Kenya vs Morocco Prediction & Betting Tips - African Nations Championship
Africa - African Nations Championship
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by Kennedy Kechula | in African Nations Championship Predictions
Kenya will be up for their third Group A game against Morocco at the African Nations Championship (Chan) this Sunday. Heading into the match, Kenya lead the group on four points, and Morocco are second with three. Read on for our prediction below.
Co-hosts Kenya’s blushes were spared by the VAR for the second time as they drew 1-1 with Angola. What would have been a last-minute concession was canceled for offside, much to the relief of the home fans, and they will hope for a better showing against Morocco.
Kenya played most of the game with 10 men after Marvin Nabwire’s sending off. Going into their third game, they will be eyeing a win to secure a knockout spot.
This clash already looks like a mismatch, as Morocco, two-time champions, take on the debutants. The North African nation will be playing their second match at the competition, having started off with a 2-0 win against Angola.
While they come into this game as the favorites, Morocco must be wary of the threat Kenya poses, with the full backing of their home. They will, however, be banking on a superior scoring form.
While Kenya have struggled to score more than once in their matches, Morocco scored two or more in four of their last five outings.
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Kenya v Morocco Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.2 | 3.3 | 1.73 |
|
|
5.22 | 3.76 | 1.7 |
|
|
4.74 | 3.56 | 1.78 |
|
|
5.15 | 3.74 | 1.69 |
|
|
4.33 | 3.5 | 1.7 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Kenya and Morocco?
Our prediction for the Kenya vs Morocco match is: Morocco to win and both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/08/2025 between Kenya and Morocco in African Nations Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 15.52% for a win of Kenya against Morocco with odds of 5.5 at Betobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Kenya vs Morocco is 22.63% with odds of 3.76 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 61.85% chance ⭐ for a win of Morocco vs Kenya with odds of 1.79 at BC Game.
Kenya - Morocco Prediction and Best Odds:
| Kenya Morocco Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Morocco wins | 61.85% | 1.79 at BC Game |
| Under 2.5 | 54.47% | 2.08 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 64.29% | 1.57 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Morocco | 26.88% | 4.4 at LSbet |
Kenya vs Morocco Form
Kenya and Morocco's standings in the African Nations Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +3 |
|
2
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +5 |
Kenya and Morocco Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
3 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
14 Oct 2024 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sept 2024 - AFCON
27 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
9 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - AFCON
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
9 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - AFCON
12 Oct 2024 - AFCON
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
9 Sept 2024 - AFCON
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
24 Jan 2024 - AFCON
Players list
B. Odhiambo Omondi
DefenderL. Bandi
M. Okwaro
M. Kibwage
M. Siraj
S. Owino
MidfielderB. Omondi
B. Muchiri
C. Erambo
M. Harrar
DefenderM. Louadni
A. Bach
M. Hrimat
M. Moufid
MidfielderY. Belammari
I. Riahi
ForwardA. El Mahraoui
A. Mouloua
Substitutes
S. Wekesa
F. Shikalo
K. Okumu
DefenderD. Sakari
A. Omar Khamis
MidfielderB. Michira
A. Onyango
A. Odhiambo
ForwardF. Olouch
A. Odongo
D. Sakwa
R. Ghanimi
DefenderM. Boulacsoute
A. Assal
MidfielderA. Khairi
S. Bougrine
ForwardO. Lamlaoui
Y. El Kaabi
A. Souane
S. Errahouli
K. Baba
Y. Mehri
Kenya - Morocco Key Points
- Morocco have 14 wins in their last 15 matches.
- Kenya managed just three wins in their last 15 matches.
- Kenya failed to score in just three of their last 10 games.
- Morocco won two of their last three meetings with Kenya.
- In their last 20 matches Morocco suffered only two defeats.
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Our Kenya vs Morocco Prediction
The last time Kenya hosted Morocco, the two nations played to a 0-0 draw, but that was way back in 2005. The dynamics have changed a lot even as the two go head-to-head for the first time since 2014.
Morocco have the stronger run of form coming here, having won 14 of their last 15 matches. While they will be cautious of a potential shock here, their recent profile doesn’t pass for a team that could lose to Kenya. They might concede, though. Our prediction for Kenya v Morocco is for Morocco to win and both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Kenya Morocco
| Kenya vs Morocco | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kenya wins | 4.6 | 5.5 | +19.6% |
| Draw | 3.45 | 3.76 | +9.0% |
| Morocco wins | 1.76 | 1.79 | +1.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Morocco is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 56.8% and is now 55.9% (-1.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
