Köln vs Hoffenheim Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Hoffenheim will look to maintain their top-three push in the Bundesliga as they meet Koln in a matchday 23 fixture on Saturday. This match in Cologne between the 12th-placed ‘Billy Goats’ and the third-placed Kraichgauers comes with our prediction of an away win.
Ahead of this matchday’s fixtures, Koln’s 23 points (W6, D5, L11) put them four points above the relegation zone. Hoffenheim have 45 points (W14, D3, L5) and are three points above fourth.
Koln lost 3-1 away at Stuttgart last weekend to continue their recent downtrend. They have lost three of the last four Bundesliga games (W1) to slip down the table and are now only marginally above the relegation zone.
Their home form is still slightly better, as Koln have two wins from their last three home Bundesliga matches (L1), although they lost the latest to Leipzig earlier in the month of February.
Hoffenheim lost the reverse fixture 1-0 back in October but arrive here with improved form, helping their push in the top-three chase. They won 3-0 at home against Freiburg last weekend, making it their sixth win over the last seven Bundesliga fixtures.
Hoffenheim still need to improve their away form, as they won only two of their last six league trips (D2, L2). That said, both those wins have come in their last three away games, raising their confidence.
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Köln v Hoffenheim Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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3.65 | 3.8 | 1.99 |
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3.66 | 3.7 | 1.96 |
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3.76 | 3.68 | 1.94 |
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3.5 | 3.9 | 1.95 |
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3.55 | 3.7 | 1.95 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Köln and Hoffenheim?
Our prediction for the Köln vs Hoffenheim match is: Hoffenheim wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/02/2026 between Köln and Hoffenheim in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.65% for a win of Köln against Hoffenheim with odds of 3.84 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Köln vs Hoffenheim is 20.89% with odds of 3.9 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 44.46% chance ⭐ for a win of Hoffenheim vs Köln with odds of 2.03 at 888Starz.
Köln - Hoffenheim Prediction and Best Odds:
| Köln Hoffenheim Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim wins | 44.46% | 2.03 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.58% | 1.66 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 62.08% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Hoffenheim/Hoffenheim | 16.73% | 3.1 at Bet365 |
Köln vs Hoffenheim Form
Köln and Hoffenheim's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
61 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +13 |
|
14
|
32 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -14 |
Köln and Hoffenheim Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
30 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
25 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
30 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
5 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
25 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
7 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
Köln vs Hoffenheim Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
16 Sept 2023 - Bundesliga
22 Apr 2023 - Bundesliga
30 Oct 2022 - Bundesliga
6 Mar 2022 - Bundesliga
Köln against Hoffenheim Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 5 - 1
Substitutes
M. Kobbing
R. Zieler
DefenderJ. Simpson-Pusey
D. Huseinbasic
F. Chavez
I. Johannesson
F. Schenten
M. Bulter
L. Waldschmidt
L. Philipp
DefenderV. Gendrey
K. Akpoguma
MidfielderA. Prass
V. Lassig
L. Djuric
M. Damar
ForwardY. Eduardo
M. Moerstedt
Missing players
T. Hubers
A. Castro-Montes
L. Kilian
MidfielderL. Maina
K. Machida
ForwardA. Hlozek
T. Lemperle
Most goals and assists
Köln - Hoffenheim Key Points
- Koln lost six of their last nine league games including three of the last four.
- At home, Koln lost four of their last seven league matches.
- Hoffenheim have six wins from their last seven league games.
- Hoffenheim posted two wins from their last three league trips.
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Our Köln vs Hoffenheim Prediction
Koln won the reverse fixture 1-0 back in October, but their form coming into this game is completely different. Hoffenheim have consistently improved their recent results to move up to third, while Koln are languishing in the bottom half of the table. The hosts are only four points above the relegation zone, and three defeats in their last four Bundesliga matches don't inspire confidence.
The hosts have an incentive to improve, but the visitors could be unrelenting. That’s why our Koln vs Hoffenheim prediction is Hoffenheim wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Köln Hoffenheim
| Köln vs Hoffenheim | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Köln wins | 3.15 | 3.84 | +21.9% |
| Draw | 3.78 | 3.9 | +3.2% |
| Hoffenheim wins | 2.31 | 2.03 | -12.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Hoffenheim is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 12.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 43.3% and is now 49.3% (6.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.