Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian FC Prediction & Betting Tips - Scottish Premiership
Scotland - Scottish Premiership
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Scottish Premiership Predictions
Hearts marches on to end its 60-year wait for the league title. The next stop for The Jam Tarts is a trip to Kilmarnock in Matchday 30 of the Scottish Premiership. Hearts beat Killie 3-0 in this stadium on their last trip. The question now is whether they can do so again to secure or extend their five-point gap at the top. Let's get into this match prediction.
After falling 1-0 to Rangers in a title-defining defeat, Hearts bounced back immediately, beating both Falkirk and Aberdeen at home by 1-0. However, The Jam Tarts now go back on the road, where they've lost their last two away games to Rangers and St Mirren.
If they hope to win the league with nine games left (counting the championship round too), Hearts need to fix that away form dip immediately against Kilmarnock. But they must prepare for hell as a relegation-bound Killie only have their sights set on all three points on Saturday.
Kilmarnock are now winless in three straight games—a run which places them just one place and three points above the last-placed Livingston. But with 27 points still to play for and just 21 separating them from the champions round, Killie will be fighting for their lives until the final day. Can Hearts really replicate their 3-0 thrashing here again?
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Kilmarnock v Heart Of Midlothian FC Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.8 | 4 | 1.61 |
|
|
5.84 | 3.74 | 1.59 |
|
|
5.84 | 3.74 | 1.59 |
|
|
5.25 | 3.7 | 1.57 |
|
|
5.84 | 3.74 | 1.59 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Kilmarnock and Heart Of Midlothian FC?
Our prediction for the Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian FC match is: Heart Of Midlothian FC wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/03/2026 between Kilmarnock and Heart Of Midlothian FC in Scottish Premiership :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.26% for a win of Kilmarnock against Heart Of Midlothian FC with odds of 5.84 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian FC is 8.33% with odds of 4.15 at Shangrila.
- Our prediction model gives a 61.41% chance ⭐ for a win of Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock with odds of 1.61 at Stake.
Kilmarnock - Heart Of Midlothian FC Prediction and Best Odds:
| Kilmarnock Heart Of Midlothian FC Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Heart Of Midlothian FC wins | 61.41% | 1.61 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.23% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 51.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Heart Of Midlothian FC/Heart Of Midlothian FC | 24.2% | 2.3 at Bet365 |
Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian FC Form
Kilmarnock and Heart Of Midlothian FC's standings in the Scottish Premiership
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
70 | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | +30 |
|
11
|
28 | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -28 |
Kilmarnock and Heart Of Midlothian FC Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
21 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
15 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
11 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
4 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
31 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
11 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
31 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
17 Jan 2026 - Scottish Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
20 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
21 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
4 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
24 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
10 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
30 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
21 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
15 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
10 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
3 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
31 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
21 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
10 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
25 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
17 Jan 2026 - Scottish Cup
14 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
3 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
31 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
11 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
27 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
13 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
18 Oct 2025 - Scottish Premiership
18 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership
25 Jan 2025 - Scottish Premiership
15 Dec 2024 - Scottish Premiership
30 Oct 2024 - Scottish Premiership
Players list
K. Roos
DefenderM. Schjonning-Larsen
G. Stanger
R. Deas
J. Brandon
MidfielderD. Watson
A. Tshibola
G. Kiltie
L. Polworth
ForwardF. Curtis
J. Hugill
A. Schwolow
DefenderM. Steinwender
J. McCart
H. Milne
C. Halkett
MidfielderT. Magnusson
M. Leonard
B. Spittal
ForwardA. Kyziridis
P. Kabore
C. Soares Braga
Substitutes
M. Stryjek
DefenderL. Mayo
D. Thompson
T. Lowery
R. McKenzie
J. Thomson
M. Watkins
N. Clescenco
B. Anderson
R. Fulton
DefenderO. McEntee
F. Kent
J. Altena
E. Kabangu
I. Chesnokov
R. Mato Kassim
A. Forrest
S. Kerjota
Most goals and assists
Kilmarnock
Heart Of Midlothian FC
T. John-Jules
(8 Goals)
,
J. Hugill
(8 Goals)
L. Shankland
(16 Goals)
Kilmarnock - Heart Of Midlothian FC Key Points
- Kilmarnock has conceded 60 goals this season (the most), allowing 2.06 goals per game.
- Hearts, meanwhile, has scored 52 goals per game (second-most), netting 1.79 per game.
- Hearts have conceded just 24 goals this season (second-fewest), while keeping the second-most clean sheets (15).
- Hearts have won three of their last four meetings against Kilmarnock, and four of the last six in this stadium.
- Kilmarnock has now lost seven of their last ten league games at home.
- In contrast, Hearts have won ten of their last 14 league games.
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Our Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian FC Prediction
Killie’s desperation is what makes them dangerous in this matchup, but that doesn't negate the numbers here. What's more, incentive-wise, Hearts are now inches away from winning their first top-flight title in 60 years, giving them more to play for than Kilmarnock.
Numbers-wise, the contrast couldn't be any sharper. We're practically looking at the league's worst defence (Kilmarnock) vs the best attack (Hearts). Only that The Jam Tarts also arguably best the defence, while Killie attack, with the fifth-fewest goals (32), is one of the poorest. Hence, our Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian FC prediction is that Heart Of Midlothian FC wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Kilmarnock Heart Of Midlothian FC
| Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian FC | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kilmarnock wins | 5.44 | 5.84 | +7.4% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 4.15 | +22.1% |
| Heart Of Midlothian FC wins | 1.69 | 1.61 | -4.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Heart Of Midlothian FC is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.2% and is now 62.1% (2.9%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
