellegrini

Midfielder

D. Cataldi

F. Dele-Bashiru

N. Rovella

AC Milan
AC Milan

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Lazio
CD Huachipato AC Milan
Top Goalscorer
Italy D. Frattesi (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy A. Cisse (2 Goals)
Best assists
Senegal B. Dia (1 Assists)
Portugal N. Tavares (1 Assists)
Italy M. Zaccagni (1 Assists)
Netherlands D. Doekhi (1 Assists)
Best assists
Nigeria S. Chukwueze (2 Assists)

Lazio and AC Milan Stats in Serie A

Lazio
Lazio
AC Milan
AC Milan
100%
Wins
67%
0%
Losses
0%
0%
Draws
33%
1.67
Average goals per match
2.33
1.33
Goals scored per match
1.67
0.33
Goals conceded per match
0.67
67%
Under 2.5 goals
67%
33%
Over 2.5 goals
33%
67%
No goals conceded
33%
33%
BTTS
67%

Lazio - AC Milan Key Points

  1. The last three meetings between these sides saw three goals scored.
  2. Lazio have scored more than once in just one of their opening four games.
  3. Milan’s latest two meetings produced under 2.5 goals.
  4. Six of the last eight matches between Lazio and Milan had under 2.5 goals.
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Our Lazio vs AC Milan Prediction

Protests against the club ownership threaten to ruin Lazio’s good start to Serie A. This game will experience the same, and that could lead to another low-scoring outcome. Away from off-field issues, Lazio have stayed competitive with Gennaro Gattuso pushing them to defensive solidity.

It is the first time since 2012/13 that they are winning all three to start off a season. AC Milan will come looking to end that run as they look to enhance theirs. Either way, we aren’t in for a high-scoring game. Our prediction for Lazio v AC Milan is for under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.