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Kilmarnock vs St Mirren Prediction & Betting Tips - Scottish League Cup

Scotland - Scottish League Cup

Kilmarnock
19/09/2025 14:45
St Mirren

Prediction :

 

Both teams to score

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath in Football Predictions

The quarter-finals of the Scottish League Cup get underway on Friday night with Kilmarnock playing host to St. Mirren. Killie and the Saints met in this round of the competition in 2021, with the latter winning the clash on penalties. Let’s get into the match prediction. 

Kilmarnock booked their place in the quarter-final of this season’s League Cup by beating Dundee United 2-1 at home in the last round. 

This is the third time they’ve reached this stage in the past four seasons, though they have not won the competition since 2011-12.

However, the hosts have made a poor start to their league campaign this term. They lost to the Hoops at the weekend and are still in search of their first league win after five matches (D4 L1). 

Meanwhile, St Mirren were held to a 1-1 draw by Hearts in regulation time in the last round but managed to progress to the quarter-final by winning the penalty shootout 5-4. 

This is the second time the Buddies have reached this stage in the last three seasons, but like their upcoming opponents, it’s been over a decade since they won the competition (2012-13). 

The visitors failed to win any of their first four league games this season (D3 L1) but managed to secure their first victory of the campaign away to Falkirk this past weekend. Notably, Declan John has directly contributed to each of the team’s last three league goals. 

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The Best Betting Odds for Kilmarnock v St Mirren Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.38 3.4 2.88
Betfred
2.3 3.1 2.88
William Hill
2.3 3.1 2.9
Betway
2.3 3.2 2.9
Vbet
2.22 3.2 2.8
Check all Kilmarnock vs St Mirren odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Kilmarnock and St Mirren?

Our prediction for the Kilmarnock vs St Mirren match is: both teams to score.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/09/2025 between Kilmarnock and St Mirren in Scottish League Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.99% for a win of Kilmarnock against St Mirren with odds of 2.38 at Bet365.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Kilmarnock vs St Mirren is 37.55% with odds of 3.46 at Melbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 28.46% chance ⭐ for a win of St Mirren vs Kilmarnock with odds of 2.97 at Melbet.

Kilmarnock vs St Mirren Form

Kilmarnock and St Mirren Last Matches

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock Last matches
D D W D D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

14 Sep 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
1 :  2
Celtic

30 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
2 :  2
Kilmarnock

23 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
0 :  0
Dundee FC

17 Aug 2025 - Scottish League Cup

Kilmarnock
2 :  1
Dundee United

10 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Hibernian
2 :  2
Kilmarnock

2 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
2 :  2
Livingston
W W D W D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

14 Sep 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
1 :  2
Celtic

23 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
0 :  0
Dundee FC

17 Aug 2025 - Scottish League Cup

Kilmarnock
2 :  1
Dundee United

2 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
2 :  2
Livingston

26 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup

Kilmarnock
4 :  0
East Fife

16 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup

Kilmarnock
1 :  0
Livingston
W L W D D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

30 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
2 :  2
Kilmarnock

10 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Hibernian
2 :  2
Kilmarnock

22 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup

Kelty Hearts
0 :  0
Kilmarnock

12 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup

Brora Rangers
0 :  2
Kilmarnock

14 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
3 :  0
Kilmarnock

3 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Johnstone
0 :  2
Kilmarnock
St Mirren
St Mirren Last matches
L D D D D W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

13 Sep 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Falkirk
1 :  2
St Mirren

31 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Hibernian
1 :  1
St Mirren

24 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
1 :  1
Rangers

16 Aug 2025 - Scottish League Cup

St Mirren
1 :  1
Heart Of Midlothian FC

9 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
0 :  0
Motherwell

3 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
1 :  0
St Mirren
D W W D D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
1 :  1
Rangers

16 Aug 2025 - Scottish League Cup

St Mirren
1 :  1
Heart Of Midlothian FC

9 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
0 :  0
Motherwell

27 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup

St Mirren
2 :  1
Ayr United FC

19 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup

St Mirren
8 :  2
Annan Athletic FC

14 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
2 :  2
Hibernian
W D W L D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

13 Sep 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Falkirk
1 :  2
St Mirren

31 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Hibernian
1 :  1
St Mirren

3 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
1 :  0
St Mirren

15 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup

Forfar Athletic FC
1 :  2
St Mirren

12 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup

Arbroath
0 :  0
St Mirren

5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Milton Keynes Dons
1 :  2
St Mirren

Kilmarnock vs St Mirren Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Kilmarnock

60 %

Draw

20 %

St Mirren

20 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4
Total goals
60%
BTTS
2.2
Goals scored (home team)
1.8
Goals scored (away team)
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5

29 Mar 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
5 :  1
Kilmarnock

2 Jan 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
2 :  0
St Mirren

14 Sep 2024 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
2 :  2
Kilmarnock

11 May 2024 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
0 :  1
Kilmarnock

16 Mar 2024 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
5 :  2
St Mirren
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Kilmarnock - St Mirren Key Points

  1. Five of Kilmarnock’s last six games across all competitions have ended with both teams scoring.
  2. Kilmarnock have scored two or more goals in six of their 10 matches this season across all competitions.
  3. Each of St Mirren’s last four matches across all competitions have ended with both teams scoring.
  4. St Mirren have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last four away games across all competitions.
  5. Both teams scored in two of the last three matches between these sides.
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Our Kilmarnock vs St Mirren Prediction

Kilmarnock have not been at their best at the start of this season, and a major contributing factor to that has been their leaky defence, which has already conceded a league-high eight goals. 

The odds favour the hosts, but St Mirren have momentum coming into this match, having picked up their first league win of the season last weekend. Given the stats, we’re steering clear of the outright win market here, but expect both sides to find the net. Our Kilmarnock vs St Mirren prediction is both teams to score. 

Prediction :

 

Both teams to score

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Kilmarnock vs St Mirren Prediction
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