Europe - Conference League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Conference League Predictions
Larne will keep pushing to replicate their success from last season, having reached the group stages of this competition, but will have to navigate past Santa Clara in the third qualifying round of the 2025-26 UEFA Conference League. This first-leg match to be played at a different venue, Ballymena Showgrounds, on Thursday comes with our prediction of the home team avoiding defeat.
The winner of this two-legged tie will proceed to the playoff round, where they face either Ballkani or Shamrock Rovers. For the loser, it is the end of their participation in Europe for this season.
Larne needed penalties to defeat Prishtina in the second qualifying round of this competition, after drawing both legs, 0-0 at home and 1-1 on the road.
These results extended their unbeaten run to 19 matches (W8, D11), including friendlies, and the home team could be angling for another surprise result here to extend that sequence.
Santa Clara had an eventful progression too, defeating Varazdin 3-2 on aggregate in the previous round. That was fashioned by a 2-0 home win after losing 2-1 on the road in the first leg.
Away form could be a concern for Santa Clara, as they couldn’t win four of their last five trips in all competitions (W1, D2, L2).
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The Best Betting Odds for Larne FC v Santa Clara Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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8 | 4 | 1.4 |
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9.5 | 4 | 1.36 |
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9.5 | 4.2 | 1.36 |
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9 | 4.75 | 1.3 |
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8 | 4.5 | 1.37 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Larne FC and Santa Clara?
Our prediction for the Larne FC vs Santa Clara match is: Larne FC win or draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/08/2025 between Larne FC and Santa Clara in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.11% for a win of Larne FC against Santa Clara with odds of 9.5 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Larne FC vs Santa Clara is 41.19% with odds of 5.4 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.69% chance ⭐ for a win of Santa Clara vs Larne FC with odds of 1.41 at 22bet.
Larne FC vs Santa Clara Form
Larne FC and Santa Clara Last Matches

2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jul 2025 - Conference League
24 Jul 2025 - Conference League
16 Jul 2025 - Conference League
10 Jul 2025 - Conference League
1 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jul 2025 - Conference League
10 Jul 2025 - Conference League
1 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Apr 2025 - Premiership
18 Apr 2025 - Premiership
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jul 2025 - Conference League
16 Jul 2025 - Conference League
21 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Apr 2025 - Premiership
5 Apr 2025 - Premiership
1 Apr 2025 - Premiership

4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jul 2025 - Conference League
24 Jul 2025 - Conference League
17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
10 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
26 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jul 2025 - Conference League
10 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
26 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
12 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jul 2025 - Conference League
17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
5 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
15 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
Larne FC - Santa Clara Key Points
- Larne are unbeaten in their last four matches in this competition, drawing four and winning one.
- In five of their last six competitive fixtures at home, Larne avoided defeat by drawing four and winning one.
- Larne are unbeaten in their last 19 matches, going back to last season and including friendlies.
- Santa Clara couldn’t win four of their last five away trips in all competitions, drawing and losing two each.
- Santa Clara failed to win two of their last three fixtures, including friendlies.
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Our Larne FC vs Santa Clara Prediction
Santa Clara are heavy favourites to win, as underlined by the odds market favouring that result. Larne may want to change that script and will bank on their recent record of keeping things tight. Their last three competitive fixtures at this venue have all ended in 0-0 draws, and another repeat won’t be a bad result for the hosts to extend their chances in the tie.
There could be a surprise result in this leg, and our Larne FC vs Santa Clara prediction is Larne FC win or draw.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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