Köln vs Leipzig Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Leipzig need to improve on their recent form to get back into top-four reckoning in the Bundesliga as they come up against an improving Koln on matchday 21. This match on Sunday in Cologne between the 10th-placed ‘Billy Goats’ and the fifth-placed ‘Red Bulls’ comes with our prediction of BTTS and over 2.5 goals.
The hosts have 23 points from 20 games (W6, D5, L9) and are five points above the relegation zone. Leipzig’s 36 points (W11, D3, L6) see them start the round three points outside the top four.
Koln won 1-0 at home against Wolfsburg last weekend to make it two wins from their last three league games (L1). This run of improved form followed a sequence of eight winless matches (D3, L5), so the hosts will look to improve on their momentum.
Both those wins came at home, and this was also an upgrade over a run of three defeats in four league matches prior at this venue (D1).
Leipzig lost 2-1 at home against Mainz last weekend, which was their fourth defeat in the last seven league games (W2, D1). This run has seen them drop out of the Champions League qualification spaces.
Their away form has also deteriorated with just one win from their last five league trips (D2, L2) that includes 3-1 defeats at Hoffenheim and Union Berlin.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Köln v Leipzig Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.5 | 4 | 2.03 |
|
|
3.38 | 3.88 | 2 |
|
|
3.56 | 3.92 | 1.93 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.9 | 2 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.85 | 1.93 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Köln and Leipzig?
Our prediction for the Köln vs Leipzig match is: BTTS and over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/02/2026 between Köln and Leipzig in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.77% for a win of Köln against Leipzig with odds of 3.66 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Köln vs Leipzig is 25.62% with odds of 4.1 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.61% chance ⭐ for a win of Leipzig vs Köln with odds of 2.05 at LSbet.
Köln - Leipzig Prediction and Best Odds:
| Köln Leipzig Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Leipzig wins | 40.61% | 2.05 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.37% | |
| Both Team To Score | 65.83% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Leipzig | 21.69% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Köln vs Leipzig Form
Köln and Leipzig's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
65 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | +19 |
|
14
|
32 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -14 |
Köln and Leipzig Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
25 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
5 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
5 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
Köln vs Leipzig Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
28 Oct 2023 - Bundesliga
4 Feb 2023 - Bundesliga
13 Aug 2022 - Bundesliga
11 Feb 2022 - Bundesliga
Köln against Leipzig Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
R. Zieler
DefenderJ. Schmied
R. Van den Berg
MidfielderD. Huseinbasic
F. Chavez
F. Schenten
M. Bulter
L. Waldschmidt
Y. Niang
M. Vandevoordt
DefenderE. Bitshiabu
M. Finkgrafe
L. Klostermann
MidfielderE. Banzuzi
R. Baku
J. Bakayoko
T. Gomis
C. Harder
Missing players
D. Heintz
T. Hubers
L. Kilian
J. Simpson-Pusey
C. Lukeba
MidfielderA. Ouedraogo
V. Gebel
ForwardS. Suleiman
Most goals and assists
Köln
Leipzig
S. El Mala
(13 Goals)
C. Baumgartner
(13 Goals)
L. Waldschmidt
(4 Assists)
,
M. Bulter
(4 Assists)
D. Raum
(7 Assists)
, 
Y. Diomande
(7 Assists)
Köln - Leipzig Key Points
- Four of Koln’s last five league matches produced over 2.5 goals.
- In 14 of Koln’s 20 league matches this season, both teams scored goals.
- Koln failed to score in just one of their 11 home matches in all competitions this season.
- Leipzig’s last eight league games averaged 3.75 goals per game.
- The last two league games between Koln and Leipzig saw BTTS and over 2.5 goals.
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Our Köln vs Leipzig Prediction
Leipzig need to improve their recent form to get back to the top four, as they won just two of their last seven Bundesliga matches. Even their away form is poor, with just one win from their last five away league games. Koln, on the other hand, seem to have cracked the code with two wins from their last three league games.
Both those victories have come at home, and they need that momentum to overturn a run of three consecutive defeats to Leipzig. Our Koln vs Leipzig prediction is BTTS and over 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Köln Leipzig
| Köln vs Leipzig | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Köln wins | 3.16 | 3.66 | +15.8% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 4.1 | +5.1% |
| Leipzig wins | 2.26 | 2.05 | -9.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Leipzig is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 9.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 44.2% and is now 48.8% (4.5%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
