ATP - ATP Santiago Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
For the first time since 2023, Laslo Djere has reached an ATP Tour final. The unseeded player faces the defending champion and third seed Sebastian Baez in the Chile Open final. Here’s our match prediction.
Djere has made a strong start to this year’s clay court season. One semi-final in Buenos Aires had already been reached before this run to the final in Santiago. The 29-year-old is 83d in the live rankings.
Saturday’s semi-final saw Djere beat the top seed Francisco Cerundolo in three sets. He only dropped one game in the first set, lost that lead but won the decider 6-3. He also beat fourth seed Pedro Martinez in round two of this outdoor clay court tournament.
Sebastian Baez leads Djere 2-0 in previous meetings, one on clay in this tournament two years ago..
2024 saw Baez win the tournament in Rio and then make it back-to-back successes with a title win in Santiago. He’s won the Rio tournament again this year and is one victory away from doing the double again.
The Argentinian is 34th in the live rankings and Saturday’s straight sets win over Camilo Ugo Carabelli made it 12 wins out of 14 on clay this year. Only one set has been lost by him this week and we tip him to win this final.
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The Best Betting Odds for Laslo Djere v Sebastian Baez Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.2 | 1.67 |
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2.1 | 1.73 |
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2.25 | 1.65 |
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2.1 | 1.65 |
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2.18 | 1.68 |
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Who will win the Laslo Djere vs Sebastian Baez Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Laslo Djere vs Sebastian Baez match is: Sebastian Baez to win.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Laslo Djere vs Sebastian Baez game on 02/03/2025 of the current ATP Santiago Open season:
- Laslo Djere has a 39.83% chance to win against Sebastian Baez according to LSbet ⭐ with the odds of 2.34.
- Sebastian Baez has a 60.17% probability of winning facing Laslo Djere ⭐ with odds of 1.73 at William Hill.
Laslo Djere vs Sebastian Baez Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Laslo Djere has a 39.83 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Laslo Djere | 39.83 % |
| Sebastian Baez | 60.17 % |
Laslo Djere vs Sebastian Baez Form
Laslo Djere and Sebastian Baez Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
1 Mar 2025 - ATP Santiago Open
28 Feb 2025 - ATP Santiago Open
26 Feb 2025 - ATP Santiago Open
24 Feb 2025 - ATP Santiago Open
15 Feb 2025 - ATP Buenos Aires
14 Feb 2025 - ATP Buenos Aires
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
1 Mar 2025 - ATP Santiago Open
28 Feb 2025 - ATP Santiago Open
27 Feb 2025 - ATP Santiago Open
23 Feb 2025 - ATP Rio Open
22 Feb 2025 - ATP Rio Open
21 Feb 2025 - ATP Rio Open
Laslo Djere vs Sebastian Baez Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
24 Aug 2023 - ATP Winston-Salem Open
Laslo Djere - Sebastian Baez Key Points
- Baez has already won one clay court title this year.
- Baez is the defending Chile Open champion.
- Baez has won both of his previous matches against Djere, including one in Santiago two years ago.
- Baez is 49 places ahead of Djere in the live rankings.
- Baez has won his last eight matches.
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Our Laslo Djere vs Sebastian Baez Prediction
Will history repeat itself on Sunday? Sebastian Baez won back-to-back titles in Rio and Santiago last year and can do so again 12 months later. He has won his last eight matches on clay and has never lost to Djere on this surface.
Djere hasn't won an ATP Tour title since 2020 but has beaten two seeded players this year. This looks like being a hard fought title decider and a side-bet on it going to a final set could be a winner. Our main Laslo Djere v Sebastian Baez pediction is Sebastian Baez to win.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.