Scotland - Scottish League Cup
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by Devesh Jaganath in Football Predictions
The quarter-finals of the Scottish League Cup get underway on Friday night with Kilmarnock playing host to St. Mirren. Killie and the Saints met in this round of the competition in 2021, with the latter winning the clash on penalties. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Kilmarnock booked their place in the quarter-final of this season’s League Cup by beating Dundee United 2-1 at home in the last round.
This is the third time they’ve reached this stage in the past four seasons, though they have not won the competition since 2011-12.
However, the hosts have made a poor start to their league campaign this term. They lost to the Hoops at the weekend and are still in search of their first league win after five matches (D4 L1).
Meanwhile, St Mirren were held to a 1-1 draw by Hearts in regulation time in the last round but managed to progress to the quarter-final by winning the penalty shootout 5-4.
This is the second time the Buddies have reached this stage in the last three seasons, but like their upcoming opponents, it’s been over a decade since they won the competition (2012-13).
The visitors failed to win any of their first four league games this season (D3 L1) but managed to secure their first victory of the campaign away to Falkirk this past weekend. Notably, Declan John has directly contributed to each of the team’s last three league goals.
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The Best Betting Odds for Kilmarnock v St Mirren Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.38 | 3.4 | 2.88 |
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2.3 | 3.1 | 2.88 |
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2.3 | 3.1 | 2.9 |
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2.3 | 3.2 | 2.9 |
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2.22 | 3.2 | 2.8 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Kilmarnock and St Mirren?
Our prediction for the Kilmarnock vs St Mirren match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/09/2025 between Kilmarnock and St Mirren in Scottish League Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.99% for a win of Kilmarnock against St Mirren with odds of 2.38 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Kilmarnock vs St Mirren is 37.55% with odds of 3.46 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.46% chance ⭐ for a win of St Mirren vs Kilmarnock with odds of 2.97 at Melbet.
Kilmarnock vs St Mirren Form
Kilmarnock and St Mirren Last Matches

1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2025 - Scottish Premiership
30 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership
23 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership
17 Aug 2025 - Scottish League Cup
10 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership
2 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2025 - Scottish Premiership
23 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership
17 Aug 2025 - Scottish League Cup
2 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership
26 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup
16 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership
10 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership
22 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup
12 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup
14 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership
3 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership

1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sep 2025 - Scottish Premiership
31 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership
24 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership
16 Aug 2025 - Scottish League Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership
3 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership
16 Aug 2025 - Scottish League Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership
27 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup
19 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup
14 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sep 2025 - Scottish Premiership
31 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership
3 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership
15 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup
12 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup
5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Kilmarnock vs St Mirren Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
60 %
20 %
20 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Mar 2025 - Scottish Premiership
2 Jan 2025 - Scottish Premiership
14 Sep 2024 - Scottish Premiership
11 May 2024 - Scottish Premiership
16 Mar 2024 - Scottish Premiership
Kilmarnock - St Mirren Key Points
- Five of Kilmarnock’s last six games across all competitions have ended with both teams scoring.
- Kilmarnock have scored two or more goals in six of their 10 matches this season across all competitions.
- Each of St Mirren’s last four matches across all competitions have ended with both teams scoring.
- St Mirren have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last four away games across all competitions.
- Both teams scored in two of the last three matches between these sides.
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Our Kilmarnock vs St Mirren Prediction
Kilmarnock have not been at their best at the start of this season, and a major contributing factor to that has been their leaky defence, which has already conceded a league-high eight goals.
The odds favour the hosts, but St Mirren have momentum coming into this match, having picked up their first league win of the season last weekend. Given the stats, we’re steering clear of the outright win market here, but expect both sides to find the net. Our Kilmarnock vs St Mirren prediction is both teams to score.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Kilmarnock vs. St Mirren game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Kilmarnock and St Mirren? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Scottish League Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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