Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Two of the promoted sides of the 2025-26 Bundesliga campaign will be on view as Koln and Hamburg meet on matchday nine. This match on Sunday between the eighth-placed Billy Goats and the 13th-placed Red Shorts comes with our prediction of less than 2.5 goals.
Ahead of this round, Koln’s 11 points (W3, D2, L3) put them three points outside the European qualification places. Hamburg’s eight points (W2, D2, L4) place them four points above the relegation zone after eight matches.
Koln were beaten 4-1 at home by Bayern Munich in the midweek DFB Pokal tournament, which was their second loss in a row. The earlier defeat was a 1-0 away reverse against Dortmund on the last matchday.
The hosts had three defeats in their last five league games, while their home record is yet to gain any momentum. They have had a win, a draw, and a loss in three league matches so far this season.
Hamburg won 1-0 away at Heidenheim in the midweek DFB Pokal, a result that saw them bounce back from two successive defeats and also move forward in the competition.
Those two losses have come in the league, which punctured the momentum gained from three matches prior, where they had two wins and a draw. On the road, they are yet to win a league match this season.
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The Best Betting Odds for Köln v Hamburg Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.4 | 3.7 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.6 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.4 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.5 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.5 | 2.8 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Köln and Hamburg?
Our prediction for the Köln vs Hamburg match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/11/2025 between Köln and Hamburg in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.89% for a win of Köln against Hamburg with odds of 2.45 at William Hill.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Köln vs Hamburg is 22.6% with odds of 3.7 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.51% chance ⭐ for a win of Hamburg vs Köln with odds of 3 at Bwin.
Köln - Hamburg Prediction and Best Odds:
| Köln Hamburg Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburg wins | 40.51% | 3 at Bwin |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.37% | 1.65 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score | 55.42% | 1.55 at Unibet |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Hamburg | 17.67% | 7 at Bet365 |
Köln vs Hamburg Form
Köln and Hamburg's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
|
13
|
9 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -7 |
Köln and Hamburg Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
31 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Sept 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - 2. Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
Köln vs Hamburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
20 %
80 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Jan 2025 - 2. Bundesliga
2 Aug 2024 - 2. Bundesliga
18 Jan 2022 - DFB Pokal
25 Aug 2017 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2017 - DFB Pokal
Köln against Hamburg Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
L. Kilian
R. Van den Berg
T. Hubers
MidfielderJ. Thielmann
W. Omari
MidfielderB. Jatta
Most goals and assists
Köln
Hamburg
S. El Mala
(4 Goals)
, 
J. Kaminski
(4 Goals)
R. Philippe
(3 Goals)
R. Ache
(3 Assists)
,
M. Bulter
(3 Assists)
M. Muheim
(2 Assists)
Köln - Hamburg Key Points
- In a joint-league high five matches this season, Hamburg failed to score a goal.
- Koln’s last three league matches saw under 2.5 goals.
- Hamburg’s matches averaged a league-low 2.25 goals per match before this round.
- Hamburg failed to score in three of their last four away league games.
- Hamburg scored just seven goals this season and only Monchengladbach have netted fewer.
- Only four teams have conceded fewer goals than Hamburger and Koln’s 11.
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Our Köln vs Hamburg Prediction
These two were playing in the second division last year, and Hamburg won both league games then. Koln and Hamburg have had their share of problems this season with only five wins in total between them. Hamburger have struggled for goals but have managed to keep the goals to a minimum against them. Even their away games have been low on action, which could be the case here.
This match is likely to be low on goals, and that’s why our Koln vs Hamburg prediction is less than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Köln Hamburg
| Köln vs Hamburg | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Köln wins | 2.05 | 2.4 | +17.1% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 3.7 | 0% |
| Hamburg wins | 3.3 | 2.75 | -16.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Hamburg is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 16.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 30.3% and is now 36.4% (6.1%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Köln vs. Hamburg game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
