Kakamega Homeboyz vs Kenya Police FC Prediction & Betting Tips - Kenyan Premier League
Kenya - Kenyan Premier League
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Kenyan Premier League Predictions
Kakamega Homeboyz and Police FC are two sides desperate to return to winning ways in the Kenyan Premier League. These two will be facing off next, with hosts Homeboyz placed eighth and Police fifth. We have a prediction for this match below.
Homeboyz haven't won a lot this season and are coming off their latest defeat, 1-0 against Gor Mahia. While they are some distance away, Homeboyz, on 20 points, are only three adrift of the top side.
Playing at home should lift the hosts, as 13 of their total points were won in Kakamega. Their last two home matches ended in draws, but the last time they hosted Police, it ended in a 2-1 win.
Police have won three of their last five meetings with Homeboyz, and they will be hoping for a repeat of that. The reigning champions are coming off a 1-0 defeat at the hands of Muranga SEAL.
That was their second loss in the last four matches, while they’ve managed just one win in the process. Their fall to Homeboyz in the latest meeting was actually the first in the last five head-to-head matchups.
In that run of five games, Police posted three wins. Their target to bounce back tallies well with recent away form, the Police having won three of their last four games on the road.
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The Best Betting Odds for Kakamega Homeboyz v Kenya Police FC Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.62 | 2.45 | 3 |
|
|
2.6 | 2.7 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.65 | 2.48 | 3.12 |
|
|
2.75 | 2.65 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.64 | 2.71 | 2.74 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Kakamega Homeboyz and Kenya Police FC?
Our prediction for the Kakamega Homeboyz vs Kenya Police FC match is: draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/12/2025 between Kakamega Homeboyz and Kenya Police FC in Kenyan Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.13% for a win of Kakamega Homeboyz against Kenya Police FC with odds of 2.75 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Kakamega Homeboyz vs Kenya Police FC is 33.39% with odds of 2.71 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.49% chance ⭐ for a win of Kenya Police FC vs Kakamega Homeboyz with odds of 3.12 at Melbet.
Kakamega Homeboyz - Kenya Police FC Prediction and Best Odds:
| Kakamega Homeboyz Kenya Police FC Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Kakamega Homeboyz wins | 35.13% | 2.75 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 61.22% | 1.41 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 64.58% | 2.5 at William Hill |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Kakamega Homeboyz | 17.72% |
Kakamega Homeboyz vs Kenya Police FC Form
Kakamega Homeboyz and Kenya Police FC's standings in the Kenyan Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
22 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
|
6
|
21 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
Kakamega Homeboyz and Kenya Police FC Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
12 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
23 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
15 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
23 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
25 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
15 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
29 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
3 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
15 Jun 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
13 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
26 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
5 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
26 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
16 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
24 Oct 2025 - CAF Champions League
5 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
Kakamega Homeboyz vs Kenya Police FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
21 Dec 2024 - Kenyan Premier League
Kakamega Homeboyz - Kenya Police FC Key Points
- Homeboyz have drawn four of their last five home matches.
- Across their last 10 home matches, Homeboyz suffered one loss.
- Homeboyz have managed one win in their last seven matches, drawing four.
- Police have failed to win just three of their last 10 away matches, losing twice.
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Our Kakamega Homeboyz vs Kenya Police FC Prediction
These two sides are coming off losing outings and will both be keen on collecting three points from this match. Kakamega Homeboyz will be banking heavily on their home form, as they have only lost once at home this season. Their last five games at home, however, produced four draws, and they will be desperate to rise from that.
Police will also have their reasons for staying optimistic. They’ve won three of their last four away matches and will view this as a match they can win. We expect an even battle, and our prediction for Kakamega Homeboyz v Police is for a draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Kakamega Homeboyz Kenya Police FC
| Kakamega Homeboyz vs Kenya Police FC | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kakamega Homeboyz wins | 2.62 | 2.62 | 0% |
| Draw | 2.7 | 2.45 | -9.3% |
| Kenya Police FC wins | 2.75 | 3 | +9.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Kakamega Homeboyz is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 38.2% and is now 38.2% (0.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
