KKS Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze Prediction & Betting Tips - Super Cup
Poland - Super Cup
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Football Predictions
In a rematch of the 1988 final, Polish football heavyweights Lech Poznan and Gornik Zabrze renew their rivalry in a blockbuster 2026 Polish Super Cup final at Stadion Poznan on Thursday. Polish Cup holders Gornik Zabrze are looking to claim the Super Cup title after 38 years, while reigning Ekstraklasa champions Lech Poznan could end a nine-year wait for the trophy. Recent meetings between Kolejorz and Trójkolorowi have been tight, low-scoring contests, hence our prediction supporting no more than three total goals.
Lech Poznan set up this highly anticipated 2026 Super Cup final rumble with Gornik Zabrze after being confirmed 2025-26 Ekstraklasa champions following a 3–1 away victory over Radomiak Radom on Matchday 33. They will look to make their 13th appearance in the Super Cup final count by lifting the trophy for the seventh time.
Pyry completed an Ekstraklasa double against Gornik Zabrze in the preceding season – a feat that proved decisive in the two-horse title race between the two sides. However, Gornik Zabrze turned the tables securing a shock 1–0 away victory over Lech Poznan in the Polish Cup quarterfinals before going on to lift the trophy with a 2–0 victory over Rakow in the final.
Notably, another victory on Thursday will not only hand Gornik their second Super Cup title in the club's history, but also secure back-to-back wins at Stadion Poznan for the first time since 2018 and 2019. Seven of Trójkolorowi's eight competitive away matches have produced no more than two goals, including six of their last eight meetings with Lech Poznan.
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KKS Lech Poznan v Gornik Zabrze Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.86 | 3.65 | 3.75 |
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1.82 | 3.74 | 3.98 |
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1.82 | 3.74 | 3.98 |
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1.82 | 3.74 | 3.98 |
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1.82 | 3.74 | 3.98 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between KKS Lech Poznan and Gornik Zabrze?
Our prediction for the KKS Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze match is: under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/07/2026 between KKS Lech Poznan and Gornik Zabrze in Super Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.95% for a win of KKS Lech Poznan against Gornik Zabrze with odds of 1.88 at Roobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between KKS Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze is 29.95% with odds of 3.9 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.1% chance ⭐ for a win of Gornik Zabrze vs KKS Lech Poznan with odds of 4 at LSbet.
KKS Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze Form
KKS Lech Poznan and Gornik Zabrze Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 May 2026 - Ekstraklasa
16 May 2026 - Ekstraklasa
8 May 2026 - Ekstraklasa
2 May 2026 - Ekstraklasa
26 Apr 2026 - Ekstraklasa
18 Apr 2026 - Ekstraklasa
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 May 2026 - Ekstraklasa
8 May 2026 - Ekstraklasa
26 Apr 2026 - Ekstraklasa
12 Apr 2026 - Ekstraklasa
22 Mar 2026 - Ekstraklasa
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 May 2026 - Ekstraklasa
2 May 2026 - Ekstraklasa
18 Apr 2026 - Ekstraklasa
4 Apr 2026 - Ekstraklasa
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
15 Mar 2026 - Ekstraklasa
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
23 May 2026 - Ekstraklasa
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
23 May 2026 - Ekstraklasa
9 May 2026 - Ekstraklasa
2 May 2026 - Polish Cup
18 Apr 2026 - Ekstraklasa
4 Apr 2026 - Ekstraklasa
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
16 May 2026 - Ekstraklasa
13 May 2026 - Ekstraklasa
KKS Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Mar 2026 - Polish Cup
7 Feb 2026 - Ekstraklasa
2 Aug 2025 - Ekstraklasa
6 Dec 2024 - Ekstraklasa
21 Jul 2024 - Ekstraklasa
9 Mar 2024 - Ekstraklasa
KKS Lech Poznan - Gornik Zabrze Key Points
- Four of Lech Poznan’s last five home matches against Gornik Zabrze have produced fewer than three total goals.
- Six of Lech Poznan's last eight matches against Gornik Zabrze have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Four of Gornik Zabrze’s last five competitive matches have not crossed the two-goal mark.
- Seven of Gornik Zabrze's last eight competitive away matches have ended with under 2.5 goals.
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Our KKS Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze Prediction
This match promises to be an intriguing contest with countless subplots underlining the fixture. Lech Poznan could avenge their defeat to Gornik Zabrze in the Super Cup final 38 years ago, while Gornik could secure a worthy revenge after losing the Ekstraklasa title race to the hosts.
Meanwhile, Gornik Zabrze have been involved in a string of low-scoring affairs – a trend that has also been predominant in their recent encounters with Lech Poznan. Our Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze prediction is under 2.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
